Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:30

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-12-02

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (11)	Chico Dulce Bay J:Jack Dace(5) T:Michael Madgwick	J:Jack Dace(5) T:Michael Madgwick	132	—	8-3241	56	72	57	28d	—	—	-18	9.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
His two wins have come over 1m/1m2f here; his liking for the track counts for something
5 (5)	Quite Sweet Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	132	—	90781	57	72	62	39d	—	—	-4	18.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
6lb higher than for his win at Southwell last time; respected if as effective on Polytrack
4 (6)	Warrnambool Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Keady	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Keady	132	—	854503	57	74	57	36d	—	—	-4	8.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
0-13, but an eyecatching third over C&D in October; interesting if he can build on that
3 (10)	Jet Packer Chestnut J:Donagh Murphy(7) T:Jim Boyle	J:Donagh Murphy(7) T:Jim Boyle	133	—	046626	58	73	53	—	—	—	-3	8.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Runner-up over C&D in August but not built on it and now 0-17 under rules
7 (12)	Mr Fustic Bay J:Neil Callan T:Andi Brown	J:Neil Callan T:Andi Brown	132	t	348779	56	74	54	12d	—	—	-4	3.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Five-time AW winner and 4lb lower than when scoring over C&D in February; considered
9 (8)	Villalobos Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Simon Hodgson	J:Finley Marsh T:Simon Hodgson	126	v	230453	50	72	48	75d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	5.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Five AW wins and 1lb below last winning mark; may not face much competition for the lead
8 (1)	Rovinia Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	130	—	332315	55	71	64	7d	—	—	+8	13.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Kempton winner in October; each-way claims if seeing out the longer trip
11 (2)	Haveagobeau Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jim Boyle	J:Rob Hornby T:Jim Boyle	123	—	082864	47	69	47	28d	1W/1P 1 run	—	-2	2.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran well when fourth over C&D four weeks ago, but now 0-27; others preferred for the win
1 (4)	Dios De La Guerra Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	135	—	9-5307	60	65	33	113d	—	—	0	3.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
0-5; well beaten in two Kempton handicaps, but ran well over C&D the time before
10 (3)	Celtic John Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Pat Phelan	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Pat Phelan	125	—	9-0528	49	71	45	43d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
0-11 and needs to fare better than in his previous seven goes on the AW
2 (9)	Mighty Ruler Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	134	p	877890	59	65	66	85d	—	—	0	3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-10 and modest form in six starts this year; look elsewhere
12 (7)	Invincible Storm Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ed de Giles	J:Luke Morris T:Ed de Giles	120	—	068709	45	67	46	33d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Just beaten on his Wolverhampton reappearance, but well held since and now 0-16

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Chico Dulce	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	9/4
Quite Sweet	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	5/2
Warrnambool	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Jet Packer	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Mr Fustic	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Villalobos	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Rovinia	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Haveagobeau	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Dios De La Guerra	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	22/1
Celtic John	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Mighty Ruler	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Invincible Storm	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Quite Sweet

18.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Rovinia

13.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.3

18/1

3rd

Chico Dulce

9.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Jet Packer

8.8

OR: 2 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Warrnambool

8.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Villalobos

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Mr Fustic

3.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2

10/1

Dios De La Guerra

3.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Mighty Ruler

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Haveagobeau

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Celtic John

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Invincible Storm

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dios De La Guerra	60	65	33
Mighty Ruler	59	65	66
Jet Packer	58	73	53
Quite Sweet	57	72	62
Warrnambool	57	74	57
Chico Dulce	56	72	57
Mr Fustic	56	74	54
Rovinia	55	71	64
Villalobos	50	72	48
Celtic John	49	71	45
Haveagobeau	47	69	47
Invincible Storm	45	67	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rovinia	7d ago	Quick return
Mr Fustic	12d ago	Quick return
Chico Dulce	28d ago	Fit
Haveagobeau	28d ago	Fit
Invincible Storm	33d ago	Fit
Warrnambool	36d ago	Fit
Quite Sweet	39d ago	Fit
Celtic John	43d ago	Fit
Villalobos	75d ago	Fresh
Mighty Ruler	85d ago	Fresh
Dios De La Guerra	113d ago	Long break
Jet Packer	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.