Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:30

Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (Div I)

Date 2026-03-28

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,768

Weather Clear

Temp 3°C

Wind 11mph W

Rain 0%

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Shielas Well Bay J:Stevie Donohoe T:Ian Williams	J:Stevie Donohoe T:Ian Williams	132	—	380-48	52	71	36	15d	—	—	-16	7.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Interesting off an attractive mark back at a suitable trip on second run for new yard
3 (10)	Dodging The Bullet Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Richard J Bandey	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Richard J Bandey	134	—	4-5774	54	67	58	26d	—	—	-14	7.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Maiden who has raced mainly over 1m; not crying out for step back up in trip
10 (4)	Regal Glory Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Roger Fell	J:Joanna Mason T:Roger Fell	126	p	24-493	46	64	54	14d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Third-place finish at Southwell last time makes her one of the stronger contenders
4 (9)	Balqaa Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay	132	—	-82561	52	65	48	11d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won classified event at Wolverhampton last week; well treated on best handicap form
1 (2)	Lieutenant Lily Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	135	t	690-96	55	65	33	17d	—	—	-10	5.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Maiden; shaped with some promise last time (second start for new yard)
2 (5)	Shabu Shabu Chestnut J:Jonny Peate T:James Ferguson	J:Jonny Peate T:James Ferguson	135	p	17020-	55	66	50	163d	—	—	+1	9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Likely player at this level provided best turf form is transferred back to AW
7 (7)	Moon Over The Sea Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	131	p	190568	51	70	51	14d	—	—	-4	1.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Inconsistent since last win; chance depends on how well he responds to cheekpieces
9 (3)	Arranmore Bay J:Aiden Brookes T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes T:Micky Hammond	127	tp	56-445	47	65	60	16d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Consistent classified efforts this year; hasn't won a handicap since 2021
8 (6)	Abu Royal Bay J:Cam Hardie T:L J Morgan	J:Cam Hardie T:L J Morgan	127	v	00-658	47	67	28	15d	—	—	-4	1.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Long time since sole success; chance depends on how well he reacts to visor
5 (8)	Lady Kameko Bay J:David Probert T:Simon Pearce	J:David Probert T:Simon Pearce	132	—	207-88	52	65	36	59d	—	—	-3	1.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Maiden who isn't particularly solid on her 6f-1m form for current stable

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Shielas Well	3/1	3/1	3/1
Dodging The Bullet	11/4	11/4	11/4
Regal Glory	5/1	5/1	5/1
Balqaa	9/1	15/2	17/2
Lieutenant Lily	5/1	11/2	9/2
Shabu Shabu	16/1	14/1	14/1
Moon Over The Sea	18/1	16/1	16/1
Arranmore	18/1	18/1	18/1
Abu Royal	25/1	22/1	25/1
Lady Kameko	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Balqaa

14.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

2nd

Shabu Shabu

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.2

16/1

3rd

Shielas Well

7.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

Dodging The Bullet

7.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Lieutenant Lily

5.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Regal Glory

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Lady Kameko

1.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

25/1

Moon Over The Sea

1.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

18/1

Abu Royal

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Arranmore

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lieutenant Lily	55	65	33
Shabu Shabu	55	66	50
Dodging The Bullet	54	67	58
Shielas Well	52	71	36
Balqaa	52	65	48
Lady Kameko	52	65	36
Moon Over The Sea	51	70	51
Arranmore	47	65	60
Abu Royal	47	67	28
Regal Glory	46	64	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Balqaa	11d ago	Quick return
Regal Glory	14d ago	Fit
Moon Over The Sea	14d ago	Fit
Shielas Well	15d ago	Fit
Abu Royal	15d ago	Fit
Arranmore	16d ago	Fit
Lieutenant Lily	17d ago	Fit
Dodging The Bullet	26d ago	Fit
Lady Kameko	59d ago	Fresh
Shabu Shabu	163d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.