Irish Stallion Farms EBF Victor McCalmont Memorial Stakes (Listed Race)

Gowran Park

18:38

Distance 1m1f100y

Class Class 1

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €29,450

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Faiyum Bay J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	134	—	1121-3	110	120	105	32d	—	—	-16	35.9	0.18/1	8/11 58%
C&D Group 3 winner last year, pleasing run on return last month, the one to beat
7 (2)	Sindria Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	131	—	8104-1	93	103	93	27d	1W/1P 1 run	—	+10	25.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Impressive 1m winner here latest, up in trip and grade, preferred by McMonagle
5 (4)	Lemsairbat Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:J M Sheridan T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	131	—	565-25	98	111	107	30d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+2	16	1.25/1	5/1 17%
1-18 but lots of solid efforts in defeat including in Listed company, place chance
2 (5)	Abbey Actress Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:J P Murtagh	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J P Murtagh	131	—	4/1-32	84	93	80	20d	—	—	+9	17.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Solid form in handicaps, up against it on the figures here, best on very testing ground
8 (8)	Subsonic Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	131	t	/6671-	88	95	91	220d	—	—	+15	21.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won Curragh maiden on final start last year, rated 88, this looks too big an ask
3 (3)	Apercu Bay J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	131	b	1075-4	93	105	88	11d	—	—	+8	12	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Four-time handicap winner, soundly beaten in this last year, needs more
4 (1)	Lady Lilac Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Ronan Whelan T:Joseph G Murphy	131	—	216-35	84	95	89	10d	—	—	+5	9.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Maiden winner, rated 84, this looks too ambitious, cheekpieces worn latest discarded
6 (9)	She's A Nation Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Rory Anthony Devine	J:Luke McAteer T:Rory Anthony Devine	131	t	13-0	95	100	91	32d	—	—	+9	12.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
10l third in C&D Gr' 3 last year, poor seasonal return, return to better ground could help
9 (6)	Um Wadi Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	131	—	689-38	77	94	62	10d	—	—	+5	7.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
0-8 on turf, beaten in Limerick handicap latest, rated 77, out of her depth here

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Faiyum	8/11	4/6	4/6
Sindria	5/1	9/2	9/2
Lemsairbat	9/2	9/2	5/1
Abbey Actress	12/1	10/1	9/1
Subsonic	16/1	16/1	14/1
Apercu	25/1	22/1	22/1
Lady Lilac	22/1	18/1	18/1
She's A Nation	22/1	28/1	28/1
Um Wadi	100/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Faiyum

35.9

OR: 15 Form: 3 Odds: 17.9

8/11

2nd

Sindria

25.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Subsonic

21.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Abbey Actress

17.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Lemsairbat

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

She's A Nation

12.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Apercu

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Lady Lilac

9.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Um Wadi

7.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Faiyum	110	120	105
Lemsairbat	98	111	107
She's A Nation	95	100	91
Sindria	93	103	93
Apercu	93	105	88
Subsonic	88	95	91
Abbey Actress	84	93	80
Lady Lilac	84	95	89
Um Wadi	77	94	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Lilac	10d ago	Quick return
Um Wadi	10d ago	Quick return
Apercu	11d ago	Quick return
Abbey Actress	20d ago	Fit
Sindria	27d ago	Fit
Lemsairbat	30d ago	Fit
Faiyum	32d ago	Fit
She's A Nation	32d ago	Fit
Subsonic	220d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Gowran Park over 1m1f100y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 13 draws with historical results at this course and distance.