Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

3:22

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-12-18

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (8)	Triggerman b J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	128	p	534223	68	91	46	24d	—	—	0	19.8	7/2 22%
1-18 but returned after wind op with close third at Newcastle: respected back up in trip
2 (3)	Down To The Kid ch J:Jack Mitchell T:Michael Herrington	J:Jack Mitchell T:Michael Herrington	134	—	211144	74	85	75	201d	—	—	+4	21	4/1 20%
Three C&D wins in spring but he's been vulnerable last twice; returns after 201 days off
8 (10)	Dream Pirate b J:Pat Cosgrave T:T J Kent	J:Pat Cosgrave T:T J Kent	127	b	353185	67	86	55	24d	—	—	0	14.2	5/1 17%
Four-time turf winner but he's 0-11 on AW and others look stronger
4 (1)	Hale End b J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	131	p	752353	71	89	64	21d	—	—	+3	14.3	7/1 13%
On dangerous mark and was creditable third at Newcastle three weeks ago; respected
1 (9)	Urban Road ch J:Barry McHugh T:Alan Brown	J:Barry McHugh T:Alan Brown	135	v	123445	75	88	63	21d	—	—	+2	10.5	9/1 10%
Tapeta specialist but he looks weighted near best and others are more persuasive
10 (4)	Rising Force ch J:Sean D Bowen T:Darryll Holland	J:Sean D Bowen T:Darryll Holland	120	—	845821	60	86	77	110d	—	—	+10	18.2	10/1 9%
Won at Lingfield in August but this is tougher off 4lb higher on stable debut
9 (6)	Noisy Music b J:Saffie Osborne T:Michael Appleby	J:Saffie Osborne T:Michael Appleby	127	—	612256	67	86	69	10d	—	—	+6	12	12/1 8%
Dual Tapeta winner but flopped at Wolverhampton last time and needs to bounce back
5 (2)	Double Time b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Tim Vaughan	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Tim Vaughan	130	ht	891614	70	88	77	43d	—	—	+10	16.7	12/1 8%
Won at Kempton in October but he's not easy to predict and was well held last time
3 (7)	Renesmee b J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Keady	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Keady	134	p	421841	74	87	73	42d	—	—	+15	21.7	12/1 8%
Hit a personal best with a 4l win at Chelmsford last month; respected up 9lb
6 (5)	Soames Forsyte b J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	129	p	381790	69	87	13	56d	—	—	+5	8.7	25/1 4%
Triple course winner but he's lost his way and needs to get back on track

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Triggerman	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Down To The Kid	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Dream Pirate	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Hale End	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
Urban Road	9/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1
Rising Force	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	10/1
Noisy Music	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Double Time	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Renesmee	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Soames Forsyte	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Renesmee

21.7

OR: 6 Form: 14 Odds: 1.7

12/1

2nd

Down To The Kid

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Triggerman

19.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Rising Force

18.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Double Time

16.7

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Hale End

14.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 6 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Dream Pirate

14.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 4

5/1

Noisy Music

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Urban Road

10.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Soames Forsyte

8.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Urban Road Top Rated	75	88	63
Down To The Kid	74	85	75
Renesmee	74	87	73
Hale End	71	89	64
Double Time	70	88	77
Soames Forsyte	69	87	13
Triggerman	68	91	46
Dream Pirate	67	86	55
Noisy Music	67	86	69
Rising Force	60	86	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Noisy Music	10d ago	Quick return
Hale End	21d ago	Fit
Urban Road	21d ago	Fit
Triggerman	24d ago	Fit
Dream Pirate	24d ago	Fit
Renesmee	42d ago	Fit
Double Time	43d ago	Fit
Soames Forsyte	56d ago	Fresh
Rising Force	110d ago	Long break
Down To The Kid	201d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Rising Force	Hold Up
Soames Forsyte	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.