St. Austell Brewery Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) – Newton Abbot

Newton Abbot

14:33

St. Austell Brewery Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Distance 2m5f122y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,446

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Onefournine Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	160	—	1-220	110	116	95	71d	—	—	-8	37	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Disappointing latest but she's up in trip and sets the standard on earlier form.
7	Laffer Curve Black J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	160	—	4-5433	103	109	81	34d	—	—	-8	22.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Need to find a bit with Onefournine on the figures but should be thereabouts.
6	Kaydence Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	160	—	4188	-	95	74	40d	—	—	-7	10	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Fair bumper performer and her pedigree suggests she'll be suited by this longer trip.
5	Jolissaint Grey J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	160	—	F/6	-	75	39	30d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Point winner; entitled to have come on from recent hurdle debut after a lengthy absence.
9	Queens Up Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Richenda Ford	J:Brendan Powell T:Richenda Ford	160	—	P-3	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Runner-up in an Irish point in December and that form has some substance.
2	Davita Blaze Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Kevin Brogan T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	160	—	65	-	80	54	20d	—	—	-4	1.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Never threatened on hurdle debut and may be one for the longer term.
1	Bits Ballou Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	160	—	98	-	82	41	26d	—	—	-4	1.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Hinted at ability on last month's hurdle debut but needs to improve for the longer trip.
3	Dunaden Island Chestnut J:Rian Corcoran(5) T:I Chanin	J:Rian Corcoran(5) T:I Chanin	160	—	54-P4P	-	91	65	40d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
10	Stavanger Rose Bay J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Daisy Hitchins	160	t	P-PFU	-	-	-	7d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Yet to complete in four career starts and it's safer to look elsewhere.
4	Fountains Gala Bay J:Ben Godfrey T:Claire Hitch	J:Ben Godfrey T:Claire Hitch	160	—	90	-	70	34	40d	—	—	-1	0.5	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Good jumping pedigree but it's hard to make a case for her on what she's shown so far.

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Onefournine	5/6	10/11	Evens
Laffer Curve	2/1	15/8	7/4
Kaydence	5/1	9/2	9/2
Jolissaint	20/1	20/1	18/1
Queens Up	20/1	14/1	14/1
Davita Blaze	25/1	18/1	16/1
Bits Ballou	28/1	22/1	20/1
Dunaden Island	66/1	66/1	66/1
Stavanger Rose	50/1	50/1	50/1
Fountains Gala	100/1	125/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Onefournine

OR: 15 Form: 7 Odds: 15

Evens

2nd

Laffer Curve

22.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

2/1

3rd

Kaydence

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5

5/1

Queens Up

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 2

20/1

Davita Blaze

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

25/1

Jolissaint

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Bits Ballou

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

28/1

Stavanger Rose

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Dunaden Island

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Fountains Gala

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Onefournine	110	116	95
Laffer Curve	103	109	81
Kaydence	—	95	74
Jolissaint	—	75	39
Queens Up	—	—	—
Davita Blaze	—	80	54
Bits Ballou	—	82	41
Dunaden Island	—	91	65
Stavanger Rose	—	—	—
Fountains Gala	—	70	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stavanger Rose	7d ago	Quick return
Davita Blaze	20d ago	Fit
Bits Ballou	26d ago	Fit
Jolissaint	30d ago	Fit
Laffer Curve	34d ago	Fit
Kaydence	40d ago	Fit
Dunaden Island	40d ago	Fit
Fountains Gala	40d ago	Fit
Onefournine	71d ago	Fresh
Queens Up	—	—