Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:52

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2025-09-08

Distance 5f6y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 57.34s (slow by 0.64s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mick's Spirit (GB) Darragh Keenan · Conrad Allen	14/1	Won
2nd	Agostino (GB) Ray Dawson · Robert Cowell	7/4F	2.25
3rd	Colors Of Freedom (GB) Luke Morris · Joe Ponting	25/1	.75
4th	Nelson Gay (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Michael Dods	9/2	0.1
5th	Vitalline (GB) Josephine Gordon · Keiran Burke	20/1	0.1
6th	Battle Point (IRE) Morgan Cole · Michael Attwater	14/1	1
7th	Recon Mission (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Tony Carroll	5/2	.75
8th	Darkened Edge (GB) Gina Mangan · Christopher Mason	15/2	.75
9th	Lil Wade (IRE) Charlie Bennett · Scott Dixon	150/1	5.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Agostino Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Robert Cowell	J:Ray Dawson T:Robert Cowell	135	—	156665	62	72	59	11d	—	—	-14	10.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
0-6 on the AW here but three times a runner-up and much respected from stall 1
2 (9)	Recon Mission Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Tony Carroll	J:Oisin Murphy T:Tony Carroll	135	—	216563	62	73	64	5d	—	—	-9	15.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
2lb higher than for his win here in April; good last run and Oisin Murphy is booked
1 (3)	Nelson Gay Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Michael Dods	J:Cieren Fallon T:Michael Dods	135	tb	714765	62	72	57	30d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Below par of late but the type to bounce back and this mark is fine
5 (7)	Darkened Edge Bay J:Gina Mangan T:Christopher Mason	J:Gina Mangan T:Christopher Mason	126	—	321325	53	72	-	28d	—	—	+1	13.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Capable sprinter but she's light on AW experience (figures of 636 at Wolverhampton)
7 (5)	Vitalline Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	121	tb	341749	48	71	68	9d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	4.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Effective here but the six wins have been at 6f or 7f and he's 0-2 over 5f
4 (6)	Mick's Spirit Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	133	tv	-14575	60	70	60	151d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+1	5.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Eight-time 5f winner on the AW but has been underwhelming of late
6 (8)	Colors Of Freedom Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Joe Ponting	J:Luke Morris T:Joe Ponting	125	—	748149	52	71	65	6d	—	—	+2	6.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Excuse last week but stall 8 not ideal for one who likes to be handy
8 (4)	Battle Point Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Michael Attwater	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Michael Attwater	119	—	726692	46	69	68	9d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	7.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Second last week; the glaring concern is his inability to get the job done (1-43)
9 (2)	Lil Wade Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Scott Dixon	J:Charlie Bennett T:Scott Dixon	119	v	-89798	46	67	51	213d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
No better for being visored on his last five races and now 0-26; off since February

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Agostino	9/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Recon Mission	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Nelson Gay	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Darkened Edge	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Vitalline	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Mick's Spirit	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Colors Of Freedom	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Battle Point	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Lil Wade	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Recon Mission

15.3

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Darkened Edge

13.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 9 Odds: 3.4

6/1

3rd

Agostino

10.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Nelson Gay

9.4

OR: 3 Form: 2 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Battle Point

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Colors Of Freedom

6.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Mick's Spirit

5.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Vitalline

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Lil Wade

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Agostino	62	72	59
Recon Mission	62	73	64
Nelson Gay	62	72	57
Mick's Spirit	60	70	60
Darkened Edge	53	72	—
Colors Of Freedom	52	71	65
Vitalline	48	71	68
Battle Point	46	69	68
Lil Wade	46	67	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Recon Mission	5d ago	Quick return
Colors Of Freedom	6d ago	Quick return
Vitalline	9d ago	Quick return
Battle Point	9d ago	Quick return
Agostino	11d ago	Quick return
Darkened Edge	28d ago	Fit
Nelson Gay	30d ago	Fit
Mick's Spirit	151d ago	Long break
Lil Wade	213d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 5f6y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.