Read Meg Nicholl's Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:30

Read Meg Nicholl's Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-12-12

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (8)	Watchdog Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	131	—	4586	56	59	50	48d	—	—	-13	7.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Not disgraced with Wolverhampton sixth in October; since gelded and can't be discounted
7 (6)	Popty Ping Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	132	v	476323	57	65	53	10d	—	—	0	13.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Consistent maiden; solid third at Newcastle latest; ought to be in the shake-up again
4 (10)	New Objective Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jack Morland	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jack Morland	133	—	690	58	60	37	43d	—	—	-9	6.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Outpaced when tenth at Chelmsford latest; can do better back up in trip now handicapping
2 (9)	Baggot Street Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	135	p	443545	60	63	49	14d	—	—	-7	7.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Still a maiden but not discredited when fifth over C&D two weeks ago; possibilities
10 (7)	Diamond Ali Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia & Shelley Birkett	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia & Shelley Birkett	126	p	070427	51	65	33	15d	—	—	-3	6.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Beat only one at Chelmsford 15 days ago; he needs to bounce back on his Tapeta debut
3 (2)	Flying Macs Bay J:George Bass T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass T:Mark Usher	134	—	453537	59	64	63	48d	—	—	-2	7.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In good nick until seventh from wide draw at Wolver 48 days ago; the sort to bounce back
5 (3)	Mereside Princess br/gr J:Lewis Edmunds T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Lewis Edmunds T:David & Nicola Barron	133	b	04833	58	61	32	24d	—	—	0	9.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In good form since blinkered/handicapping, third at Newcastle latest; needs considering
1 (5)	Heated Moment Bay J:Jason Watson T:Ollie Sangster	J:Jason Watson T:Ollie Sangster	135	—	5087	60	61	14	39d	—	—	-1	3.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Drawn wide when last on her nursery debut at Wolverhampton; she could still do better here
11 (1)	Havana Song Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	120	—	8778	45	58	28	20d	—	—	-2	0.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Has offered little on her four runs, beating just one in Wolverhampton nursery last time
NR (11)	Uncle Nader Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Jones	J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Jones	132	p	5082	57	61	40	15d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
Blinkered when very good second at Chelmsford latest; a player in a change of headgear
NR (4)	Giles Glory Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Joseph Parr	J:Cieren Fallon T:Joseph Parr	127	b	568974	52	60	-	45d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Cheekpieces on when below-par Leicester fourth 45 days ago; since gelded and more needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Watchdog	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Popty Ping	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
New Objective	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Baggot Street	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Diamond Ali	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Flying Macs	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Mereside Princess	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Heated Moment	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Havana Song	80/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Uncle Nader	-	-	-	-	-
Giles Glory	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Popty Ping

13.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 8 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Mereside Princess

9.8

OR: 2 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Flying Macs

7.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Watchdog

7.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Baggot Street

7.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

11/2

Uncle Nader

6.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

New Objective

6.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Diamond Ali

6.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Heated Moment

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Havana Song

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Giles Glory

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Baggot Street	60	63	49
Heated Moment	60	61	14
Flying Macs	59	64	63
New Objective	58	60	37
Mereside Princess	58	61	32
Popty Ping	57	65	53
Uncle Nader	57	61	40
Watchdog	56	59	50
Giles Glory	52	60	—
Diamond Ali	51	65	33
Havana Song	45	58	28

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Popty Ping	10d ago	Quick return
Baggot Street	14d ago	Fit
Diamond Ali	15d ago	Fit
Uncle Nader	15d ago	Fit
Havana Song	20d ago	Fit
Mereside Princess	24d ago	Fit
Heated Moment	39d ago	Fit
New Objective	43d ago	Fit
Giles Glory	45d ago	Fit
Watchdog	48d ago	Fresh
Flying Macs	48d ago	Fresh