Read Meg Nicholl's Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

7:15

Read Meg Nicholl's Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Date 2026-01-23

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,972

Weather Overcast

Temp 5.9°C

Wind 11mph SE

Rain 6%

Runners (7)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Baker Blue b J:Rossa Ryan T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rossa Ryan T:Dylan Cunha	135	—	5421-4	85	91	74	17d	—	—	-8	16	5/2 29%
Two attempts for new stable include a Southwell win; may do better still on AW
3 (5)	Magic Stone b J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	132	—	2212-3	82	92	67	17d	—	—	-5	17.7	11/4 27%
Has consistent form over 6f; likely player provided he copes with drop in distance
6 (3)	Ambishio b J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Appleby	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Appleby	125	—	42060-	75	87	-	134d	—	—	-4	12.8	4/1 20%
0-5 on turf; drops back in class but is less solid than others in form terms
4 (1)	Fortification ch J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	131	p	321-	81	88	41	55d	—	—	+11	27.8	9/2 18%
Solid record (321) in novice events; took well to cheekpieces last time; respected
1 (6)	Jack The Bachelor b J:Alex Jary(3) T:Antony Brittain	J:Alex Jary(3) T:Antony Brittain	137	h	21603-	87	89	56	34d	—	—	+11	18.4	12/1 8%
Beaten only 1l at Newcastle on stable debut; possibilities if building on that effort
5 (7)	Guernsey Angel br J:Pat Cosgrave T:David Evans	J:Pat Cosgrave T:David Evans	126	—	40131-	76	84	61	42d	—	—	+18	25.7	12/1 8%
Record of 131 since handicapping and switched to AW; won at Southwell last time
7 (4)	Call Margot gr J:Kaiya Fraser T:Gemma Tutty	J:Kaiya Fraser T:Gemma Tutty	123	—	657-	73	88	-	204d	—	—	+3	6.8	28/1 3%
Something to prove off her opening mark on debut for new stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Baker Blue	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Magic Stone	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Ambishio	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Fortification	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Jack The Bachelor	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Guernsey Angel	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Call Margot	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fortification

27.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 15 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Guernsey Angel

25.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 17.1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Jack The Bachelor

18.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Magic Stone

17.7

OR: 8 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Baker Blue

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Ambishio

12.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5

4/1

Call Margot

6.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jack The Bachelor Top Rated	87	89	56
Baker Blue	85	91	74
Magic Stone	82	92	67
Fortification	81	88	41
Guernsey Angel	76	84	61
Ambishio	75	87	—
Call Margot	73	88	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baker Blue	17d ago	Fit
Magic Stone	17d ago	Fit
Jack The Bachelor	34d ago	Fit
Guernsey Angel	42d ago	Fit
Fortification	55d ago	Fresh
Ambishio	134d ago	Long break
Call Margot	204d ago	Long break