Joan Coote Memorial Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Joan Coote Memorial Handicap

Date 2025-10-14

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,978

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Yes I'm Mali b/br J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:Richard Fahey	136	v	496507	74	84	71	19d	—	—	-8	11.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Course winner; back to form when seventh at Pontefract latest; must enter calculations
7 (10)	Dc Cogent Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Bryan Smart	J:Harrison Shaw T:Bryan Smart	133	—	162849	71	82	71	27d	—	—	-4	11.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Record here reads 2212; off two months before fading ninth at Beverley latest; interesting
13 (12)	Raft Up Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Harriet Bethell	J:Joe Fanning T:Harriet Bethell	126	h	283128	63	82	-	102d	—	—	+5	15.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Three-time C&D winner; eighth at Doncaster in July; no surprise to see him bounce back
9 (8)	Havana Sky Brown J:P J McDonald T:Ed Dunlop	J:P J McDonald T:Ed Dunlop	131	p	364183	68	81	70	10d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	15.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Suffered a poor run when a good Wolver third ten days ago; firmly in the picture
8 (13)	Cairdeas Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	133	—	048046	71	83	-	19d	—	—	-1	7.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
On a losing sequence but solid sixth at Pontefract 19 days ago; one for the shortlist
2 (6)	Raatea Bay J:Oisin McSweeney T:Julie Camacho	J:Oisin McSweeney T:Julie Camacho	138	hp	600-77	75	81	-	67d	—	—	-1	8.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
C&D scorer who has hinted at promise both runs this term; very much one to consider
3 (5)	Fortamour Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	138	—	304908	75	83	-	17d	—	—	0	8.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
On a long losing run and he also arrives below par, only eighth in Ripon h'cap 17 days ago
4 (2)	Lord Abama Chestnut J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:Michael Dods	J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:Michael Dods	137	b	124928	74	82	48	28d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
C&D scorer but not proving the easiest to catch right; well in the mix if on his A-game
5 (3)	The Actor Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	137	v	3-5053	75	85	57	53d	—	—	+5	9.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back on track for current yard when third at Hamilton latest; can make his presence felt
12 (9)	Miss Yorkshire Bay J:Cian Horgan(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Cian Horgan(5) T:Gemma Tutty	130	—	500282	68	80	67	10d	—	—	+8	13.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Still a maiden but back on track when second here ten days ago; can go well again
14 (7)	Chief Of State Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Ben Haslam	J:Cam Hardie T:Ben Haslam	119	tv	548160	56	81	51	12d	—	—	+4	7.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Opened his account at Carlisle (5f) in September but below form twice since
1 (14)	Gressington Grey J:Oisin Orr T:Katie Scott	J:Oisin Orr T:Katie Scott	138	p	384589	75	84	45	42d	—	—	+4	7.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Beat only one at Southwell on final run for Edward Bethell; lots more needed for new yard
11 (1)	Jenni Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	130	—	105838	67	81	46	24d	—	—	+4	7.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
A 7f winner at Musselburgh in May but she arrives below par; others are preferred
10 (11)	Macedonian Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	130	—	492907	68	82	55	22d	—	—	+4	6.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Largely below par for his current yard; not easy to make a case for

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Yes I'm Mali	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	10/3
Dc Cogent	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	11/2
Raft Up	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	7/1
Havana Sky	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Cairdeas	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Raatea	9/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Fortamour	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Lord Abama	12/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
The Actor	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Miss Yorkshire	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Chief Of State	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Gressington	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Jenni	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Macedonian	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Raft Up

15.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.9

7/1

2nd

Havana Sky

15.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 8 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Miss Yorkshire

13.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Lord Abama

12.2

OR: 6 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Yes I'm Mali

11.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Dc Cogent

11.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

The Actor

9.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Raatea

8.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Fortamour

8.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Cairdeas

7.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Chief Of State

7.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1

28/1

Gressington

7.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Jenni

7.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Macedonian

6.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Raatea	75	81	—
Fortamour	75	83	—
The Actor	75	85	57
Gressington	75	84	45
Yes I'm Mali	74	84	71
Lord Abama	74	82	48
Dc Cogent	71	82	71
Cairdeas	71	83	—
Havana Sky	68	81	70
Miss Yorkshire	68	80	67
Macedonian	68	82	55
Jenni	67	81	46
Raft Up	63	82	—
Chief Of State	56	81	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Havana Sky	10d ago	Quick return
Miss Yorkshire	10d ago	Quick return
Chief Of State	12d ago	Quick return
Fortamour	17d ago	Fit
Yes I'm Mali	19d ago	Fit
Cairdeas	19d ago	Fit
Macedonian	22d ago	Fit
Jenni	24d ago	Fit
Dc Cogent	27d ago	Fit
Lord Abama	28d ago	Fit
Gressington	42d ago	Fit
The Actor	53d ago	Fresh
Raatea	67d ago	Fresh
Raft Up	102d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.