Paul's 50th Celebration Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

19:12

Paul's 50th Celebration Handicap

Date 2025-08-09

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 14.04s (slow by 5.04s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Thunderstorm Katie (GB) Amie Waugh · Jim Goldie	9/4F	Won
2nd	Ishe Worth Agamble (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	3/1	0.1
3rd	Laurens Dream (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	12/1	.5
4th	Clonmacash (GB) Conor Orr · Adrian McGuinness	15/2	0.3
5th	Spun To Gold (USA) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	13/2	3.25
6th	Defence Missile (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Linda Perratt	16/1	5.5
7th	Heritor (GB) Rhys Elliott · R Mike Smith	150/1	0.1
8th	Mersea (FR) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Grant Tuer	7/2	1.25

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Ishe Worth Agamble Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	139	tp	313415	64	69	55	7d	—	—	-4	20.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three 6f wins this year; held off this mark last week but now returns to Class 6
9 (4)	Thunderstorm Katie Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	123	—	745841	48	69	57	12d	—	—	-6	16.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
14th time lucky with smooth C&D win 12 days ago; solid contender up just 2lb
1 (8)	Mersea Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Grant Tuer	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Grant Tuer	145	—	705201	70	70	62	8d	—	—	+4	23.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Better than a Class 6 performer and won easily at Musselburgh last week (5f, good)
6 (9)	Spun To Gold Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	h	-07017	59	70	63	19d	—	—	-1	13.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well backed when winning over 7f here last month; less good one week later; 6f could suit
2 (7)	Clonmacash Bay J:Conor Orr(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Conor Orr(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	139	v	044376	64	67	62	17d	—	—	-4	8.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
0-18 on turf but this is easier than the big-field sprints he's been tackling in Ireland
5 (6)	Defence Missile Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Linda Perratt	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Linda Perratt	135	—	-87058	64	67	49	17d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Quiet for new yard but down in trip/class and a return to prominent tactics may bear fruit
8 (2)	Laurens Dream Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	129	—	-56688	58	69	49	19d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two Newcastle wins as a 2yo; not found her best form in 2025 but dropping down the weights
10 (10)	Heritor Chestnut J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:R Mike Smith	J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:R Mike Smith	121	tp	797005	46	65	63	8d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Unplaced in eight starts and hard to recommend on what he has shown in handicaps
NR (5)	Annie Edson Taylor Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Phillip Makin	J:Connor Beasley T:Phillip Makin	136	b	570432	61	72	56	15d	—	—	—	9.9	—	—
Knocking at the door last month; blinkers perhaps the catalyst for return to winning ways
NR (1)	Ramon Di Loria Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	131	—	745545	56	70	67	26d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Two-time C&D winner, the latest off 1lb higher in April; mixed bag since then though

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Ishe Worth Agamble	10/3	11/4	3/1
Thunderstorm Katie	10/3	10/3	10/3
Mersea	4/1	4/1	7/2
Spun To Gold	11/2	11/2	11/2
Clonmacash	6/1	6/1	6/1
Defence Missile	12/1	11/1	12/1
Laurens Dream	12/1	12/1	12/1
Heritor	125/1	80/1	80/1
Annie Edson Taylor	-	-	-
Ramon Di Loria	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mersea

23.2

OR: 5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Ishe Worth Agamble

20.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 9.9 Odds: 7.3

10/3

3rd

Thunderstorm Katie

16.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Spun To Gold

13.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4

11/2

Annie Edson Taylor

9.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0

—

Clonmacash

8.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Defence Missile

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Laurens Dream

3.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ramon Di Loria

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Heritor

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mersea	70	70	62
Ishe Worth Agamble	64	69	55
Clonmacash	64	67	62
Defence Missile	64	67	49
Annie Edson Taylor	61	72	56
Spun To Gold	59	70	63
Laurens Dream	58	69	49
Ramon Di Loria	56	70	67
Thunderstorm Katie	48	69	57
Heritor	46	65	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ishe Worth Agamble	7d ago	Quick return
Mersea	8d ago	Quick return
Heritor	8d ago	Quick return
Thunderstorm Katie	12d ago	Quick return
Annie Edson Taylor	15d ago	Fit
Clonmacash	17d ago	Fit
Defence Missile	17d ago	Fit
Spun To Gold	19d ago	Fit
Laurens Dream	19d ago	Fit
Ramon Di Loria	26d ago	Fit