Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

15:00

Date 2025-07-18

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,480

Winning Time 1m 25.91s (slow by 3.11s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Gewan (GB) Billy Loughnane · Andrew Balding	9/1	Won
2nd	Ruler Of Time (USA) William Buick · Charlie Appleby	4/1	1.25
3rd	Lost Signal (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	15/2	2.25
4th	Exclusive Code (IRE) James Doyle · Archie Watson	100/30F	1
5th	Mr Writer (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	4/1	1.5
6th	Cashbox (IRE) David Egan · Charles Hills	40/1	2.25
7th	Plan C (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Alan King	16/1	3
8th	Kuu (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	80/1	1.5
9th	Morbeh (GB) Jim Crowley · Roger Varian	11/2	3.5
10th	Karakula Dancer (GB) Saffie Osborne · James Ferguson	125/1	0.2
11th	Sergeant Chaos (GB) Callum Shepherd · George Scott	14/1	.5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Exclusive Code Bay J:James Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:James Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
280,000euros breeze-up 2yo; dam a 1m2f winner (RPR 92); betting should be revealing
12 (10)	Ruler Of Time Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
$700,000 yearling; first foal of US 8.5f turf winner; powerful stable; of obvious interest
10 (6)	Mr Writer Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	133	—	82	-	84	36	23d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two encouraging runs over 6f so far; bred for this trip and remains capable of better
9 (13)	Morbeh Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	J:Jim Crowley T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
First foal of a 12.5f Group 2 winner in France; yard's 2yos operating at a 33% strike-rate
8 (7)	Lost Signal Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
75,000euros breeze-up 2yo; stable won this 12 months ago; the betting can provide clues
5 (12)	Gewan Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Andrew Balding	J:Billy Loughnane T:Andrew Balding	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
80,000euros breeze-up 2yo; dam a French Listed-placed 7f 2yo winner; one to consider
13 (2)	Sergeant Chaos Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
260,000gns half-brother to two winners out of a 1m winner; yard 9-40 with 2yos in 2025
11 (4)	Plan C Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
80,000gns breeze-up 2yo; half-brother to seven winners; likely a longer-term prospect
2 (5)	Cashbox Bay J:David Egan T:Charles Hills	J:David Egan T:Charles Hills	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
40,000euros half-brother to two winners (one smart); yard's 2yos quiet so far in 2025
7 (3)	Kuu Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	77	-	58	32	18d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well beaten in a 6f novice (good to firm) and a 7f maiden (AW); hard to recommend
6 (1)	Karakula Dancer Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:James Ferguson	J:Saffie Osborne T:James Ferguson	133	—	57	-	56	32	10d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Fine pedigree but two 7f runs this summer leave him with a mountain to climb
NR (8)	Art Lover Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	133	t	9	-	55	50	48d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Green at York in May; bred for 7f & can leave that debut run well behind; now tongue tied
NR (11)	Domination Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Clive Cox	J:Finley Marsh T:Clive Cox	133	—	—	-	59	55	63d	—	—	—	0	—	—
13th of 18 on debut here (6f) nine weeks ago; that race has been well advertised since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Exclusive Code	3/1	11/4	3/1	5/2	3/1
Ruler Of Time	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	10/3
Mr Writer	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Morbeh	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2
Lost Signal	9/1	9/1	10/1	12/1	12/1
Gewan	10/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	9/1
Sergeant Chaos	18/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	10/1
Plan C	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	14/1
Cashbox	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Kuu	80/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	66/1
Karakula Dancer	100/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	66/1
Art Lover	-	-	-	-	-
Domination	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mr Writer

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Exclusive Code

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Ruler Of Time

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Morbeh

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Lost Signal

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Gewan

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Sergeant Chaos

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Plan C

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Cashbox

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Kuu

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Karakula Dancer

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Art Lover

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Domination

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Exclusive Code	—	—	—
Ruler Of Time	—	—	—
Mr Writer	—	84	36
Morbeh	—	—	—
Lost Signal	—	—	—
Gewan	—	—	—
Sergeant Chaos	—	—	—
Plan C	—	—	—
Cashbox	—	—	—
Kuu	—	58	32
Karakula Dancer	—	56	32
Art Lover	—	55	50
Domination	—	59	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Karakula Dancer	10d ago	Quick return
Kuu	18d ago	Fit
Mr Writer	23d ago	Fit
Art Lover	48d ago	Fresh
Domination	63d ago	Fresh
Exclusive Code	—	—
Ruler Of Time	—	—
Morbeh	—	—
Lost Signal	—	—
Gewan	—	—
Sergeant Chaos	—	—
Plan C	—	—
Cashbox	—	—