Howden Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Ascot

14:25

Date 2025-12-20

Distance 3m102y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £71,188

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Honesty Policy Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mark Walsh T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	2111-2	148	155	112	234d	—	—	+13	36.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Lightly raced and progressive; winner and runner-up in Grade 1 novices; high on the list
8	Impose Toi Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	161	—	24-211	153	159	107	22d	—	—	+10	32.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Improving 7yo; beat Strong Leader in Grade 2 and may not have reached his limit just yet
10	Potters Charm Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	161	—	115-F3	145	153	127	28d	—	—	+15	27.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Third in 2m3f Grade 2 on this course last time; unexposed over 3m+; might be the answer
11	Strong Leader Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	161	p	042-12	156	163	141	22d	—	—	+17	30.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Close second to Impose Toi last month and now better off at the weights; solid contender
9	Jet Blue Bay J:Harry Cobden T:D Cottin	J:Harry Cobden T:D Cottin	161	p	219-42	152	154	-	35d	—	—	+20	27.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Good second in Grade 1 event at Auteuil but that still leaves him with an uphill task
4	Crambo Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	161	tp	15F-78	154	161	95	28d	—	—	+22	27.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won this race in 2023 and 2024 but has become inconsistent and others look much safer
3	Colonel Mustard Chestnut J:John Shinnick T:Mrs Lorna Fowler	J:John Shinnick T:Mrs Lorna Fowler	161	—	54-511	151	158	117	33d	—	—	+22	26.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Veteran; better than ever with two recent wins but this is tougher and he's unproven at 3m
2	Beauport Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	J:Tom Bellamy T:Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	161	—	1320-4	154	160	135	34d	—	—	+23	27	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Better known as a chaser; third 12 months ago but this race is stronger
1	Altobelli Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Harry Fry	J:Bryan Carver T:Harry Fry	161	tp	2118-5	147	154	137	28d	—	—	+22	25.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Bit to find on the figures and folded tamely on his only previous attempt at 3m
5	Doddiethegreat Bay J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	J:James Bowen T:Nicky Henderson	161	tp	21-234	147	155	138	22d	—	—	+22	25.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Good efforts in Grade 2 events this autumn; likely to give running again but needs more
6	Gwennie May Boy Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Olly Murphy	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Olly Murphy	161	—	5196-7	146	158	130	28d	—	—	+22	24.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Showed little at 80-1 on reappearance/stable debut and has plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Honesty Policy	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4
Impose Toi	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Potters Charm	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Strong Leader	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	5/1
Jet Blue	10/1	9/1	10/1	11/1	12/1
Crambo	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Colonel Mustard	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	25/1
Beauport	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Altobelli	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Doddiethegreat	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Gwennie May Boy	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Honesty Policy

36.4

OR: 24.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.9

11/4

2nd

Impose Toi

32.4

OR: 25.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Strong Leader

30.1

OR: 26.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Jet Blue

27.6

OR: 25.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Crambo

27.5

OR: 26 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

14/1

Potters Charm

27.4

OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Beauport

OR: 26 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Colonel Mustard

26.3

OR: 25.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Doddiethegreat

25.3

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Altobelli

25.1

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Gwennie May Boy

24.7

OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Strong Leader	156	163	141
Crambo	154	161	95
Beauport	154	160	135
Impose Toi	153	159	107
Jet Blue	152	154	—
Colonel Mustard	151	158	117
Honesty Policy	148	155	112
Altobelli	147	154	137
Doddiethegreat	147	155	138
Gwennie May Boy	146	158	130
Potters Charm	145	153	127

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Impose Toi	22d ago	Fit
Strong Leader	22d ago	Fit
Doddiethegreat	22d ago	Fit
Potters Charm	28d ago	Fit
Crambo	28d ago	Fit
Altobelli	28d ago	Fit
Gwennie May Boy	28d ago	Fit
Colonel Mustard	33d ago	Fit
Beauport	34d ago	Fit
Jet Blue	35d ago	Fit
Honesty Policy	234d ago	Long break