Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:00

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2025-12-30

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Rain 0%

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	My Dad Tom Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	135	—	672446	64	67	44	22d	—	—	-11	11.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Not at best last time but this is a drop in class and he's a contender on his best form
4 (5)	Must Be Ten Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	133	b	238055	62	61	47	15d	—	—	-7	8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Dropping down the weights but needs to raise his game a level if he is to break his duck
2 (8)	Havana Jag Bay J:George Wood T:Dylan Cunha	J:George Wood T:Dylan Cunha	135	—	3623	64	66	65	17d	—	—	+2	14.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Placed in 3 of her 4 starts; steps back up to 6f for her nursery debut; not fully exposed
11 (7)	Far Too Fizzy Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	127	—	501528	56	66	62	12d	—	—	0	11.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well beaten over 7f last time but earlier 6f nursery form brings him into the reckoning
7 (11)	Sunlit Sea Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	131	b	072332	60	66	48	14d	—	—	+5	15.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Three good nursery runs, beaten a short head at Newcastle latest; now blinkered; wide draw
6 (9)	Blindfold Games Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	133	t	65924	62	63	55	12d	—	—	0	9.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Unsuited by the drop to 5f last time; earlier Lingfield 2nd was a promising run; e-w shout
3 (4)	Reality Queen Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	134	—	99714	63	68	19	71d	—	—	+4	12.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Bath win (5.7f) in September; below par on heavy next time; capable of better
5 (6)	Baileys Ontherocks Brown J:Hector Crouch T:James Tate	J:Hector Crouch T:James Tate	133	—	63645	62	65	47	26d	—	—	0	5.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
No real progress over 5f, including nursery debut latest; new trip not enough to tempt
9 (3)	Spirit Of Mara Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	130	—	976	59	65	-	21d	—	—	0	3.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Modest form in 3 starts, the latest his AW debut; improvement essential now handicapping
10 (1)	Resalah Chestnut J:Edward Greatrex T:Nikki Evans	J:Edward Greatrex T:Nikki Evans	128	—	055467	57	68	29	85d	—	—	+1	2.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Modest form for Alice Haynes; sold 1,000gns in October; drops in trip on stable debut
NR (10)	Mister Moet Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	131	p	078442	60	69	63	8d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Good effort over 5f here last week but this is a deeper race and opposable back at 6f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
My Dad Tom	3/1	11/4	11/4	3/1	5/2
Must Be Ten	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Havana Jag	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Far Too Fizzy	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Sunlit Sea	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Blindfold Games	7/1	8/1	8/1	7/1	8/1
Reality Queen	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	17/2
Baileys Ontherocks	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Spirit Of Mara	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Resalah	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Mister Moet	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sunlit Sea

15.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 2.9

7/1

2nd

Havana Jag

14.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.4 Odds: 3.3

6/1

3rd

Reality Queen

12.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

10/1

My Dad Tom

11.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Far Too Fizzy

11.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Blindfold Games

9.2

OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Must Be Ten

OR: 3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Mister Moet

7.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Baileys Ontherocks

5.5

OR: 3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Spirit Of Mara

3.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Resalah

2.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
My Dad Tom	64	67	44
Havana Jag	64	66	65
Reality Queen	63	68	19
Must Be Ten	62	61	47
Blindfold Games	62	63	55
Baileys Ontherocks	62	65	47
Sunlit Sea	60	66	48
Mister Moet	60	69	63
Spirit Of Mara	59	65	—
Resalah	57	68	29
Far Too Fizzy	56	66	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mister Moet	8d ago	Quick return
Far Too Fizzy	12d ago	Quick return
Blindfold Games	12d ago	Quick return
Sunlit Sea	14d ago	Fit
Must Be Ten	15d ago	Fit
Havana Jag	17d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Mara	21d ago	Fit
My Dad Tom	22d ago	Fit
Baileys Ontherocks	26d ago	Fit
Reality Queen	71d ago	Fresh
Resalah	85d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.