Aspall Premier Cru Handicap – Newmarket

Newmarket

3:15

Aspall Premier Cru Handicap

Date 2023-05-20

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £8,100

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Striking Star ch Adam Kirby · Charlie Appleby	Adam Kirby · Charlie Appleby	134	—	19-22	88	101	71	14d	—	—	-13	19.5	13/8 38%
Second over C&D last time in first handicap and open to further progress for top trainer
4 (12)	Powerdress b Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	134	—	1-30	88	96	45	13d	—	—	+7	20.1	6 17%
Tailed off in 1,000 Guineas but of interest judged on the promise of her first two runs
7 (1)	Signcastle City gr Richard Kingscote · Richard Hannon	Richard Kingscote · Richard Hannon	132	—	5135-5	86	97	74	21d	—	—	+3	11.4	17/2 11%
Returned with encouraging fifth at Haydock and could build on that run here; considered
5 (8)	Changing Colours b Harry Davies(3) · Charlie Appleby	Harry Davies(3) · Charlie Appleby	133	—	212-7	87	96	79	30d	—	—	+3	11.8	17/2 11%
Merely midfield on reappearance but no surprise to see a big run for his leading trainer
11 (4)	Havana Blue gr John Fahy · Clive Cox	John Fahy · Clive Cox	129	—	623-28	83	100	63	14d	—	—	+3	10.4	12 8%
Disappointing at Goodwood but entitled to respect in view of previously 2nd of 17 over C&D
10 (14)	Havana By The Sea b Cieren Fallon · Craig Lidster	Cieren Fallon · Craig Lidster	130	—	5153-6	84	98	78	43d	—	—	+5	9.9	18 6%
Has shaped as though this step up to 7f could prompt improvement; she's a possible
13 (9)	Golden Passport b Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	126	—	41-35	80	96	53	52d	—	—	+4	8.9	16/1 6%
Gelded since underwhelming handicap debut; has potential off this mark if back on song
12 (6)	Chartwell House b David Egan · William Knight	David Egan · William Knight	128	—	144-36	82	100	63	14d	—	—	+4	9.6	14 7%
Reappeared with good third over C&D and soft ground may not have suited last time
6 (11)	Jumbeau b Hayley Turner · Tom Clover	Hayley Turner · Tom Clover	133	—	13582-	87	95	80	193d	—	—	+13	18.5	20 5%
Talented early 2yo last season but below par on final two runs; needs to get back to best
8 (7)	Berkshire Phantom gr David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	131	v	4-1144	85	95	81	52d	—	—	+6	10	18/1 5%
Respectable fourth on AW last time but needs something extra in this hotter race
NR (10)	Think Climate b NON-RUNNER · Jane Chapple-Hyam	NON-RUNNER · Jane Chapple-Hyam	134	p	611-99	88	-	-	32d	—	—	-32	29.5	33 3%
Drops back in grade having been gelded but has something to prove after the last twice
1 (5)	Burstow b Luke Morris · Paul & Oliver Cole	Luke Morris · Paul & Oliver Cole	135	—	87-18	89	91	-	70d	—	—	+8	10.5	40 3%
1-4 in France and market check advised on stable debut, but not obviously well treated
9 (3)	Mile End b Dylan Browne McMonagle · Michael Bell	Dylan Browne McMonagle · Michael Bell	130	b	05114-	84	94	89	195d	—	—	+19	21.1	50 2%
Improved form in these blinkers last autumn; capable of a good run on stable debut
14 (13)	Wall Game b Rob Hornby · Henry Candy	Rob Hornby · Henry Candy	123	—	03-2	77	94	31	25d	—	—	+10	12.3	50 2%
Has improved across first three runs and can be optimism he will continue to progress

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Striking Star	13/8	6/4	13/8	13/8	6/4
Powerdress	6	6	6	6	6
Signcastle City	8	8	17/2	8	17/2
Changing Colours	8	8	15/2	8	17/2
Havana Blue	11	10	12	10	10
Havana By The Sea	18	18	16	18	18
Golden Passport	14	14	16	16/1	16
Chartwell House	14	12	14	12	12
Jumbeau	20	18	18	18	18
Berkshire Phantom	16	16	18	18/1	16
Think Climate	SP	33	SP	SP	SP
Burstow	40	40	33	40	33
Mile End	50	50	50	50	40
Wall Game	50	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Think Climate

29.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Mile End

21.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 12 Odds: 0.6

3rd

Powerdress

20.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

Striking Star

19.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

Jumbeau

18.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.4

Wall Game

12.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

Changing Colours

11.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Signcastle City

11.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Burstow

10.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Havana Blue

10.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Berkshire Phantom

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Havana By The Sea

9.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Chartwell House

9.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Golden Passport

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Burstow Top Rated	89	91	—
Striking Star	88	101	71
Powerdress	88	96	45
Think Climate	88	—	—
Changing Colours	87	96	79
Jumbeau	87	95	80
Signcastle City	86	97	74
Berkshire Phantom	85	95	81
Havana By The Sea	84	98	78
Mile End	84	94	89
Havana Blue	83	100	63
Chartwell House	82	100	63
Golden Passport	80	96	53
Wall Game	77	94	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Striking Star	14d ago	Fit
Powerdress	13d ago	Quick return
Signcastle City	21d ago	Fit
Changing Colours	30d ago	Fit
Havana Blue	14d ago	Fit
Havana By The Sea	43d ago	Fit
Golden Passport	52d ago	Fresh
Chartwell House	14d ago	Fit
Jumbeau	193d ago	Long break
Berkshire Phantom	52d ago	Fresh
Think Climate	32d ago	Fit
Burstow	70d ago	Fresh
Mile End	195d ago	Long break
Wall Game	25d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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