Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

7:00

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2023-04-14

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (12)	Non Mollare b Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	133	—	295619	53	66	58	7d	—	—	-3	12.2	9/2 18%
Two AW wins for new yard this year; too keen on slow ground last week; better than that
3 (1)	Ebury ch Phil Dennis · Scott Dixon	Phil Dennis · Scott Dixon	134	—	026246	54	69	49	7d	—	—	-7	8.9	5 20%
On losing run but conditions to suit and better than result last week; easy lead unlikely
6 (4)	How Bizarre ch Daniel Tudhope · Liam Bailey	Daniel Tudhope · Liam Bailey	129	—	530423	49	67	58	10d	—	—	-2	10.7	11/2 15%
Front-runner; near miss over C&D last month; solid effort ten days ago; others appeal more
8 (14)	Spirit Of Bowland b Callum Rodriguez · Stella Barclay	Callum Rodriguez · Stella Barclay	128	—	840-41	48	70	55	14d	—	—	-8	3.3	11/2 15%
Strong finish to win over 7f at Newcastle latest; 2lb rise fair enough; widest stall
12 (7)	Bold And Loyal b Marco Ghiani · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	Marco Ghiani · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	126	tp	6-6028	46	69	61	38d	—	—	-8	3.3	13/2 13%
Exposed maiden but a repeat of his penultimate second would give him claims
2 (6)	Hostelry ch Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	135	—	24077-	55	68	11	182d	—	—	-3	4.4	10 10%
Can go well fresh and returns with her yard in good form; 2lb lower than for her win
11 (8)	Fast Danseuse b George Rooke · Richard Hughes	George Rooke · Richard Hughes	127	—	47364-	47	64	56	119d	—	—	-3	3.2	12 8%
0-12 but has shown promise; return to 1m can help; not discounted
7 (9)	Catch My Breath gr Ben Curtis · John Ryan	Ben Curtis · John Ryan	128	p	308628	48	65	52	18d	—	—	-2	5.4	12 8%
7-time winner but not the easiest to predict; chance if reproducing penultimate C&D run
1 (2)	Egoiste b Hector Crouch · David Menuisier	Hector Crouch · David Menuisier	135	h	0978-	55	62	-	281d	—	—	-3	3	14 7%
Poor form last season but now hooded and he's had a wind op during his absence
5 (13)	Lucky Lucky Lucky b Sophie Clements(7) · Nigel Tinkler	Sophie Clements(7) · Nigel Tinkler	129	—	451656	49	67	46	14d	—	—	-1	4.4	20 5%
7f classified winner in February; less good since and still to prove himself over 1m
NR (5)	Faithless Insomnia b Cieren Fallon · Phil Mcentee	Cieren Fallon · Phil Mcentee	126	tv	7-2079	46	64	42	34d	—	—	-2	0.9	33 3%
Well beaten in three runs following his improved second at Lingfield in January; new visor
10 (11)	Cheese The One gr Faye McManoman · Stella Barclay	Faye McManoman · Stella Barclay	128	p	4-0565	48	67	53	17d	—	—	-4	1.6	28 4%
Two 6f wins for former yard; stays 7f but still to convince over 1m
9 (10)	Millicent b Alec Voikhansky(7) · Kevin Frost	Alec Voikhansky(7) · Kevin Frost	128	—	80175-	48	64	-	232d	—	—	+3	5.6	40 3%
1m winner at Salisbury last summer; not seen since a heavy defeat in August; Tapeta debut
13 (3)	Salve Japan b Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	126	—	990-08	46	66	50	41d	—	—	-1	0.5	50 2%
Well beaten in handicaps for Hugo Palmer and this yard; plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Non Mollare	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Ebury	5	5	4	5	5
How Bizarre	11/2	5	11/2	11/2	5
Spirit Of Bowland	6	6	6	6	11/2
Bold And Loyal	6	6	11/2	6	13/2
Hostelry	10	10	10	10	10
Fast Danseuse	12	12	12	12	11
Catch My Breath	12	12	11	11	12
Egoiste	11	14	12	12	12
Lucky Lucky Lucky	20	18	16	18	18
Faithless Insomnia	33	33	33	33	33
Cheese The One	28	28	28	28	28
Millicent	40	40	40	40	40
Salve Japan	50	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Non Mollare

12.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

How Bizarre

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Ebury

8.9

OR: 1 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

Millicent

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

Catch My Breath

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Hostelry

4.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

Lucky Lucky Lucky

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Spirit Of Bowland

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Bold And Loyal

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Fast Danseuse

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

Egoiste

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Cheese The One

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Faithless Insomnia

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Salve Japan

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hostelry Top Rated	55	68	11
Egoiste	55	62	—
Ebury	54	69	49
Non Mollare	53	66	58
How Bizarre	49	67	58
Lucky Lucky Lucky	49	67	46
Spirit Of Bowland	48	70	55
Catch My Breath	48	65	52
Cheese The One	48	67	53
Millicent	48	64	—
Fast Danseuse	47	64	56
Bold And Loyal	46	69	61
Faithless Insomnia	46	64	42
Salve Japan	46	66	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Non Mollare	7d ago	Quick return
Ebury	7d ago	Quick return
How Bizarre	10d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Bowland	14d ago	Fit
Bold And Loyal	38d ago	Fit
Hostelry	182d ago	Long break
Fast Danseuse	119d ago	Long break
Catch My Breath	18d ago	Fit
Egoiste	281d ago	Long break
Lucky Lucky Lucky	14d ago	Fit
Faithless Insomnia	34d ago	Fit
Cheese The One	17d ago	Fit
Millicent	232d ago	Long break
Salve Japan	41d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
How Bizarre	Front Runner
Spirit Of Bowland	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Going: Standard

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