ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:00

ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-10-01

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,400

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Ten Pounds Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Harry Charlton	J:Billy Loughnane T:Harry Charlton	135	t	7-1034	104	115	-	81d	—	—	-12	25.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Sole 6f start saw him finish 3rd in the Wokingham; strong 7f form; should go well
3 (2)	Marchogion Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	134	—	710401	97	109	83	32d	—	—	+5	31.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Three wins in 2025; penalised but still improving, handles AW and could enjoy run of race
1 (6)	Drama Bay J:Tom Marquand T:James Ferguson	J:Tom Marquand T:James Ferguson	135	tb	931701	95	106	97	25d	—	—	+12	30.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Fine C&D record and hasn't reached his ceiling around here; a tactical race wouldn't suit
4 (3)	Al Shabab Storm Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	131	—	393084	105	121	96	11d	—	—	+9	17	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Best AW form this year stands out in this field but flopped when down into a seller latest
5 (5)	Divine Libra Grey J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	131	—	655546	94	113	-	17d	—	—	+5	13.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Retains ability but yet to win in 2025 and a stiffer test would be preferable
6 (1)	Fair Wind Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Owen Burrows	J:Rob Hornby T:Owen Burrows	131	—	1R-000	91	100	-	25d	—	—	+8	11.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Refused to race at Goodwood last summer and slow starts a major issue on last two runs
NR (4)	Bolo Neighs Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	2413-8	97	107	-	136d	—	—	—	11.8	—	—
Ended 2024 on the up; well beaten on return in May and absent since; still has low mileage

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ten Pounds	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4
Marchogion	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Drama	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Al Shabab Storm	9/1	9/1	8/1	10/1	17/2
Divine Libra	12/1	11/1	10/1	12/1	9/1
Fair Wind	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Bolo Neighs	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marchogion

31.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 12 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Drama

30.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 13.6 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Ten Pounds

25.3

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

11/8

Al Shabab Storm

OR: 13.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Divine Libra

13.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Bolo Neighs

11.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Fair Wind

11.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Al Shabab Storm	105	121	96
Ten Pounds	104	115	—
Marchogion	97	109	83
Bolo Neighs	97	107	—
Drama	95	106	97
Divine Libra	94	113	—
Fair Wind	91	100	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Al Shabab Storm	11d ago	Quick return
Divine Libra	17d ago	Fit
Drama	25d ago	Fit
Fair Wind	25d ago	Fit
Marchogion	32d ago	Fit
Ten Pounds	81d ago	Fresh
Bolo Neighs	136d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.