Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-11-25

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 29.82s (slow by 3.62s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Crown The Future (IRE) Neil Callan · Jack Morland	10/11F	Won
2nd	Forceful Lady (GB) Marco Ghiani · Tony Carroll	16/1	1.25
3rd	Molly Mac (IRE) Dylan Hogan · Julia & Shelley Birkett	13/2	5
4th	Twilight Serenade (GB) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	10/1	2
5th	Shush A Minute (GB) Stevie Donohoe · John Butler	20/1	1.75
6th	Lady Birgma (IRE) Tyler Heard · Mark Usher	10/1	0.3
7th	Oh So Perfect (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	4/1	1.75
8th	Rendita (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ollie Pears	66/1	5
9th	Will He Shine (GB) David Egan · Tony Carroll	33/1	2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (1)	Crown The Future Bay J:Neil Callan T:Jack Morland	J:Neil Callan T:Jack Morland	131	—	856	51	54	38	28d	—	—	-24	11.7	0.38/1	6/4 40%
May improve now handicapping and back up in distance
9 (8)	Oh So Perfect Brown J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	131	—	95854	51	57	46	26d	—	—	-14	6	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Possibilities, provided she shows progress for the new trip
1 (4)	Molly Mac Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia & Shelley Birkett	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia & Shelley Birkett	135	h	787329	55	59	43	45d	—	—	-5	10.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
May benefit from first-time hood on debut for new yard
6 (9)	Twilight Serenade Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	134	v	08547	54	52	26	25d	—	—	-5	3.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Chance depends on how well he responds to first-time headgear
4 (2)	Lady Birgma Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	135	v	056	55	55	31	53d	—	—	-5	3.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Produced her best RPR over C&D; fitted with headgear back here
11 (11)	Forceful Lady Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	129	—	80584	49	56	-	36d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has something to prove back on AW
5 (3)	Shush A Minute Bay J:Stevie Donohoe T:John Butler	J:Stevie Donohoe T:John Butler	134	p	8U76	54	57	7	22d	—	—	-2	2.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Combination of new trip and first-time headgear needs to help
12 (7)	Will He Shine Bay J:David Egan T:Tony Carroll	J:David Egan T:Tony Carroll	125	—	7877	45	55	-	116d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Weak claims on form; gelded since last run
2 (6)	Rendita Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ollie Pears	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ollie Pears	135	p	655	55	53	-	25d	—	—	-1	2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
New trip and first-time headgear are possible sources of improvement
NR (12)	Akrivos Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Ian Williams	J:Dougie Costello T:Ian Williams	135	—	050	55	58	-	77d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
May do much better now handicapping on AW and dropped in class
NR (10)	Woody Y Fernandez Bay J:TBC T:Jennie Candlish	J: T:Jennie Candlish	132	h	322853	52	55	61	26d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Comparatively exposed but is one of the main form contenders
NR (5)	Calypso Breeze Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:Denis Quinn	J:Darragh Keenan T:Denis Quinn	132	—	08917	52	55	41	28d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
C&D success on handicap debut; best to forgive subsequent effort

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Crown The Future	5/4	11/8	11/8	5/4	6/4
Oh So Perfect	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Molly Mac	9/2	4/1	9/2	5/1	4/1
Twilight Serenade	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1	9/1
Lady Birgma	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Forceful Lady	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	11/1
Shush A Minute	20/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Will He Shine	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Rendita	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	28/1
Akrivos	-	-	-	-	-
Woody Y Fernandez	-	-	-	-	-
Calypso Breeze	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crown The Future

11.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Molly Mac

10.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Calypso Breeze

7.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Oh So Perfect

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Woody Y Fernandez

OR: 0.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

Lady Birgma

3.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Twilight Serenade

3.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Shush A Minute

2.3

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

20/1

Rendita

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Forceful Lady

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Akrivos

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Will He Shine

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Molly Mac	55	59	43
Lady Birgma	55	55	31
Rendita	55	53	—
Akrivos	55	58	—
Twilight Serenade	54	52	26
Shush A Minute	54	57	7
Woody Y Fernandez	52	55	61
Calypso Breeze	52	55	41
Crown The Future	51	54	38
Oh So Perfect	51	57	46
Forceful Lady	49	56	—
Will He Shine	45	55	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shush A Minute	22d ago	Fit
Twilight Serenade	25d ago	Fit
Rendita	25d ago	Fit
Oh So Perfect	26d ago	Fit
Woody Y Fernandez	26d ago	Fit
Crown The Future	28d ago	Fit
Calypso Breeze	28d ago	Fit
Forceful Lady	36d ago	Fit
Molly Mac	45d ago	Fit
Lady Birgma	53d ago	Fresh
Akrivos	77d ago	Fresh
Will He Shine	116d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.