Arc £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:30

Arc £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap

Date 2025-10-02

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 39.20s (slow by 2.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Terrapin (GB) P J McDonald · Andrew Balding	7/2	Won
2nd	Glorious Kitty (IRE) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	10/1	4
3rd	Runninsonofagun (IRE) Rowan Scott · Tristan Davidson	12/1	1.25
4th	Mrbluesky (IRE) Barry McHugh · Richard Fahey	10/1	1.75
5th	Seed Investor (IRE) David Nolan · Ivan Furtado	7/4F	0.05
6th	Mister Invincible (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · David O'Meara	12/1	3.5
7th	Suzette (GB) Harry Russell · Ollie Pears	16/1	0.2
8th	Bun Bang Fai (GB) Laura Coughlan · Archie Watson	33/1	3.5
9th	Pacifist (IRE) Archie Young · Charlie Johnston	9/1	1
10th	Urban Sky (IRE) Tom Eaves · Sam England	66/1	2.75
11th	Coonawarra Star (FR) Ben Robinson · David O'Meara	11/1	17
12th	Oceans Charm (IRE) Cian Horgan · Ed de Giles	28/1	9

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	Seed Investor Bay J:David Nolan T:Ivan Furtado	J:David Nolan T:Ivan Furtado	134	—	278601	64	80	68	34d	—	—	-7	22.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Got off the mark over C&D last time; back up 4lb; unexposed on AW; should go well again
11 (10)	Terrapin Bay J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	127	—	9-82	57	77	51	24d	—	—	-10	6.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Beaten 12l by a 1-9 shot over C&D latest; on a lowly mark for h'cap debut; not out of it
2 (12)	Coonawarra Star Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	135	—	575-	65	-	-	400d	—	—	-3	6.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fair efforts over 7f/1m on turf in 2024; not run since; may need the race on h'cap debut
3 (5)	Pacifist Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	858072	65	74	56	14d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
C&D winner in January; beaten a head at Chelmsford last time; back up 2lb; chance
1 (1)	Mister Invincible Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:David O'Meara	J:Paul Mulrennan T:David O'Meara	135	—	550738	65	76	64	13d	—	—	0	8.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-8; creditable third over 7f on only previous run here; stamina to prove; more needed
9 (11)	Glorious Kitty Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	607706	61	70	37	14d	—	—	-3	4.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Hasn't progressed since a fine debut run last term; well handicapped but plenty to prove
4 (4)	Runninsonofagun Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	J:Rowan Scott T:Tristan Davidson	135	p	282348	65	73	25	3d	—	—	+1	8.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ex-Irish; some fair runs this year; below best latest and sole AW run; headgear now tried
10 (7)	Suzette Chestnut J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	127	—	586653	57	70	61	9d	—	—	0	6.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Turf nursery winner last term; fair run last time; yet to prove she is as effective on AW
12 (3)	Mrbluesky Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Richard Fahey	J:Barry McHugh T:Richard Fahey	126	p	773557	56	78	-	14d	—	—	-2	4.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won 7f h'cap here in February; not progressed on turf but may fare better back on Tapeta
8 (6)	Oceans Charm Brown J:Cian Horgan(5) T:Ed de Giles	J:Cian Horgan(5) T:Ed de Giles	132	—	675426	62	75	-	15d	—	—	+3	7.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
AW 2nd in January; not done as well since but is on a good mark for return to AW
7 (8)	Bun Bang Fai Bay J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	133	b	559664	63	75	56	24d	—	—	+1	4.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Best run since handicapping in first-time headgear (retained) latest; improvement needed
6 (9)	Urban Sky Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	133	—	0-0299	63	74	-	17d	—	—	+2	3.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Debut win for Richard Fahey last term; mainly disappointing since; plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Seed Investor	15/8	15/8	9/4
Terrapin	4/1	4/1	7/2
Coonawarra Star	15/2	8/1	7/1
Pacifist	8/1	8/1	8/1
Mister Invincible	10/1	10/1	10/1
Glorious Kitty	11/1	11/1	10/1
Runninsonofagun	11/1	12/1	10/1
Suzette	14/1	16/1	12/1
Mrbluesky	14/1	16/1	12/1
Oceans Charm	28/1	25/1	22/1
Bun Bang Fai	28/1	33/1	25/1
Urban Sky	66/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Seed Investor

22.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Pacifist

11.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

3rd

Runninsonofagun

8.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Mister Invincible

8.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Oceans Charm

7.6

OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Terrapin

6.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Suzette

6.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Coonawarra Star

6.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Glorious Kitty

4.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Bun Bang Fai

4.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Mrbluesky

4.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Urban Sky

3.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Coonawarra Star	65	—	—
Pacifist	65	74	56
Mister Invincible	65	76	64
Runninsonofagun	65	73	25
Seed Investor	64	80	68
Bun Bang Fai	63	75	56
Urban Sky	63	74	—
Oceans Charm	62	75	—
Glorious Kitty	61	70	37
Terrapin	57	77	51
Suzette	57	70	61
Mrbluesky	56	78	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Runninsonofagun	3d ago	Quick return
Suzette	9d ago	Quick return
Mister Invincible	13d ago	Quick return
Pacifist	14d ago	Fit
Glorious Kitty	14d ago	Fit
Mrbluesky	14d ago	Fit
Oceans Charm	15d ago	Fit
Urban Sky	17d ago	Fit
Terrapin	24d ago	Fit
Bun Bang Fai	24d ago	Fit
Seed Investor	34d ago	Fit
Coonawarra Star	400d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.