Randox Mares Handicap Hurdle – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

6:50

Randox Mares Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-05-05

Distance 2m1f100y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Splashing Out b Charlie O'Dwyer(7) · Eoin Griffin	Charlie O'Dwyer(7) · Eoin Griffin	167	p	22450-	108	117	79	25d	—	—	+4	22.2	9/2 18%
Strong claims on the peak of her form; interesting with cheekpieces turned to.
7	Theonewedreamof b Sean Flanagan · Gavin Cromwell	Sean Flanagan · Gavin Cromwell	154	—	90014-	101	114	62	—	—	—	0	28.6	9/4 31%
Recent Flat winner who was also bang in form over hurdles prior to that.
5	Shes Tobias b E Walsh(5) · Ciaran Murphy	E Walsh(5) · Ciaran Murphy	156	—	53523-	97	116	87	196d	—	—	+13	21.7	9/1 10%
Off since the autumn but was running well back then; goes on all ground; new yard.
4	Will You Win b Richard Condon(5) · Oliver Mckiernan	Richard Condon(5) · Oliver Mckiernan	157	t	73351-	98	117	102	29d	—	—	+18	26.8	17/2 11%
Belatedly off the mark when grinding it out over 2m3f at Clonmel; 6lb higher.
NR	Mater Matuta ch TBC · E D Delany	· E D Delany	151	tp	51328-	92	108	101	183d	—	—	+13	20.5	10 10%
Very capable off this mark but she wouldn't want rain, so watch the weather.
1	Return To Base b Danny Gilligan(7) · Gordon Elliott	Danny Gilligan(7) · Gordon Elliott	172	p	5P433-	113	113	68	33d	—	—	+13	23.3	15/2 12%
Was doing all her best work late when third over 2m3f (soft) here a month ago.
R13	Danesfort Mayfly b Danny Mullins · W J Lanigan	Danny Mullins · W J Lanigan	146	—	00892-	87	114	99	36d	—	—	+4	18.3	11/2 15%
Reserve; found improvement from somewhere to finish second in a big field at Naas.
NR	Flyaway Maggie b TBC · M Flannery	· M Flannery	142	t	06406-	83	116	89	—	—	—	0	11.7	28 4%
Reserve; well held in AW maidens when last seen and she's exposed as modest over hurdles.
3	Lady Iseult ch Paddy Cleary(7) · Dermot A Mcloughlin	Paddy Cleary(7) · Dermot A Mcloughlin	164	—	8U163-	105	114	87	288d	—	—	+19	22.3	28 4%
Perhaps better at 2m4f than this trip and seems to need good ground.
6	Game And Glory b James O'Sullivan(5) · P J Rothwell	James O'Sullivan(5) · P J Rothwell	155	p	13737-	96	115	97	14d	—	—	+11	18.6	10 10%
Only 1-18 overall but there's a prominent display in her having run well two starts back.
8	Cool Croi b Nathan Andrews(7) · Gordon Elliott	Nathan Andrews(7) · Gordon Elliott	152	—	/P609-	93	102	63	97d	—	—	+9	11.5	33 3%
Possible improver for her leading yard now entering the handicap scene.
NR	Social Distancing b TBC · Neill Mccluskey	· Neill Mccluskey	144	—	/4PP-7	85	110	63	4d	—	—	0	12.2	50 2%
Reserve; making her handicap debut so this is probably her first realistic assignment.
11	Presenting Beeper b P J O'Hanlon(5) · Dermot A Mcloughlin	P J O'Hanlon(5) · Dermot A Mcloughlin	148	—	600-	89	103	36	26d	—	—	+8	10.5	33/1 3%
Guesswork involved to make any case on her handicap debut.
10	Deo Bellator ch Aileen O'Sullivan(7) · S Michael Millar	Aileen O'Sullivan(7) · S Michael Millar	149	—	01/57-	90	112	99	33d	—	—	+8	10.7	50 2%
Her Kilbeggan win a year ago came over 3m; reservations at this distance.
12	Bint Alsarab b Simon Torrens · E D Delany	Simon Torrens · E D Delany	141	—	806-	88	111	50	21d	—	—	+5	11.2	33 3%
Poor on the Flat and not offered a great deal in maiden hurdles.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Splashing Out	9/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	4
Theonewedreamof	2	2	9/4	15/8	9/4
Shes Tobias	9	17/2	9/1	9	15/2
Will You Win	9	17/2	8	9	8
Mater Matuta	10	10	10	10	10
Return To Base	8	7	15/2	7	7
Danesfort Mayfly	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	6
Flyaway Maggie	28	25	22	28	28
Lady Iseult	25	25	25	22	28
Game And Glory	10	9	9/1	9	9
Cool Croi	33	28	25/1	28	28
Social Distancing	50	50	40	50	50
Presenting Beeper	33	33	33/1	28	33
Deo Bellator	50	40	33	40	40
Bint Alsarab	33	16	18	12	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Theonewedreamof

28.6

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Will You Win

26.8

OR: 12 Form: 12.4 Odds: 2.4

17/2

3rd

Return To Base

23.3

OR: 15.8 Form: 4.7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Lady Iseult

22.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1

Splashing Out

22.2

OR: 14.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Shes Tobias

21.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 7.4 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Mater Matuta

20.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 8 Odds: 2

Game And Glory

18.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

Danesfort Mayfly

18.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Social Distancing

12.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.5

Flyaway Maggie

11.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.5

Cool Croi

11.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Bint Alsarab

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Deo Bellator

10.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Presenting Beeper

10.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Return To Base Top Rated	113	113	68
Splashing Out	108	117	79
Lady Iseult	105	114	87
Theonewedreamof	101	114	62
Will You Win	98	117	102
Shes Tobias	97	116	87
Game And Glory	96	115	97
Cool Croi	93	102	63
Mater Matuta	92	108	101
Deo Bellator	90	112	99
Presenting Beeper	89	103	36
Bint Alsarab	88	111	50
Danesfort Mayfly	87	114	99
Social Distancing	85	110	63
Flyaway Maggie	83	116	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Splashing Out	25d ago	Fit
Theonewedreamof	—	—
Shes Tobias	196d ago	Long break
Will You Win	29d ago	Fit
Mater Matuta	183d ago	Long break
Return To Base	33d ago	Fit
Danesfort Mayfly	36d ago	Fit
Flyaway Maggie	—	—
Lady Iseult	288d ago	Long break
Game And Glory	14d ago	Fit
Cool Croi	97d ago	Long break
Social Distancing	4d ago	Quick return
Presenting Beeper	26d ago	Fit
Deo Bellator	33d ago	Fit
Bint Alsarab	21d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Shes Tobias	Prominent
Game And Glory	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 15 runners classified.

Going: Good To Yielding

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