Download The At The Races App Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:30

Download The At The Races App Handicap

Date 2025-10-02

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (13)	Mattice Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ian McInnes	J:Jason Hart T:Ian McInnes	139	p	154331	69	75	55	5d	—	—	-1	26.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Went close on yard debut (C&D); won (6f) 5 days ago; drop to 5f fine; player under penalty
12 (11)	Let's Go Hugo Chestnut J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Ollie Pears	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Ollie Pears	128	—	648612	58	78	67	6d	—	—	0	19.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won last month and short-headed last Friday (also C&D); 4lb well in; strong claims
2 (3)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	136	—	634001	66	75	-	8d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+5	18.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Dual C&D winner; reduced mark and won (5f) 8 days ago; 4lb penalty but still respected
9 (10)	Cash In Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	131	—	847869	61	72	54	24d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won 4-runner C&D maiden in November; disappointing favourite here latest; weight-dropper
4 (1)	Cape Sovereign Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	135	p	240579	65	73	59	33d	—	—	-2	5.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
In good form on turf in spring but 0-11 and hasn't matched that in four starts since
6 (6)	Herakles Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Paul Midgley	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Paul Midgley	133	—	217276	63	75	61	24d	—	—	+3	9.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
C&D winner in June but disappointing in three of four runs since, including here
5 (5)	Startling Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	133	p	365221	63	72	65	21d	—	—	+16	20.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won C&D nursery in December; won first race since three weeks ago; respected up 4lb
3 (9)	Midnight Lir Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	135	—	59-826	65	75	-	75d	—	—	0	5.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
On a losing run; went close (5f, turf) in May but didn't repeat it next time; same mark
10 (2)	Miss Rainbow Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tracy Waggott	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Tracy Waggott	131	b	331252	61	74	-	23d	—	—	+11	14.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Visored and won four, including here (6f), this year; big run in blinkers latest; player
13 (4)	Chief Of State Bay J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:Ben Haslam	J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:Ben Haslam	127	tv	954816	57	73	42	23d	—	—	+6	9.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Low-mileage 4yo; opened account (5f) last month; respectable latest; considered
8 (8)	Filly's Last Lady Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Gary Harrison	J:Billy Garritty T:Gary Harrison	133	—	9-7119	63	75	-	58d	—	—	+1	4.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Flopped when chasing hat-trick last time; AW/stable debut and she remains unexposed
7 (7)	Get Up Everybody Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Paul Midgley	J:Barry McHugh T:Paul Midgley	133	—	445328	63	75	33	21d	—	—	+6	9.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Had become competitive in turf h'caps until form dipped markedly here (6f) three weeks ago
11 (12)	Go On Rosie Bay J:Alex Jary(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Nigel Tinkler	131	—	2-7576	61	71	39	30d	—	—	+4	7.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Struggled this year but yard among the winners; ran well only C&D start; may do better

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mattice	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Let's Go Hugo	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Our Absent Friends	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Cash In	8/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Cape Sovereign	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Herakles	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Startling	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Midnight Lir	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Miss Rainbow	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Chief Of State	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Filly's Last Lady	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Get Up Everybody	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Go On Rosie	33/1	28/1	33/1	25/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mattice

26.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 13.6 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Startling

20.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 16 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Let's Go Hugo

19.7

OR: 2 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Our Absent Friends

18.6

OR: 4 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4

5/1

Miss Rainbow

14.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 11.1 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Chief Of State

9.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Herakles

9.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Get Up Everybody

9.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Go On Rosie

7.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Cape Sovereign

5.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Cash In

5.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Midnight Lir

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Filly's Last Lady

4.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mattice	69	75	55
Our Absent Friends	66	75	—
Cape Sovereign	65	73	59
Midnight Lir	65	75	—
Herakles	63	75	61
Startling	63	72	65
Filly's Last Lady	63	75	—
Get Up Everybody	63	75	33
Cash In	61	72	54
Miss Rainbow	61	74	—
Go On Rosie	61	71	39
Let's Go Hugo	58	78	67
Chief Of State	57	73	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mattice	5d ago	Quick return
Let's Go Hugo	6d ago	Quick return
Our Absent Friends	8d ago	Quick return
Startling	21d ago	Fit
Get Up Everybody	21d ago	Fit
Miss Rainbow	23d ago	Fit
Chief Of State	23d ago	Fit
Cash In	24d ago	Fit
Herakles	24d ago	Fit
Go On Rosie	30d ago	Fit
Cape Sovereign	33d ago	Fit
Filly's Last Lady	58d ago	Fresh
Midnight Lir	75d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.