Make The Move To Midnite Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:30

Make The Move To Midnite Handicap

Date 2025-11-07

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (10)	Spirit Of Applause b J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	134	b	455174	69	79	74	14d	—	—	-11	19.1	2/1 33%
Good AW record; two defeats since Southwell win have come in stronger races; major player
5 (6)	Blue Lakota ch J:Jack Callan(5) T:Kevin Ryan	J:Jack Callan(5) T:Kevin Ryan	132	—	980686	67	80	58	47d	—	—	-8	9.3	5/1 17%
Three AW wins last winter; struggled since March but latest Southwell run was a bit better
7 (2)	Herakles b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Paul Midgley	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Paul Midgley	129	—	727624	64	80	65	17d	—	—	-1	11.6	11/2 15%
C&D win in June; good in-frame efforts here on last two starts; should remain competitive
2 (12)	Water Of Leith b J:Lauren Young(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Lauren Young(5) T:Jim Goldie	135	—	659076	70	77	46	6d	—	—	-2	7.9	15/2 12%
Not fired in four recent runs after a three-month break; due to be 2lb lower from Saturday
8 (13)	Invincible Crown b J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	t	941241	64	81	75	13d	—	—	+13	21.5	9/1 10%
Two Wolverhampton wins this autumn (awarded race latest); should remain competitive
11 (3)	Orbital Chime b J:Kaiya Fraser T:Katie Scott	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Katie Scott	127	b	928067	62	80	65	13d	—	—	-1	5.7	14/1 7%
Over three years since his last win & recent efforts don't suggest he is the answer today
4 (9)	Cast No Shadow b J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	134	b	800-38	69	77	-	280d	—	—	+1	6.1	16/1 6%
Two C&D wins last year; quiet when last seen and returns in a warm race
1 (8)	Mersea b J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	135	—	052018	70	80	-	90d	—	—	+10	14.7	25/1 4%
50-1 win here (6f) in February; also won on turf in August; capable back from short break
9 (14)	Mini Magna b J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	128	—	-67480	63	79	-	74d	—	—	+1	4.1	33/1 3%
Down in the weights but little this year to think he was ready to exploit his reduced mark
14 (11)	Opal Storm b J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Brian Rothwell	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Brian Rothwell	122	tp	624404	57	80	60	43d	—	—	0	3.8	28/1 3%
Appeared to handle AW well enough last time (6f) but she is a tricky mare to win with
13 (1)	Tickets b J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	124	—	188418	59	79	62	17d	—	—	+7	10.1	33/1 3%
Good 2nd in his one 5f run; on a winning mark but his return to action was uninspiring
10 (5)	Without Flaw b J:Joanna Mason T:Tina Jackson	J:Joanna Mason T:Tina Jackson	128	—	104725	63	78	-	21d	—	—	+4	7.7	33/1 3%
Two Beverley wins in July; in and out since and perhaps vulnerable returned to AW
12 (4)	Basholo b J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Stella Barclay	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Stella Barclay	127	—	828041	62	80	73	27d	—	—	+11	15	33/1 3%
Recorded fifth Wolverhampton success last month (5f); 5lb rise looks harsh; up in class
6 (7)	Desert Champion ch J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	129	—	900800	64	77	44	17d	—	—	+2	4.2	50/1 2%
A wind op didn't help his finishing effort here 17 days ago; too much to prove for comfort

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Spirit Of Applause	13/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	2/1
Blue Lakota	9/2	7/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Herakles	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Water Of Leith	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Invincible Crown	8/1	8/1	8/1	9/1	8/1
Orbital Chime	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Cast No Shadow	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Mersea	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	18/1
Mini Magna	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Opal Storm	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Tickets	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Without Flaw	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	25/1
Basholo	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	25/1
Desert Champion	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Invincible Crown

21.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

2nd

Spirit Of Applause

19.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 9.4

2/1

3rd

Basholo

OR: 3 Form: 11 Odds: 1

33/1

Mersea

14.7

OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Herakles

11.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Tickets

10.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Blue Lakota

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Water Of Leith

7.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Without Flaw

7.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

33/1

Cast No Shadow

6.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Orbital Chime

5.7

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Desert Champion

4.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Mini Magna

4.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Opal Storm

3.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Water Of Leith Top Rated	70	77	46
Mersea	70	80	—
Spirit Of Applause	69	79	74
Cast No Shadow	69	77	—
Blue Lakota	67	80	58
Herakles	64	80	65
Invincible Crown	64	81	75
Desert Champion	64	77	44
Mini Magna	63	79	—
Without Flaw	63	78	—
Orbital Chime	62	80	65
Basholo	62	80	73
Tickets	59	79	62
Opal Storm	57	80	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Water Of Leith	6d ago	Quick return
Invincible Crown	13d ago	Quick return
Orbital Chime	13d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Applause	14d ago	Fit
Herakles	17d ago	Fit
Tickets	17d ago	Fit
Desert Champion	17d ago	Fit
Without Flaw	21d ago	Fit
Basholo	27d ago	Fit
Opal Storm	43d ago	Fit
Blue Lakota	47d ago	Fresh
Mini Magna	74d ago	Fresh
Mersea	90d ago	Fresh
Cast No Shadow	280d ago	Long break