Hot Air Balloon Company British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Bath

3:35

Date 2023-06-17

Distance 5f10y

Class Class 5

Going Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Runners 5

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (4)	Crows Nest b Pat Cosgrave · George Boughey	Pat Cosgrave · George Boughey	138	—	31	-	84	67	9d	—	—	-15	25.4	6/5 45%
Took a while to assert before drawing clear at Hamilton latest; drop in trip a query
2 (5)	Rogue De Vega b Luke Morris · Tom Clover	Luke Morris · Tom Clover	136	—	21	-	84	-	23d	—	—	-5	21.5	9/4 31%
Promise in 2 AW starts, winning well at Chelmsford latest; this requires further progress
3 (3)	Never This Way ch Adam Farragher(3) · William Haggas	Adam Farragher(3) · William Haggas	131	ht	3	-	76	-	61d	—	—	-12	9.2	11/4 27%
Well beaten into third on debut but behind two useful sorts; accessories added now; chance
4 (2)	Outreach gr Joey Haynes · Mark Usher	Joey Haynes · Mark Usher	131	—	4-2	-	71	-	49d	—	—	+2	6	25 4%
RPR of 62 in two AW runs; switch to turf needs to spark something extra
5 (1)	Autumn Lights b John Fahy · Pat Murphy	John Fahy · Pat Murphy	126	—	00	-	66	28	12d	—	—	-2	0.6	80 1%
Second run better than her first but others look to hold much stronger claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Crows Nest	6/5	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10
Rogue De Vega	9/4	9/4	2	9/4	9/4
Never This Way	11/4	3	3	3	3
Outreach	20	25	25	25	25
Autumn Lights	80	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crows Nest

25.4

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Rogue De Vega

21.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Never This Way

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Outreach

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1

Autumn Lights

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Crows Nest	—	84	67
Rogue De Vega	—	84	—
Never This Way	—	76	—
Outreach	—	71	—
Autumn Lights	—	66	28

Last Run

Going: Firm

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