Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Newcastle (AW)

19:15

Date 2025-10-04

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,653

Winning Time 1m 44.47s (slow by 7.47s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sovereign View (GB) P J McDonald · James Tate	3/1	Won
2nd	Likeness (IRE) Jason Hart · George Boughey	10/1	2
3rd	Champion Island (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Charlie Johnston	16/1	4.75
4th	Be The Standard (FR) Joe Fanning · Hugo Palmer	7/4F	5.5
5th	Dryburgh (IRE) Alexandra Egan · Jane Chapple-Hyam	15/8	9

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Be The Standard Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Hugo Palmer	J:Joe Fanning T:Hugo Palmer	137	—	321	83	87	-	36d	—	—	+1	33.3	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Maiden/novice form reads very well; still unepxosed and could have been let in lightly
5 (4)	Dryburgh Bay J:Alexandra Egan(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Alexandra Egan(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	463	76	86	-	35d	—	—	-10	17.9	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Improved his RPR with each start; 1m should suit and there's more to come from him
3 (3)	Sovereign View Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Tate	J:P J McDonald T:James Tate	131	—	4423	77	86	68	15d	—	—	+1	18.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Progress halted when only 3rd on nursery debut latest; needs more for the extra furlong
2 (5)	Champion Island Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	131	p	541230	77	83	52	44d	—	—	+9	16.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
7f AW winner in June and good efforts in first 2 nurseries; below par latest; headgear now
4 (2)	Likeness Bay J:Jason Hart T:George Boughey	J:Jason Hart T:George Boughey	130	—	336	76	82	58	32d	—	—	+4	12.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Not lived up to market billing thus far but new, longer trip could help

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Be The Standard	7/4	13/8	13/8
Dryburgh	2/1	2/1	15/8
Sovereign View	7/2	7/2	7/2
Champion Island	10/1	9/1	10/1
Likeness	11/1	11/1	10/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Be The Standard

33.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 15 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Sovereign View

18.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Dryburgh

17.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

2/1

Champion Island

16.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Likeness

12.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Be The Standard	83	87	—
Sovereign View	77	86	68
Champion Island	77	83	52
Dryburgh	76	86	—
Likeness	76	82	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sovereign View	15d ago	Fit
Likeness	32d ago	Fit
Dryburgh	35d ago	Fit
Be The Standard	36d ago	Fit
Champion Island	44d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.