Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Date 2026-04-01

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Weather Overcast

Temp 8.4°C

Wind 2mph W

Rain 2%

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	True Promise Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Fionn McSharry	J:Oisin Murphy T:Fionn McSharry	133	—	-23255	73	88	78	36d	—	—	-6	16.8	0.75/1	3/1 ▲ 25%
Series of solid efforts for his new trainer; on a handy mark and Oisin Murphy booked
1 (4)	Em Four Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	135	—	527351	75	86	80	14d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+6	24	0.88/1	7/2 ▲ 22%
Beat Brazen Idol over C&D two weeks ago, his second win of 2026; 3lb rise to contend with
2 (7)	State Of Madness Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	135	—	214-32	75	88	79	49d	—	—	-6	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 ▼ 18%
Back to form for C Clover from October onwards; sold 23,000gns in February; key player
9 (3)	Expert Agent Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	128	p	4-8444	68	86	83	28d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-7	8.9	1.13/1	9/2 ▼ 18%
Needs a strong pace but he looks in good form and he's on an extremely dangerous mark
5 (2)	Ruby Red Gove Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	J:Jason Hart T:Ivan Furtado	133	—	7-2413	73	86	61	22d	—	—	-1	8.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Unexposed filly who has run two fine races in handicaps; respected on Polytrack debut
3 (10)	Brazen Idol Brown J:Pat Cosgrave T:John Ryan	J:Pat Cosgrave T:John Ryan	133	—	1065/2	73	86	77	14d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+5	12.9	3.00/1	12/1 ▲ 8%
Good 2nd to Em Four over C&D recently after a 702-day absence; contender if backing it up
7 (6)	Serenity Dream Chestnut J:Jack Doughty T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty T:Tony Carroll	132	p	0-1626	72	86	74	14d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+1	7.1	4.50/1	18/1 ▼ 5%
C&D win in January; race didn't set up for him when 6th to Em Four latest; can bounce back
10 (5)	Up The Anti Bay J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	117	—	1-7464	57	87	83	63d	—	—	+7	9.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Popped up at 50-1 over C&D in December; beaten four times since; now upped in class
8 (9)	Middleton View Bay J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	130	ht	01-957	70	85	66	23d	—	—	+3	5.8	12.50/1	50/1 ▼ 2%
Not kicked on from his novice win in Deceember; now tried in a hood
NR (8)	Alpine Girl Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	132	h	5131-9	72	84	-	36d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Two wins for this yard last summer; sharper for February's reappearance; can do better

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
True Promise	11/4	11/4	3/1
Em Four	7/2	7/2	7/2
State Of Madness	4/1	9/2	4/1
Expert Agent	4/1	9/2	4/1
Ruby Red Gove	9/1	8/1	15/2
Brazen Idol	12/1	12/1	11/1
Serenity Dream	18/1	12/1	12/1
Up The Anti	40/1	28/1	33/1
Middleton View	50/1	33/1	33/1
Alpine Girl	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Em Four

OR: 6.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

True Promise

16.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Brazen Idol

12.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

State Of Madness

11.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Up The Anti

9.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Expert Agent

8.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Ruby Red Gove

8.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Serenity Dream

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Middleton View

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Alpine Girl

5.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Em Four	75	86	80
State Of Madness	75	88	79
True Promise	73	88	78
Ruby Red Gove	73	86	61
Brazen Idol	73	86	77
Serenity Dream	72	86	74
Alpine Girl	72	84	—
Middleton View	70	85	66
Expert Agent	68	86	83
Up The Anti	57	87	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Em Four	14d ago	Fit
Brazen Idol	14d ago	Fit
Serenity Dream	14d ago	Fit
Ruby Red Gove	22d ago	Fit
Middleton View	23d ago	Fit
Expert Agent	28d ago	Fit
True Promise	36d ago	Fit
Alpine Girl	36d ago	Fit
State Of Madness	49d ago	Fresh
Up The Anti	63d ago	Fresh

Class

Horse	Prev Class	Change
Expert Agent	Class Class 4	Class Rise

Compared to each horse's most recent recorded run. 0 drops, 1 rise.

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Em Four	Prominent
State Of Madness	Prominent
Serenity Dream	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 10 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.