Racing Welfare Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Cartmel

Cartmel

6:20

Racing Welfare Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-05-31

Distance 2m1f46y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,921

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Idealdes Villerets b Brian Hughes · Donald Mccain	Brian Hughes · Donald Mccain	163	—	2433-1	119	121	98	—	—	—	-9	47.3	4/7 64%
Confirmed previous promise to land odds of 4-9 at Worcester last time; obvious contender
2	Special Rate b Thomas Dowson · Philip Kirby	Thomas Dowson · Philip Kirby	163	t	4762-1	108	110	89	—	—	—	+10	30.7	7/2 22%
In good form at present, getting off the mark at Newcastle last time; should go well again
5	Grand Scheme b Jonathan England · Sam England	Jonathan England · Sam England	156	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	9 11%
Useful Flat handicapper at up to 1m6f; cost 28,000gns in October; interesting debutant
7	City Vaults gr Charlotte Jones(3) · James Moffatt	Charlotte Jones(3) · James Moffatt	150	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	11 9%
Fair flat performer; an interesting newcomer to jumping for a yard that does well here
4	Foxwood b Danny McMenamin · George Bewley	Danny McMenamin · George Bewley	156	—	26-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	5.4	14 7%
Poor run on heavy last time but fair run on bumper debut; quite interesting on jumps debut
8	Confelicity b Jamie Hamilton · Andrew Hamilton	Jamie Hamilton · Andrew Hamilton	149	—	6-56	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	100 1%
Bought cheaply after showing only modest form in three Irish points; others stronger
6	Acoustic b Conor Rabbitt(7) · Maurice Barnes	Conor Rabbitt(7) · Maurice Barnes	150	t	0-8	-	92	30	—	—	—	-1	0.4	80 1%
Modest Flat performer at up to 1m2f for Richard Fahey; well beaten on both hurdle starts
3	Captain Nelson ch William Shanahan(7) · R Mike Smith	William Shanahan(7) · R Mike Smith	156	t	PUF0P-	77	87	-	—	—	—	+6	7	200 1%
Has a tongue tie on for first time but significant improvement needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Idealdes Villerets	4/7	8/15	4/7	8/15	8/15
Special Rate	7/2	3	3	3	3
Grand Scheme	9	7	8	7	7
City Vaults	10	10	11	10	10
Foxwood	14	12	12	12	12
Confelicity	100	66	66	66	66
Acoustic	80	50	66	66	66
Captain Nelson	200	125	125	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Idealdes Villerets

47.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 10 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Special Rate

30.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Captain Nelson

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Foxwood

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Grand Scheme

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

City Vaults

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Confelicity

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Acoustic

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Idealdes Villerets Top Rated	119	121	98
Special Rate	108	110	89
Captain Nelson	77	87	—
Grand Scheme	—	—	—
City Vaults	—	—	—
Foxwood	—	—	—
Confelicity	—	—	—
Acoustic	—	92	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Idealdes Villerets	—	—
Special Rate	—	—
Grand Scheme	—	—
City Vaults	—	—
Foxwood	—	—
Confelicity	—	—
Acoustic	—	—
Captain Nelson	—	—

Going: Good

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