North Farm Stud Home Of HEROS Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

17:00

Date 2025-12-10

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,320

Winning Time 1m 26.79s (slow by 2.59s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Botagoz (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	15/2	Won
2nd	Areti (GB) Billy Loughnane · Oliver Cole	3/1	1.25
3rd	Twinkle Belle (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden	8/11F	.5
4th	Nochebuena (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	13/2	2.25
5th	Lotus (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker	14/1	0.2
6th	Stole My Heart (IRE) Hector Crouch · Clive Cox	40/1	3.5
7th	Darn Hot Dame (GB) Sean Levey · Tom Ward	40/1	6
8th	Blossom In The Air (GB) William Cox · Dominic Ffrench Davis	200/1	11

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (8)	Twinkle Belle b/br J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-34	17.9	8/11 58%
Well-related newcomer from a powerful stable; one to note, especially if supported
1 (3)	Areti Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Oliver Cole	J:Billy Loughnane T:Oliver Cole	128	—	36	-	87	-	39d	—	—	-14	8.8	3/1 25%
Promise in two 7f runs at Newmarket; this looks easier and she sets a fair standard
7 (1)	Nochebuena Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	15/2 12%
Half-sister to a UAE dirt winner out of a top-class perfomer in Peru; intriguing newcomer
3 (6)	Botagoz Brown J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	9/1 10%
260,000euros half-sister to two winners out of a Group 2 winner; likely type on paper
5 (4)	Lotus Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	16/1 6%
Half-sister to three winners out of a 7f winner (including AW); market should guide
8 (9)	Stole My Heart Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Clive Cox	J:Hector Crouch T:Clive Cox	128	—	6	-	55	41	15d	—	—	-2	0.9	40/1 2%
Down the field when 20-1 for last month's Wolverhampton debut (6f); improvement essential
4 (5)	Darn Hot Dame Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	40/1 2%
Half-sister to 5 winners out of 1m4f AW winner; will stay further but worth a market check
2 (7)	Blossom In The Air Bay J:William Cox T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:William Cox T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	60	-	59	-	98d	—	—	-1	0.3	200/1 0%
Down the field in two sprint maidens five months apart; up in trip but enough to prove
NR (2)	Midnight Media Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
Only minor appeal on paper and stable have few winning 2yo newcomers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Twinkle Belle	8/11	4/6	8/11	8/13	8/11
Areti	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Nochebuena	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Botagoz	9/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Lotus	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Stole My Heart	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Darn Hot Dame	40/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Blossom In The Air	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	125/1
Midnight Media	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Twinkle Belle

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 17.9

8/11

2nd

Areti

8.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Nochebuena

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Botagoz

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Lotus

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Darn Hot Dame

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

40/1

Stole My Heart

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Blossom In The Air

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Midnight Media

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Twinkle Belle	—	—	—
Areti	—	87	—
Nochebuena	—	—	—
Botagoz	—	—	—
Lotus	—	—	—
Stole My Heart	—	55	41
Darn Hot Dame	—	—	—
Blossom In The Air	—	59	—
Midnight Media	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stole My Heart	15d ago	Fit
Areti	39d ago	Fit
Blossom In The Air	98d ago	Long break
Twinkle Belle	—	—
Nochebuena	—	—
Botagoz	—	—
Lotus	—	—
Darn Hot Dame	—	—
Midnight Media	—	—