Llamau - Together We Can End Homelessness Classified Stakes

Chepstow

8:40

Date 2023-07-10

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (4)	Miss Sligo b Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	135	tb	331402	48	62	51	5d	—	—	-7	15.3	11/4 27%
Made a bold bid at Bath last week and is a big player if she can back that up
2 (3)	Magical Dragon b Billy Loughnane(3) · Patrick Chamings	Billy Loughnane(3) · Patrick Chamings	135	v	74-485	48	60	33	37d	—	—	-15	6.2	10/3 23%
Just one win from 25 starts and he needs to raise his game at this new trip
9 (8)	Queen Of Steel b Jefferson Smith · Mark Usher	Jefferson Smith · Mark Usher	123	—	077253	46	54	40	16d	—	—	-7	10.5	9/2 18%
Six-race maiden and she needs to kick on again to make a serious impact here
10 (6)	Seraphia b Luke Morris · Michael Bell	Luke Morris · Michael Bell	123	v	80-735	45	57	46	26d	—	—	-7	2.9	15/2 12%
Lightly raced filly who still has potential and looks interesting on this step up to 1m4f
3 (1)	Manyana b Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman	135	—	7-9825	50	58	14	25d	—	—	-8	3.1	15/2 12%
Inconsistent 11-race maiden who was disappointing at Yarmouth last time; risks attached
8 (9)	Mellow Mood b Liam Keniry · Sylvester Kirk	Liam Keniry · Sylvester Kirk	123	—	4087-2	48	56	12	18d	—	—	0	6.7	12 8%
Improved second at Lingfield (1m4f, AW) on her return and she's respected back on turf
7 (10)	Aussie Mystic b Alec Voikhansky(5) · Alexandra Dunn	Alec Voikhansky(5) · Alexandra Dunn	123	t	7-679	50	53	-	79d	—	—	-4	1.6	18 6%
Down the field in all four runs and has a lot to prove now upped to 1m4f for new yard
1 (2)	Good Impression b David Probert · Bernard Llewellyn	David Probert · Bernard Llewellyn	135	—	9/96-8	46	51	16	18d	—	—	-3	1.2	20 5%
His last Flat win was in 2020 and he struggled back in this sphere at Ripon 18 days ago
5 (7)	My Sand Boy b Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	Rossa Ryan · Tony Carroll	135	—	078/0-	45	44	-	403d	—	—	-2	0.9	33 3%
Still lightly raced but has plenty to prove upped to 1m4f after 13 months off
6 (5)	Sous Surveillance b Finley Marsh · Dominic Ffrench Davis	Finley Marsh · Dominic Ffrench Davis	135	t	900-86	44	40	27	13d	—	—	-2	0.8	33 3%
11-race maiden who has struggled under both codes for new yard this year; tongue-tie on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Miss Sligo	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4	11/4
Magical Dragon	10/3	3	11/4	3	11/4
Queen Of Steel	5	9/2	7/2	9/2	9/2
Seraphia	13/2	7	7	7	15/2
Manyana	7	7	6	7	15/2
Mellow Mood	11	12	11	12	12
Aussie Mystic	18	16	12	18	18
Good Impression	16	20	18	20	20
My Sand Boy	28	33	25	33	33
Sous Surveillance	28	28	25	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miss Sligo

15.3

OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Queen Of Steel

10.5

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Mellow Mood

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Magical Dragon

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Manyana

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Seraphia

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Aussie Mystic

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Good Impression

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

My Sand Boy

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Sous Surveillance

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Manyana Top Rated	50	58	14
Aussie Mystic	50	53	—
Miss Sligo	48	62	51
Magical Dragon	48	60	33
Mellow Mood	48	56	12
Queen Of Steel	46	54	40
Good Impression	46	51	16
Seraphia	45	57	46
My Sand Boy	45	44	—
Sous Surveillance	44	40	27

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Sligo	5d ago	Quick return
Magical Dragon	37d ago	Fit
Queen Of Steel	16d ago	Fit
Seraphia	26d ago	Fit
Manyana	25d ago	Fit
Mellow Mood	18d ago	Fit
Aussie Mystic	79d ago	Fresh
Good Impression	18d ago	Fit
My Sand Boy	403d ago	Long break
Sous Surveillance	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Soft

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