At The Races App Market Movers Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

5:30

At The Races App Market Movers Handicap

Date 2023-04-14

Distance 1m6f21y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners 9

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (4)	Ward Castle b Morgan Cole(7) · Marco Botti	Morgan Cole(7) · Marco Botti	135	p	526-71	63	80	57	10d	—	—	-19	13.3	13/8 38%
Strong finish to win over 1m4f here ten days ago; unpenalised and obvious claims
5 (5)	Billy Bathgate ch Graham Lee · Ewan Whillans	Graham Lee · Ewan Whillans	135	—	7-8252	62	74	61	14d	—	—	-10	8.4	7/2 22%
Exposed maiden but he comes here in form, most recently a second over C&D two weeks ago
1 (6)	Haven Lady b Jason Hart · John Quinn	Jason Hart · John Quinn	140	b	-30222	67	74	54	10d	—	—	+7	19.5	11/2 15%
Runner-up on her last 3 starts; 2lb worse off with Ward Castle from last time
2 (3)	Got Bright b William Carson · Michael Roberts	William Carson · Michael Roberts	136	tb	82-365	63	76	65	41d	—	—	-6	6.9	11/2 15%
Been in fair form on AW since a wind op; should run his race once more
7 (2)	Smokey Malone gr Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	133	b	29-682	60	76	58	13d	—	—	-4	5.2	17/2 11%
All wins over shorter but stays this far and fully effective here; good run latest; chance
3 (8)	Bascinet ch Mia Nicholls(7) · Eve Johnson Houghton	Mia Nicholls(7) · Eve Johnson Houghton	136	p	123165	64	77	68	15d	—	—	+7	11.8	14 7%
Three wins this year but progress has stalled the last twice; headgear back on today
4 (7)	Kittens Dream b Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	136	b	341877	63	74	53	8d	—	—	+3	7.6	18 6%
C&D winner off 1lb lower in February; mixed bag either side of it; risky but capable
9 (9)	Bright Dawn b Faye McManoman · Brian Rothwell	Faye McManoman · Brian Rothwell	119	—	777/97	46	55	40	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	200 1%
Poor form in six starts and the new trip isn't enough to tempt
8 (1)	Smart Connection b Callum Hutchinson(3) · Michael Chapman	Callum Hutchinson(3) · Michael Chapman	128	p	d50-09	55	79	-	—	—	—	0	1.6	250 0%
Shown nothing for current yard and he's impossible to recommend at present

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ward Castle	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8	13/8
Billy Bathgate	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Haven Lady	5	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Got Bright	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Smokey Malone	17/2	8	7	8	8
Bascinet	14	14	14	14	14
Kittens Dream	14	16	14	16	18
Bright Dawn	200	100	100	125	100
Smart Connection	250	125	80	150	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Haven Lady

19.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 11.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Ward Castle

13.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

3rd

Bascinet

11.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 1.4

Billy Bathgate

8.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Kittens Dream

7.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Got Bright

6.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Smokey Malone

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Smart Connection

1.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250

Bright Dawn

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Haven Lady Top Rated	67	74	54
Bascinet	64	77	68
Ward Castle	63	80	57
Got Bright	63	76	65
Kittens Dream	63	74	53
Billy Bathgate	62	74	61
Smokey Malone	60	76	58
Smart Connection	55	79	—
Bright Dawn	46	55	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ward Castle	10d ago	Quick return
Billy Bathgate	14d ago	Fit
Haven Lady	10d ago	Quick return
Got Bright	41d ago	Fit
Smokey Malone	13d ago	Quick return
Bascinet	15d ago	Fit
Kittens Dream	8d ago	Quick return
Bright Dawn	11d ago	Quick return
Smart Connection	—	—

Going: Standard

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