Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:00

Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

Date 2026-03-17

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Weather Overcast

Temp 9.5°C

Wind 10mph S

Rain 0%

Winning Time 1m 14.67s (slow by 2.77s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Luna Beaux (IRE) Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	16/5	Won
2nd	Telling Time (GB) Rob Hornby · Charlie Longsdon	18/1	0.3
3rd	Mademoiselle Belle (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	6/1	0.1
4th	In Denial (GB) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	22/1	.5
5th	Faithful Dream (GB) Rossa Ryan · Michael Appleby	5/2F	0.3
6th	Saxon Grace (IRE) Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	11/4	.5
7th	Backfire (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	40/1	0.3
8th	Baileys Ontherocks (GB) Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll	33/1	1
9th	A Lott Of Kane (IRE) Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham	17/2	1.25
10th	Dance Hello (IRE) James Sullivan · Christopher Kellett	80/1	11

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Faithful Dream Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	135	—	0-5242	60	65	45	15d	—	—	-14	9.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Looked unlucky at Kempton last time; has a race of this nature in him
7 (9)	Saxon Grace Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	132	—	08930-	57	60	42	118d	—	—	-15	12.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Maiden in Ireland; debuting for new yard; market instructive
4 (7)	Luna Beaux Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	134	—	47-164	59	68	64	17d	—	—	-12	8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Scored easily over C&D in January; enters calculations back here
5 (5)	Mademoiselle Belle Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	134	p	232916	59	65	60	5d	—	—	+3	14.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Probably remains in form; could go well in the retained cheekpieces
10 (1)	A Lott Of Kane Chestnut J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	121	—	0774-3	46	64	53	62d	—	—	-4	5.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Has shown positive signs since switched to handicaps; in the mix
9 (6)	Telling Time Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Longsdon	127	—	803-98	52	68	41	20d	—	—	-3	1.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
His two handicap efforts can be somewhat forgiven
6 (11)	In Denial Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	132	—	75-7	57	61	35	22d	—	—	-1	3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Out of a winner for her connections; interesting on handicap debut
8 (4)	Baileys Ontherocks Bay J:Jack Doughty T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty T:Tony Carroll	131	—	6459-6	56	64	49	38d	—	—	0	2.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Far from solid on her handicap form; debut for new stable
11 (3)	Backfire Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	121	—	566-05	46	62	50	10d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
May improve for the return to 6f but has weak claims on form
12 (8)	Dance Hello Grey J:James Sullivan T:Christopher Kellett	J:James Sullivan T:Christopher Kellett	121	—	67594-	46	59	-	139d	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Seemed to run well on final 2yo start but has proved inconsistent
NR (10)	The Tunguska Event Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Sean Quinn	J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Sean Quinn	135	v	15-741	60	-	-	35d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
NR (12)	Runamara Bay J:Charles Bishop T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Charles Bishop T:John & Rhys Flint	134	—	670-85	59	65	43	24d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Resurgent at Lingfield on second run for new yard; possibilities

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Faithful Dream	11/4	3/1	11/4	5/2	5/2
Saxon Grace	9/4	15/8	9/4	5/2	85/40
Luna Beaux	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Mademoiselle Belle	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	7/1
A Lott Of Kane	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Telling Time	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
In Denial	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Baileys Ontherocks	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Backfire	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Dance Hello	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	50/1
The Tunguska Event	-	-	-	-	-
Runamara	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mademoiselle Belle

14.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 9.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Saxon Grace

12.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Faithful Dream

9.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

Luna Beaux

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

A Lott Of Kane

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

8/1

In Denial

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

The Tunguska Event

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Runamara

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Baileys Ontherocks

2.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Telling Time

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Backfire

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Dance Hello

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Faithful Dream	60	65	45
The Tunguska Event	60	—	—
Luna Beaux	59	68	64
Mademoiselle Belle	59	65	60
Runamara	59	65	43
Saxon Grace	57	60	42
In Denial	57	61	35
Baileys Ontherocks	56	64	49
Telling Time	52	68	41
A Lott Of Kane	46	64	53
Backfire	46	62	50
Dance Hello	46	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mademoiselle Belle	5d ago	Quick return
Backfire	10d ago	Quick return
Faithful Dream	15d ago	Fit
Luna Beaux	17d ago	Fit
Telling Time	20d ago	Fit
In Denial	22d ago	Fit
Runamara	24d ago	Fit
The Tunguska Event	35d ago	Fit
Baileys Ontherocks	38d ago	Fit
A Lott Of Kane	62d ago	Fresh
Saxon Grace	118d ago	Long break
Dance Hello	139d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.