SWRSL - Dan Boulton Novices' Handicap Hurdle – Ffos Las

Ffos Las

17:12

SWRSL - Dan Boulton Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Distance 2m7f191y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Weather Mainly Clear

Temp 5°C

Wind 7mph NE

Rain 0%

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Golden Prince Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	163	—	-64663	100	101	98	21d	—	—	+3	20.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Placed when upped to 2m7f for recent handicap debut and probably still has potential
13	Eaststone Buck's Bay J:Ned Fox(3) T:Venetia Williams	J:Ned Fox(3) T:Venetia Williams	142	—	P-692	79	106	73	43d	—	—	-5	12.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
3	Hidden Target Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Phillips	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Richard Phillips	165	—	6-4463	102	106	78	26d	—	—	+3	17	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Kept on for third at Chepstow (2m3f) last month and can improve again over 3m
11	Dessie Haze Bay J:Ellis Collier(5) T:Phillip Dando	J:Ellis Collier(5) T:Phillip Dando	157	—	3-4761	94	110	86	19d	—	—	+2	17.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Stayed on well to beat well-handicapped, odds-on favourite at Chepstow this month
6	Kastellion Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Hammond T:Mel Rowley	162	—	-64634	99	104	99	31d	—	—	+6	17.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
2	Washington Parks Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	J:Tom Bellamy T:Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls	167	t	97400-	104	104	98	366d	—	—	+7	16	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-6 over hurdles in Ireland and absent for a year but worth a market check on stable debut
1	Air Apparent b/br J:Paul O'Brien T:Seamus Mullins	J:Paul O'Brien T:Seamus Mullins	168	—	7453	105	102	80	45d	—	—	+11	19.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Third in 2m3f maiden last month and open to more improvement in staying handicaps
4	Smile Back Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Richard Phillips	J:Harry Bannister T:Richard Phillips	163	—	-92263	100	104	102	64d	—	—	+15	21.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Placed in three of her four handicaps but not making any progress; others appeal more
9	Stiletto Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Sophie Leech	J:Sean Bowen T:Sophie Leech	161	p	411470	98	106	96	29d	—	—	+12	18.8	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three wins in early part of season; probably needed last month's run; Bowen back aboard
10	Getaway King Grey J:Tom Broughton(5) T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Tom Broughton(5) T:Fergal O'Brien	158	tp	-1114F	95	-	-	35d	—	—	+14	22.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won three chases in the autumn; has cheekpieces added for this hurdling debut
7	Moon Over Clyro Bay J:Charlie Price T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Charlie Price T:Robbie Llewellyn	162	p	0/2309	99	106	53	24d	—	—	+9	13.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Struggled in first two handicaps (2m3f/2m2f); up in trip with cheekpieces added here
8	Fanny Moon Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	161	—	-76747	98	105	67	31d	—	—	+9	13.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Unexposed after only four hurdle runs but was soundly beaten on handicap debut (2m3f)
12	Glenmuick Bay J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	145	p	095879	82	109	89	45d	—	—	+3	9.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Soundly beaten in first three handicaps; up in trip with cheekpieces added today

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Golden Prince	4/1	4/1	7/2
Eaststone Buck's	9/2	9/2	9/2
Hidden Target	5/1	5/1	5/1
Dessie Haze	9/2	9/2	4/1
Kastellion	8/1	13/2	6/1
Washington Parks	10/1	17/2	8/1
Air Apparent	12/1	9/1	17/2
Smile Back	14/1	14/1	12/1
Stiletto	18/1	14/1	12/1
Getaway King	9/1	17/2	17/2
Moon Over Clyro	22/1	22/1	22/1
Fanny Moon	28/1	25/1	25/1
Glenmuick	33/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Getaway King

22.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

2nd

Smile Back

21.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.8

14/1

3rd

Golden Prince

20.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 3 Odds: 5

4/1

Air Apparent

19.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Stiletto

18.8

OR: 12 Form: 5 Odds: 1.8

18/1

Dessie Haze

17.5

OR: 11 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Kastellion

17.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Hidden Target

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Washington Parks

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Moon Over Clyro

13.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Fanny Moon

13.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Eaststone Buck's

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Glenmuick

9.8

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Air Apparent	105	102	80
Washington Parks	104	104	98
Hidden Target	102	106	78
Golden Prince	100	101	98
Smile Back	100	104	102
Kastellion	99	104	99
Moon Over Clyro	99	106	53
Stiletto	98	106	96
Fanny Moon	98	105	67
Getaway King	95	—	—
Dessie Haze	94	110	86
Glenmuick	82	109	89
Eaststone Buck's	79	106	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dessie Haze	19d ago	Fit
Golden Prince	21d ago	Fit
Moon Over Clyro	24d ago	Fit
Hidden Target	26d ago	Fit
Stiletto	29d ago	Fit
Kastellion	31d ago	Fit
Fanny Moon	31d ago	Fit
Getaway King	35d ago	Fit
Eaststone Buck's	43d ago	Fit
Air Apparent	45d ago	Fit
Glenmuick	45d ago	Fit
Smile Back	64d ago	Fresh
Washington Parks	366d ago	Long break