Ken Howells / Cymru Bet Nursery Handicap – Ffos Las

Ffos Las

6:32

Ken Howells / Cymru Bet Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-07-31

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,245

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (10)	Charlie Mason b J:David Probert T:David Evans	J:David Probert T:David Evans	135	—	0583	60	64	48	13d	—	—	-13	13.5	11/4 27%
Gelded ahead of his handicap debut at Nottingham (soft) and was running on at the finish
2 (2)	Line Of Fire gr J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	136	—	677	61	61	56	49d	—	—	-9	7.8	7/2 22%
Opening mark doesn't look overly generous judged on her three runs in novice company
4 (4)	Without Flaw b J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Archie Watson	J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Archie Watson	135	—	0744	60	68	27	13d	—	—	-6	5.7	13/2 13%
Promise over 6f and didn't see it out over Beverley's extended 7f on handicap debut
3 (5)	Big Brown Bear b J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	136	—	625	61	70	49	21d	—	—	-1	9.1	13/2 13%
Easily his best run when pushing Search close in a modest 6f maiden at Brighton
1 (3)	Search ch J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	137	—	091	62	70	49	41d	—	—	+6	15.7	15/2 12%
Edged home in a weak-looking maiden at Brighton; likely to need more here
8 (1)	Aspire To Glory b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	134	—	088	59	68	55	25d	—	—	-5	4.9	9 11%
Has finished a little closer in each of his qualifying runs, at 5f initially then 6f
6 (9)	Tenyatta b J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	135	—	505	60	64	13	37d	—	—	-2	4.1	14 7%
Debut was promising and hasn't settled when failing to stay 7f the last twice; h'cap debut
5 (6)	Harts Pocketrocket ch J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	135	—	565	60	67	34	27d	—	—	-1	3.9	16 6%
One of his 5f assignments was won by a Group horse; only fifth of seven stepped up to 6f
9 (7)	Go Your Own Way gr/ro J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	128	p	8555	53	68	51	13d	—	—	-3	2.1	20/1 5%
Four defeats include one in a seller; cheekpieces need to bring him on
10 (8)	Capall Donn ch J:Rafael Souza(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Rafael Souza(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	123	—	060	48	55	21	14d	—	—	-1	0.5	66 2%
Poor form so far and goes handicapping with much to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Charlie Mason	5/2	11/4	11/4	2	5/2
Line Of Fire	4	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Without Flaw	7	6	6	6	13/2
Big Brown Bear	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Search	15/2	15/2	8	15/2	8
Aspire To Glory	7	8	8	8	9
Tenyatta	14	12	12	12	12
Harts Pocketrocket	16	16	16	16	16
Go Your Own Way	20/1	16	14	16	18
Capall Donn	66	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

15.7

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

15/2

2nd

Charlie Mason

13.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 8

11/4

3rd

Big Brown Bear

9.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Line Of Fire

7.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Without Flaw

5.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

13/2

Aspire To Glory

4.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Tenyatta

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Harts Pocketrocket

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Go Your Own Way

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Capall Donn

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Search Top Rated	62	70	49
Line Of Fire	61	61	56
Big Brown Bear	61	70	49
Charlie Mason	60	64	48
Without Flaw	60	68	27
Tenyatta	60	64	13
Harts Pocketrocket	60	67	34
Aspire To Glory	59	68	55
Go Your Own Way	53	68	51
Capall Donn	48	55	21

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charlie Mason	13d ago	Quick return
Without Flaw	13d ago	Quick return
Go Your Own Way	13d ago	Quick return
Capall Donn	14d ago	Fit
Big Brown Bear	21d ago	Fit
Aspire To Glory	25d ago	Fit
Harts Pocketrocket	27d ago	Fit
Tenyatta	37d ago	Fit
Search	41d ago	Fit
Line Of Fire	49d ago	Fresh