Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:45

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-10-27

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Bowood Bay J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	134	—	076634	64	81	68	14d	—	—	-13	13.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Record of 0-16 on the AW and a losing run of 17 suggests others are more likely
1 (8)	Volenti Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Ben Haslam	J:Rowan Scott T:Ben Haslam	135	—	225488	65	75	-	21d	—	—	-13	12.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Four-time C&D winner; respected despite still being 4lb above his last winning mark
6 (6)	Law Supreme Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Ian Williams	J:Edward Greatrex T:Ian Williams	130	t	467666	60	80	64	88d	—	—	-8	6.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Hasn't shaped like a winner waiting to happen lately and is 1-24 since joining this yard
7 (3)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	129	—	555073	59	84	70	14d	—	—	-4	8.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
3lb lower than when last successful, but has only won one of his last 26 starts
4 (7)	Tasever Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Patrick Morris	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Patrick Morris	134	p	869475	64	78	53	10d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
2lb below last winning mark but well held here ten days ago; looks up against it
9 (2)	Concert Boy Bay J:Kaiya Fraser T:Katie Scott	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Katie Scott	122	b	249725	52	78	52	80d	—	—	0	5.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Back of last winning mark, but may just need this after 80 days off
8 (10)	Golden Valour Bay J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	J:David Allan T:R Mike Smith	123	—	481500	53	76	-	18d	—	—	+1	5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Hard to win with and enough to prove back on the AW for the first time in three years
5 (4)	Pallas Lord Bay J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:Donald Whillans	J:Rhys Elliott(5) T:Donald Whillans	132	—	220508	62	82	35	14d	—	—	0	5.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Nine wins here and returns to AW on a fair mark; could go well if not taken on up front
NR (9)	Second Fiddle Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Iain Jardine	J:NON-RUNNER T:Iain Jardine	134	t	011111	64	76	-	10d	—	—	—	28.5	—	—
10lb higher in her bid to make it 6-6 for the yard; can't be opposed easily
NR (1)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Scott Dixon	J:Aidan Keeley T:Scott Dixon	117	b	548042	47	76	65	18d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	5	—	—
Seven wins over C&D and runner-up here last time; frame material again

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bowood	2/1	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Volenti	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Law Supreme	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Alpine Sierra	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Tasever	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Concert Boy	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Golden Valour	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	25/1
Pallas Lord	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	20/1
Second Fiddle	-	-	-	-	-
Pop Favorite	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Second Fiddle

28.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 25 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Bowood

13.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Volenti

12.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 1 Odds: 7.6

5/2

Alpine Sierra

8.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Law Supreme

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Tasever

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Concert Boy

5.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Pallas Lord

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Golden Valour

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Pop Favorite

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Volenti	65	75	—
Bowood	64	81	68
Tasever	64	78	53
Second Fiddle	64	76	—
Pallas Lord	62	82	35
Law Supreme	60	80	64
Alpine Sierra	59	84	70
Golden Valour	53	76	—
Concert Boy	52	78	52
Pop Favorite	47	76	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tasever	10d ago	Quick return
Second Fiddle	10d ago	Quick return
Bowood	14d ago	Fit
Alpine Sierra	14d ago	Fit
Pallas Lord	14d ago	Fit
Golden Valour	18d ago	Fit
Pop Favorite	18d ago	Fit
Volenti	21d ago	Fit
Concert Boy	80d ago	Fresh
Law Supreme	88d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.