Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares)

Ascot

2:25

Date 2023-07-29

Distance 7f213y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £45,368

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (5)	Cadeau Belle b Jamie Spencer · J P Murtagh	Jamie Spencer · J P Murtagh	123	—	11	99	117	65	48d	—	—	+10	37.7	9/4 31%
2-2, the latter a 1m Listed race; surely more to come and much respected
2 (7)	Random Harvest b Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	131	—	1-7226	108	121	83	15d	—	—	+9	26.7	7/2 22%
Won Group 3 on soft; 2nd at Royal meeting and big shout if forgiven recent Newmarket run
1 (8)	Ameynah b David Egan · Roger Varian	David Egan · Roger Varian	131	—	2/16-	107	115	-	454d	—	—	+9	21.4	11/2 15%
Just third start when sixth in last year's 1,000 Guineas; off since but retains potential
9 (3)	Thornbrook b William Buick · Joseph Patrick Obrien	William Buick · Joseph Patrick Obrien	123	—	138-01	102	113	74	28d	—	—	+6	15.9	15/2 12%
Bounced straight back from poor reappearance to win 1m French Listed contest; respected
3 (2)	Roman Mist gr Oisin Murphy · Archie Watson	Oisin Murphy · Archie Watson	131	—	02-168	101	118	74	38d	—	—	+6	15.4	15/2 12%
Won Listed race on heavy on return; below best twice since but this ground more suitable
4 (9)	Zenga b Kevin Stott · Roger Varian	Kevin Stott · Roger Varian	131	—	120-74	86	104	74	18d	—	—	+4	10.9	12 8%
Has something to find on form but better than result on both outings this year
8 (10)	Sea Of Thieves b Rob Hornby · Ed Walker	Rob Hornby · Ed Walker	123	—	6-12	86	98	84	44d	—	—	+5	10.4	18 6%
Going the right way but faces a stiff task stepped up markedly in class
7 (1)	Rose Prick ch Jason Hart · Ed Walker	Jason Hart · Ed Walker	123	—	346-45	92	105	70	28d	—	—	+7	11.7	20 5%
3l behind Thornbrook in French Listed race latest; something to find
6 (4)	Mysterious Love b Rossa Ryan · David Menuisier	Rossa Ryan · David Menuisier	123	h	25-017	90	105	68	28d	—	—	+8	10.9	28 4%
Easy winner of maiden in mud in May but held by Thornbrook on subsequent French form
NR (6)	Vetiver ch NON-RUNNER · Andrew Balding	NON-RUNNER · Andrew Balding	123	ht	21-141	98	111	-	31d	—	—	+5	14.8	8 13%
Led late on in 7f soft-ground Listed race latest; return to 1m will suit; not out of this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cadeau Belle	9/4	9/4	17/8	2	9/4
Random Harvest	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Ameynah	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Thornbrook	15/2	7	13/2	7	15/2
Roman Mist	8	8	15/2	15/2	8
Zenga	11	11	10	11	12
Sea Of Thieves	16	18	14	14	16
Rose Prick	20	20	16	16	16
Mysterious Love	28	25	22	25	25
Vetiver	7	8	7	8	8

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cadeau Belle

37.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 17 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Random Harvest

26.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Ameynah

21.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Thornbrook

15.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Roman Mist

15.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Vetiver

14.8

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 2.8

Rose Prick

11.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Zenga

10.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Mysterious Love

10.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Sea Of Thieves

10.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Random Harvest Top Rated	108	121	83
Ameynah	107	115	—
Thornbrook	102	113	74
Roman Mist	101	118	74
Cadeau Belle	99	117	65
Vetiver	98	111	—
Rose Prick	92	105	70
Mysterious Love	90	105	68
Zenga	86	104	74
Sea Of Thieves	86	98	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cadeau Belle	48d ago	Fresh
Random Harvest	15d ago	Fit
Ameynah	454d ago	Long break
Thornbrook	28d ago	Fit
Roman Mist	38d ago	Fit
Zenga	18d ago	Fit
Sea Of Thieves	44d ago	Fit
Rose Prick	28d ago	Fit
Mysterious Love	28d ago	Fit
Vetiver	31d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Soft

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