Racing Welfare Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

4:25

Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2023-07-01

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,501

Runners 12

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (6)	Lexington Knight ch Neil Callan · Richard Hannon	Neil Callan · Richard Hannon	135	t	253212	75	87	77	11d	—	—	+8	27.4	10/3 23%
Consistent sort who arrives in fine form and holds solid claims once more
9 (1)	The Dancing Poet ch Oisin Murphy · Brian Ellison	Oisin Murphy · Brian Ellison	124	—	43-782	64	92	78	28d	—	—	-7	7.5	9/2 18%
Close second at Doncaster last time and that form has been franked by the winner
6 (7)	King Of Unicorns b Billy Garritty · Micky Hammond	Billy Garritty · Micky Hammond	128	—	3453-5	68	89	-	36d	—	—	-6	8.5	9/2 18%
Third in this last year; fair reappearance run in May and has each-way possibilities
3 (12)	Victory b Rossa Ryan · Alan King	Rossa Ryan · Alan King	133	p	2527-9	73	88	-	18d	—	—	-3	9.4	11/2 15%
Well treated on his form last April/June but beaten a long way on recent reappearance
11 (11)	Billy Bathgate ch Andrew Mullen · Ewan Whillans	Andrew Mullen · Ewan Whillans	120	—	264441	60	87	71	18d	—	—	+6	15.2	15/2 12%
First win at 24th attempt at Ayr recently and that may have given his confidence a boost
5 (4)	Ri Na Farraige ch Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	130	—	-73160	70	87	74	59d	—	—	+4	13.6	15/2 12%
Won in good style over C&D in February but not at the same level on his two runs since
7 (9)	Glasses Up ch Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	127	—	-74525	67	86	-	19d	—	—	+2	9.9	10 10%
Some fair performances this season but more needed if he's to snap lengthy losing sequence
10 (3)	Golden Vintage b Callum Shepherd · Jedd Okeeffe	Callum Shepherd · Jedd Okeeffe	121	—	-18295	61	89	75	12d	—	—	+4	8.5	18 6%
Won over C&D in January; fair fifth at Wolverhampton recently but needs something extra
4 (2)	Vallamorey gr Tom Eaves · Chris Fairhurst	Tom Eaves · Chris Fairhurst	132	—	663-10	72	89	50	45d	—	—	+3	6.6	22 5%
Flopped at York but impressive on handicap debut at Doncaster previously and not ruled out
NR (8)	Easter Island b Graham Lee · Julie Camacho	Graham Lee · Julie Camacho	127	—	93-7	67	81	34	53d	—	—	-1	6.2	25 4%
Not obviously well treated off opening mark but yard having fine season; watch the betting
12 (10)	Explorers Way ch Shane Gray · Brian Ellison	Shane Gray · Brian Ellison	120	t	-44088	60	83	71	7d	—	—	-1	3.7	25 4%
Has struggled to get competitive this year; major turnaround is needed now in a tongue-tie
2 (5)	Very Excellent ch Cam Hardie · Mike Sowersby	Cam Hardie · Mike Sowersby	134	—	310-38	74	85	-	33d	—	—	+4	6.6	50 2%
150-1 third at Wetherby in May but well beaten at Redcar since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lexington Knight	10/3	10/3	3	16/5	10/3
The Dancing Poet	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
King Of Unicorns	5	9/2	5	5	5
Victory	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Billy Bathgate	8	8	15/2	8	8
Ri Na Farraige	7	15/2	7	15/2	7
Glasses Up	10	10	10	10	10
Golden Vintage	18	18	18	18	18
Vallamorey	22	20	20	20	22
Easter Island	22	25	22	10	25
Explorers Way	22	25	22	25	25
Very Excellent	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lexington Knight

27.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 15.4 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Billy Bathgate

15.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Ri Na Farraige

13.6

OR: 5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Glasses Up

9.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

Victory

9.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

King Of Unicorns

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Golden Vintage

8.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

The Dancing Poet

7.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Vallamorey

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Very Excellent

6.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Easter Island

6.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Explorers Way

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lexington Knight Top Rated	75	87	77
Very Excellent	74	85	—
Victory	73	88	—
Vallamorey	72	89	50
Ri Na Farraige	70	87	74
King Of Unicorns	68	89	—
Glasses Up	67	86	—
Easter Island	67	81	34
The Dancing Poet	64	92	78
Golden Vintage	61	89	75
Billy Bathgate	60	87	71
Explorers Way	60	83	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lexington Knight	11d ago	Quick return
The Dancing Poet	28d ago	Fit
King Of Unicorns	36d ago	Fit
Victory	18d ago	Fit
Billy Bathgate	18d ago	Fit
Ri Na Farraige	59d ago	Fresh
Glasses Up	19d ago	Fit
Golden Vintage	12d ago	Quick return
Vallamorey	45d ago	Fit
Easter Island	53d ago	Fresh
Explorers Way	7d ago	Quick return
Very Excellent	33d ago	Fit

Going: Standard To Slow

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