Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:15

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-11-24

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,449

Winning Time 1m 41.91s (slow by 5.11s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Studious (IRE) George Wood · Mark Loughnane	7/1	Won
2nd	Joseph (GB) Warren Fentiman · John Butler	3/1	2.5
3rd	Yafaarr (IRE) Tom Eaves · Sam England	5/2F	1.25
4th	Emery Down (GB) Luke Morris · John Butler	6/1	2.75
5th	Jamaican Storm (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Bryan Smart	4/1	4
6th	Jachin (IRE) Jason Hart · Ivan Furtado	12/1	1.25
7th	Roaring Twenties (GB) Sean Kirrane · Craig Lidster	8/1	2.75
8th	Precious Sapphire (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	150/1	2.25

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (7)	Joseph Chestnut J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:John Butler	J:Warren Fentiman(5) T:John Butler	131	p	606647	65	85	71	17d	—	—	-10	9.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Inconsistent maiden but conditions no problem and hes down to a lowly mark; considered
4 (6)	Yafaarr Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	132	—	432312	66	80	66	17d	—	—	+6	25.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
C&D win last month and ran well for second here (7f) this month; big player back at a mile
5 (8)	Jamaican Storm Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Bryan Smart	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Bryan Smart	131	—	306890	65	84	44	20d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-9	9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
0-9 but seems better on AW and the return to this surface could see a full revival
3 (5)	Emery Down Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	134	—	100903	68	81	58	17d	—	—	-1	10.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Back to form when 3rd over 7f here 17 days ago; one of two runners for John Butler
2 (1)	Studious Grey J:George Wood T:Mark Loughnane	J:George Wood T:Mark Loughnane	134	—	490937	68	83	59	47d	—	—	-1	9.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two Tapeta wins around the turn of the year; good mark but has a mixed record since May
1 (3)	Roaring Twenties Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Craig Lidster	J:Sean Kirrane T:Craig Lidster	135	b	385965	69	77	32	20d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-6 but not beaten far at Redcar (7f) three weeks ago; blinkers now enlisted
7 (4)	Jachin Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	130	p	650187	64	81	53	28d	—	—	+4	10.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D win in September but he hasn't backed it up twice since; not a solid option
8 (2)	Precious Sapphire Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	116	—	055	50	61	-	104d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Poor form in three turf starts; out of the weights on handicap debut; plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Joseph	3/1	3/1	3/1
Yafaarr	10/3	10/3	10/3
Jamaican Storm	4/1	4/1	4/1
Emery Down	6/1	6/1	6/1
Studious	7/1	7/1	7/1
Roaring Twenties	8/1	8/1	8/1
Jachin	12/1	11/1	11/1
Precious Sapphire	125/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Yafaarr

25.3

OR: 4 Form: 15.6 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Emery Down

10.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

6/1

3rd

Jachin

10.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Studious

9.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Joseph

9.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Jamaican Storm

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Roaring Twenties

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Precious Sapphire

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roaring Twenties	69	77	32
Emery Down	68	81	58
Studious	68	83	59
Yafaarr	66	80	66
Joseph	65	85	71
Jamaican Storm	65	84	44
Jachin	64	81	53
Precious Sapphire	50	61	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Joseph	17d ago	Fit
Yafaarr	17d ago	Fit
Emery Down	17d ago	Fit
Jamaican Storm	20d ago	Fit
Roaring Twenties	20d ago	Fit
Jachin	28d ago	Fit
Studious	47d ago	Fresh
Precious Sapphire	104d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.