Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

15:52

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Date 2026-02-06

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Weather Light Rain

Temp 4°C

Wind 11mph E

Rain 100%

Winning Time 1m 29.35s (slow by 3.15s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lion Of Mali (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	13/2	Won
2nd	Tafah (IRE) William Carson · Tony Carroll	9/1	0.3
3rd	Marra Donna (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Ollie Sangster	EvensF	0.3
4th	Sup Of Red (IRE) Taryn Langley · Adrian Wintle	50/1	.75
5th	Madman (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Tom Ward	6/1	.75
6th	Luna Beaux (IRE) Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	9/2	2.25
7th	Alfa Duplicate (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Ivan Furtado	20/1	1.25
8th	Pivotal Terms (GB) Mohammed Tabti · Iain Jardine	18/1	0.05
9th	Smartanck (IRE) William Pyle · Antony Brittain	25/1	1.75
10th	Denby's Dream (GB) Edward Greatrex · Charlie Pike	28/1	2
11th	Neat And Tidy (GB) Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	80/1	.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (8)	Marra Donna Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ollie Sangster	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ollie Sangster	133	—	859-	63	64	57	60d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-23	15.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Hinted at ability in the second of his three novices last year; worth a market check
12 (7)	Luna Beaux Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	124	—	0747-1	54	81	60	10d	—	—	-2	16.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has a 6lb penalty for bolting up here ten days ago, but still 6lb well in; hard to beat
9 (12)	Lion Of Mali Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	131	—	5072-	61	64	38	92d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-1	11.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Beaten just a nose on nursery debut in November, but not seen since and drawn widest
10 (5)	Madman Bay J:Alec Voikhansky T:Tom Ward	J:Alec Voikhansky T:Tom Ward	131	tv	5264-1	61	71	45	30d	—	—	+5	15.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Made it 11th-time lucky at Kempton last month; up 5lb but still makes the shortlist
11 (6)	Tafah Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	128	—	377-44	58	68	52	25d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Fourth in both handicaps last month and the form has worked out well, but 7f is a doubt
4 (3)	Pivotal Terms Chestnut J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	134	—	70637-	64	69	62	58d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+2	7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Some ability on Polytrack in Ireland; worth monitoring in the market on stable debut
5 (1)	Alfa Duplicate Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Ivan Furtado	J:Jack Mitchell T:Ivan Furtado	133	—	572-6	63	68	43	11d	—	—	-1	4.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Should be better for her return here 11 days ago, but not bred to improve for 7f
2 (10)	Denby's Dream Grey J:Edward Greatrex T:Charlie Pike	J:Edward Greatrex T:Charlie Pike	135	—	368-	65	68	-	168d	—	—	+3	6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Half-sister to an AW winner; worth a market check upped in trip on stable/handicap debut
3 (4)	Smartanck Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Antony Brittain	J:William Pyle(3) T:Antony Brittain	134	t	45134-	64	69	56	63d	—	—	+8	11.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won a nursery over C&D in September but failed to beat a rival on stable debut
7 (9)	Sup Of Red Bay J:Taryn Langley(5) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Taryn Langley(5) T:Adrian Wintle	133	—	94465-	63	66	50	93d	—	—	+1	4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Showed ability in Ireland last year and worth a second look on stable debut
8 (2)	Neat And Tidy Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	132	p	559-	62	70	-	58d	—	—	+1	3.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well held in two starts after a fairly promising debut; improvement needed; cheekpieces on
NR (11)	Watchdog Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Fahey	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Fahey	135	—	8621-4	65	-	-	11d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Marra Donna	6/5	11/8	6/5	11/10	5/4
Luna Beaux	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1	4/1
Lion Of Mali	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Madman	13/2	6/1	6/1	7/1	6/1
Tafah	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	15/2
Pivotal Terms	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	16/1
Alfa Duplicate	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	12/1
Denby's Dream	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Smartanck	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	33/1
Sup Of Red	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	33/1
Neat And Tidy	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	40/1
Watchdog	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Luna Beaux

16.2

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Marra Donna

15.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

11/8

3rd

Madman

15.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Lion Of Mali

11.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Smartanck

11.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Pivotal Terms

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Denby's Dream

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Alfa Duplicate

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Tafah

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Sup Of Red

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Watchdog

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Neat And Tidy

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Denby's Dream	65	68	—
Watchdog	65	—	—
Pivotal Terms	64	69	62
Smartanck	64	69	56
Marra Donna	63	64	57
Alfa Duplicate	63	68	43
Sup Of Red	63	66	50
Neat And Tidy	62	70	—
Lion Of Mali	61	64	38
Madman	61	71	45
Tafah	58	68	52
Luna Beaux	54	81	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Luna Beaux	10d ago	Quick return
Alfa Duplicate	11d ago	Quick return
Watchdog	11d ago	Quick return
Tafah	25d ago	Fit
Madman	30d ago	Fit
Pivotal Terms	58d ago	Fresh
Neat And Tidy	58d ago	Fresh
Marra Donna	60d ago	Fresh
Smartanck	63d ago	Fresh
Lion Of Mali	92d ago	Long break
Sup Of Red	93d ago	Long break
Denby's Dream	168d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.