Kennet Valley & HEROS Celebrate Tullius Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

17:30

Kennet Valley & HEROS Celebrate Tullius Handicap

Date 2025-12-10

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 26.16s (slow by 1.96s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Gunlock (USA) Darragh Keenan · Martin Dunne	18/1	Won
2nd	Waistcoat (GB) Jack Mitchell · Ross Burdon	5/1	0.3
3rd	Lerwick (GB) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	3/1	.75
4th	Red Mirage (IRE) P J McDonald · John & Sean Quinn	9/1	0.05
5th	Amused (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Jim Boyle	25/1	.75
6th	Lexington Jet (IRE) Rossa Ryan · David Loughnane	14/1	1.25
7th	Packetofbiscuits (GB) Luke Morris · John Mackie	17/2	0.2
8th	Dakota Power (GB) Donagh Murphy · Roger Teal	40/1	.5
9th	Tenbob Tommy (GB) Charles Bishop · Sheena West	13/8F	0.05
10th	Capote's Dream (IRE) Alec Voikhansky · Tom Ward	50/1	0.1
11th	Rory's Royale (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Simon Hodgson	33/1	.75
12th	Kev (GB) Sean Levey · Tom Ward	50/1	2.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Tenbob Tommy Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Sheena West	J:Charles Bishop T:Sheena West	131	—	356222	71	89	70	15d	—	—	-3	24.7	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Maiden who is knocking at the door; ran well on AW debut last time; possibilities
6 (2)	Lerwick Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	130	—	579746	70	92	87	21d	—	—	-11	11.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
0-8 for current stable but has slipped to an attractive mark; not ruled out
11 (11)	Waistcoat Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Ross Burdon	J:Jack Mitchell T:Ross Burdon	127	t	351429	67	87	67	49d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
All wins on turf; went close over C&D on penultimate start; hindered by wide trip latest
3 (9)	Red Mirage Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:John & Sean Quinn	J:P J McDonald T:John & Sean Quinn	132	—	337426	72	88	73	37d	—	—	+3	12.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ran below market expectations last time but a rebound would put him in the picture
2 (1)	Packetofbiscuits Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Mackie	J:Luke Morris T:John Mackie	133	b	369180	73	86	56	19d	—	—	+6	12.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not particularly solid on his two efforts for new yard since winning a seller
10 (10)	Lexington Jet Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	127	hp	433203	67	86	67	13d	—	—	+6	13.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Maiden who has found some consistency; solid chance, with cheekpieces added
1 (5)	Gunlock Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	135	t	00-560	75	88	70	236d	—	—	+3	7.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
AW winner in 2024 but failed to beat a rival when last seen; new stable
4 (12)	Amused Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Jim Boyle	J:Paddy Bradley T:Jim Boyle	132	v	310255	72	80	60	15d	—	—	+7	11.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ex-French 3yo who has something to find on balance of British form
8 (3)	Dakota Power Bay J:Donagh Murphy(7) T:Roger Teal	J:Donagh Murphy(7) T:Roger Teal	128	—	967354	68	87	-	99d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	6.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Absent since September; gained his only AW success in 2021
9 (7)	Rory's Royale Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Simon Hodgson	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Simon Hodgson	127	—	853	67	76	35	34d	—	—	+5	8.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Bred to do better still, being half-brother to several winners for his owners
12 (8)	Capote's Dream Brown J:Alec Voikhansky T:Tom Ward	J:Alec Voikhansky T:Tom Ward	127	—	2-4490	67	84	73	15d	—	—	+6	8.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has regressive form this year; comfortably held on return from break last time
7 (6)	Kev Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	130	—	62-6	70	80	-	328d	—	—	+3	5.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Open to progress in handicaps; returns from a layoff; heed the market signals

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Tenbob Tommy	15/8	15/8	15/8
Lerwick	3/1	3/1	3/1
Waistcoat	11/2	11/2	5/1
Red Mirage	15/2	8/1	8/1
Packetofbiscuits	12/1	11/1	11/1
Lexington Jet	12/1	12/1	11/1
Gunlock	18/1	16/1	16/1
Amused	25/1	25/1	22/1
Dakota Power	28/1	28/1	28/1
Rory's Royale	40/1	33/1	33/1
Capote's Dream	50/1	40/1	40/1
Kev	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tenbob Tommy

24.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 11 Odds: 8.5

15/8

2nd

Waistcoat

14.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Lexington Jet

13.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Packetofbiscuits

12.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Red Mirage

12.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Lerwick

11.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Amused

11.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Capote's Dream

8.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Rory's Royale

8.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Gunlock

7.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Dakota Power

6.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Kev

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gunlock	75	88	70
Packetofbiscuits	73	86	56
Red Mirage	72	88	73
Amused	72	80	60
Tenbob Tommy	71	89	70
Lerwick	70	92	87
Kev	70	80	—
Dakota Power	68	87	—
Waistcoat	67	87	67
Lexington Jet	67	86	67
Rory's Royale	67	76	35
Capote's Dream	67	84	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lexington Jet	13d ago	Quick return
Tenbob Tommy	15d ago	Fit
Amused	15d ago	Fit
Capote's Dream	15d ago	Fit
Packetofbiscuits	19d ago	Fit
Lerwick	21d ago	Fit
Rory's Royale	34d ago	Fit
Red Mirage	37d ago	Fit
Waistcoat	49d ago	Fresh
Dakota Power	99d ago	Long break
Gunlock	236d ago	Long break
Kev	328d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.