Ultimate Provence Handicap – Chester

Chester

2:32

Ultimate Provence Handicap

Date 2023-07-01

Distance 1m4f63y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,115

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (7)	Scintillante gr Hayley Turner · Andrew Balding	Hayley Turner · Andrew Balding	126	—	73-52	76	83	53	16d	—	—	-10	13.8	5/2 29%
Back on the up when second on 1m4f Newbury handicap debut; likely more to come; player
8 (6)	Blue Universe b Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	124	p	3-1205	74	82	70	8d	—	—	-1	11.7	11/2 15%
AW win in April but below that level on turf since; blinkers off, cheekpieces on
4 (3)	Natchez Trace b Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	139	—	36-501	77	85	36	18d	—	—	-4	11.2	9/2 18%
Took AW record to 3-7 when winning at Southwell recently but he's only 1-18 on turf
1 (1)	Zealandia b Charlie Todd(3) · Ian Williams	Charlie Todd(3) · Ian Williams	144	p	/1-084	82	84	56	35d	—	—	+6	18.6	13/2 13%
Won off 1lb higher last June; clear signs of revival over C&D latest; could go well
2 (4)	The Nu Form Way b Sam James · Stella Barclay	Sam James · Stella Barclay	140	—	-51319	78	82	72	20d	—	—	+11	21.4	13/2 13%
C&D winner in May; badly hampered early on at Beverley since and likely still in form
5 (2)	Restorer gr Ben Sanderson(3) · Ian Williams	Ben Sanderson(3) · Ian Williams	133	p	30-732	71	86	73	14d	—	—	-2	8.1	15/2 12%
This 11yo showed he can still make an impact from reduced mark when second over C&D latest
3 (5)	Croachill b Tadhg O'Shea · Roger Varian	Tadhg O'Shea · Roger Varian	140	b	36-632	78	84	55	21d	—	—	+1	9.4	17/2 11%
Not beaten far in 1m2f handicaps on fast turf last twice; thereabouts back up at 1m4f
7 (8)	Paisano b Dougie Costello · Ralph Beckett	Dougie Costello · Ralph Beckett	124	v	369-5	74	78	36	37d	—	—	+3	7	28 4%
In good hands but has regressed since his debut; needs to get back on track now h'capping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Scintillante	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Blue Universe	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	5
Natchez Trace	9/2	4	5	9/2	5
Zealandia	6	11/2	5	11/2	13/2
The Nu Form Way	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Restorer	8	7	13/2	7	15/2
Croachill	9	8	17/2	8	17/2
Paisano	28	25	25	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Nu Form Way

21.4

OR: 7 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

2nd

Zealandia

18.6

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Scintillante

13.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Blue Universe

11.7

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Natchez Trace

11.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Croachill

9.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Restorer

8.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Paisano

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zealandia Top Rated	82	84	56
The Nu Form Way	78	82	72
Croachill	78	84	55
Natchez Trace	77	85	36
Scintillante	76	83	53
Blue Universe	74	82	70
Paisano	74	78	36
Restorer	71	86	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Scintillante	16d ago	Fit
Blue Universe	8d ago	Quick return
Natchez Trace	18d ago	Fit
Zealandia	35d ago	Fit
The Nu Form Way	20d ago	Fit
Restorer	14d ago	Fit
Croachill	21d ago	Fit
Paisano	37d ago	Fit

Going: Good

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