BetMGM: Stay Golden With Responsible Play Fillies' Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Newcastle (AW)

18:40

Date 2025-11-17

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 42.20s (slow by 5.40s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Stateira (FR) William Carver · Andrew Balding	5/2F	Won
2nd	Donna Nook (GB) Ryan Sexton · David O'Meara	12/1	4.5
3rd	Selection (IRE) Barry McHugh · Ivan Furtado	17/2	0.3
4th	La Scanderbeide (IRE) Jack Callan · George Boughey	3/1	2
5th	Queen Of Atlantis (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Peter Chapple-Hyam	6/1	1
6th	Wonderbolt (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · K R Burke	12/1	0.2
7th	Elsie's Ruan (IRE) Lauren Young · Gemma Tutty	10/1	3.75
8th	Bellarchi (IRE) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer	16/1	4.5
9th	Bernalda (GB) Jonny Peate · James Ferguson	10/1	6

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (9)	La Scanderbeide Bay J:Jack Callan(5) T:George Boughey	J:Jack Callan(5) T:George Boughey	130	t	14765	77	88	62	36d	—	—	-7	15.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Debut win (1m, good) followed by four consistent efforts; new tongue-tie needs to lift her
5 (1)	Stateira Chestnut J:William Carver T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver T:Andrew Balding	131	—	13048	78	93	62	127d	—	—	-6	16.6	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Below par last time but interesting on her best efforts and not yet exposed; interesting
2 (2)	Queen Of Atlantis Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	138	—	-02860	83	93	37	45d	—	—	+1	13.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Stiff task last time; record of 3-4 in AW handicaps piques interest back down in grade
7 (4)	Selection Chestnut J:Barry McHugh T:Ivan Furtado	J:Barry McHugh T:Ivan Furtado	130	—	21-015	77	90	44	27d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D win last month but only midfield against male opposition last time; up in class today
4 (8)	Elsie's Ruan Bay J:Lauren Young(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Lauren Young(5) T:Gemma Tutty	133	—	9-7750	80	86	-	30d	—	—	+3	9.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Struggled this year but drops back in trip and has slipped a long way down the weights
3 (7)	Bernalda Chestnut J:Jonny Peate T:James Ferguson	J:Jonny Peate T:James Ferguson	137	tb	232115	82	87	72	45d	—	—	+16	24.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Bolted up over C&D in September but beaten off 9lb lower mark than this next time
9 (3)	Wonderbolt Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	129	—	861176	76	92	69	32d	—	—	+10	16.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won her first two handicaps in August; below par twice since; still early days
6 (6)	Donna Nook Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:David O'Meara	J:Ryan Sexton T:David O'Meara	131	—	523064	78	96	70	13d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Had few chances on AW and it seems to suit her well; should make another bold bid
1 (5)	Bellarchi Chestnut J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	140	—	024108	85	91	53	12d	—	—	+12	16	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Four wins in 2025, including Tapeta; fair mark but needs to rebound from two heavy defeats

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
La Scanderbeide	11/4	11/4	3/1	11/4	3/1
Stateira	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Queen Of Atlantis	6/1	11/2	11/2	13/2	11/2
Selection	15/2	13/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Elsie's Ruan	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Bernalda	10/1	8/1	17/2	9/1	8/1
Wonderbolt	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Donna Nook	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Bellarchi	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bernalda

24.6

OR: 8 Form: 14.1 Odds: 2.5

10/1

2nd

Stateira

16.6

OR: 7 Form: 2.9 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Wonderbolt

16.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 8 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Bellarchi

OR: 8.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.2

20/1

La Scanderbeide

15.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 2 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Queen Of Atlantis

13.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Donna Nook

11.1

OR: 7 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Selection

9.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Elsie's Ruan

9.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bellarchi	85	91	53
Queen Of Atlantis	83	93	37
Bernalda	82	87	72
Elsie's Ruan	80	86	—
Stateira	78	93	62
Donna Nook	78	96	70
La Scanderbeide	77	88	62
Selection	77	90	44
Wonderbolt	76	92	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bellarchi	12d ago	Quick return
Donna Nook	13d ago	Quick return
Selection	27d ago	Fit
Elsie's Ruan	30d ago	Fit
Wonderbolt	32d ago	Fit
La Scanderbeide	36d ago	Fit
Queen Of Atlantis	45d ago	Fit
Bernalda	45d ago	Fit
Stateira	127d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Donna Nook	Prominent
Selection	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 9 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.