Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:20

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-10-11

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 29.71s (slow by 3.71s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Calypso Breeze (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Denis Quinn	9/2	Won
2nd	Athenian Spirit (IRE) Luke Morris · William Knight	25/1	1.5
3rd	Aneedahbeer (IRE) Kyle McHugh · Michael Keady	4/1	.75
4th	Thanh Nam (GB) Paddy Bradley · James Owen	5/2F	3
5th	Miss Ayala (IRE) George Bass · Mark Usher	15/2	0.3
6th	U Heat (GB) Jonny Peate · Noel Wilson	200/1	.5
7th	Queenies Pal (GB) Ashley Lewis · Noel Wilson	40/1	0.3
8th	Woody Y Fernandez (GB) Darragh Keenan · Jennie Candlish	5/1	1.25
9th	Molly Mac (IRE) Jason Watson · Michael Keady	11/1	3.75
10th	Martha's Shadow (IRE) Dale Swift · Alan Brown	50/1	11
11th	Cocktail Lounge (IRE) Kyle Strydom · James Fanshawe	14/1	.5
12th	Looks Likely (GB) Joe Leavy · Hugo Palmer	25/1	14

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (1)	Thanh Nam Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley T:James Owen	J:Paddy Bradley T:James Owen	129	p	7754	49	61	43	23d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Fitting of headgear may enable him to take another step forward; respected
11 (2)	Aneedahbeer Bay J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Michael Keady	J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Michael Keady	125	—	990	45	53	-	92d	—	—	-13	5.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Absent for three months and gelded since last run; market helpful
3 (6)	Woody Y Fernandez Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Darragh Keenan T:Jennie Candlish	134	tp	964322	54	60	59	15d	—	—	+1	15	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Knocking at the door over 6f since switched to nurseries; cheekpieces added
6 (12)	Miss Ayala Bay J:George Bass T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass T:Mark Usher	132	—	866351	52	61	48	23d	—	—	+1	16.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Opened her account with solid success in Chelmsford nursery last time
1 (9)	Molly Mac Bay J:Jason Watson T:Michael Keady	J:Jason Watson T:Michael Keady	135	p	878732	55	62	43	12d	—	—	+2	10.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Placed in a couple of 7f nurseries since wearing cheekpieces; solid chance
7 (3)	Looks Likely Chestnut J:Joe Leavy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Joe Leavy T:Hugo Palmer	131	p	645239	51	58	23	21d	—	—	+1	6.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Always behind last time but may fare better returned to Class 6
4 (11)	Cocktail Lounge Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:James Fanshawe	J:Kyle Strydom T:James Fanshawe	134	v	9844	54	54	7	23d	—	—	-3	2.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
May show progress back down in trip, provided she takes to headgear
5 (10)	Athenian Spirit Bay J:Luke Morris T:William Knight	J:Luke Morris T:William Knight	133	p	6857	53	59	43	19d	—	—	-3	2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Fitting of headgear needs to prompt improvement
10 (5)	Calypso Breeze Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Denis Quinn	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Denis Quinn	125	—	089	45	56	24	23d	—	—	-6	2.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
May fare better now handicapping but her form claims are poor
9 (8)	Martha's Shadow Chestnut J:Dale Swift T:Alan Brown	J:Dale Swift T:Alan Brown	126	p	97629	46	54	27	15d	—	—	+1	4.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
First-time headgear needs to prompt a big rebound
2 (4)	Queenies Pal Bay J:Ashley Lewis(5) T:Noel Wilson	J:Ashley Lewis(5) T:Noel Wilson	134	—	0767	54	56	-	20d	—	—	-1	1.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Nursery debutante who has weak claims on form
12 (7)	U Heat Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Noel Wilson	J:Jonny Peate T:Noel Wilson	125	h	07487	45	50	38	15d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Very poor claims on her sprinting form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Thanh Nam	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Aneedahbeer	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Woody Y Fernandez	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Miss Ayala	11/2	11/2	11/2	13/2	11/2
Molly Mac	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Looks Likely	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Cocktail Lounge	16/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	16/1
Athenian Spirit	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Calypso Breeze	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	22/1
Martha's Shadow	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Queenies Pal	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
U Heat	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miss Ayala

16.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4.4

13/2

2nd

Woody Y Fernandez

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Molly Mac

10.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Thanh Nam

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Looks Likely

6.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Aneedahbeer

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Martha's Shadow

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Cocktail Lounge

2.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Calypso Breeze

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

22/1

Athenian Spirit

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

18/1

Queenies Pal

1.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

U Heat

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Molly Mac	55	62	43
Woody Y Fernandez	54	60	59
Cocktail Lounge	54	54	7
Queenies Pal	54	56	—
Athenian Spirit	53	59	43
Miss Ayala	52	61	48
Looks Likely	51	58	23
Thanh Nam	49	61	43
Martha's Shadow	46	54	27
Aneedahbeer	45	53	—
Calypso Breeze	45	56	24
U Heat	45	50	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Molly Mac	12d ago	Quick return
Woody Y Fernandez	15d ago	Fit
Martha's Shadow	15d ago	Fit
U Heat	15d ago	Fit
Athenian Spirit	19d ago	Fit
Queenies Pal	20d ago	Fit
Looks Likely	21d ago	Fit
Thanh Nam	23d ago	Fit
Miss Ayala	23d ago	Fit
Cocktail Lounge	23d ago	Fit
Calypso Breeze	23d ago	Fit
Aneedahbeer	92d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.