Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Handicap – Epsom

Epsom

8:00

Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Handicap

Date 2023-08-03

Distance 1m113y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,281

Runners 7

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (6)	Almarin b Hector Crouch · Patrick Owens	Hector Crouch · Patrick Owens	132	v	-08242	78	82	70	20d	—	—	-2	21.8	10/3 23%
Form has see-sawed since 1m novice win as 2yo; respectable 1m handicap runs of late
1 (3)	Sly Madam b George Bass(3) · Sheena West	George Bass(3) · Sheena West	144	p	258026	82	86	72	20d	—	—	+1	15.9	9/2 18%
2-2 over C&D (good and heavy); of interest back here with ground conditions to suit
2 (2)	Bear On The Loose b Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	135	h	317	81	84	30	43d	—	—	+4	21.3	7/2 22%
Made all on 2nd start (1m, soft); remote on AW since; conditions suit on handicap debut
7 (1)	Desfondado b Paddy Bradley(3) · Simon Dow	Paddy Bradley(3) · Simon Dow	128	—	367371	74	82	62	21d	—	—	+4	23.2	9/2 18%
Striking winner over C&D last month (good); up 7lb in higher grade; can improve further
3 (4)	Dumfries b Rhys Clutterbuck · Marcus Tregoning	Rhys Clutterbuck · Marcus Tregoning	133	—	25-184	79	82	63	8d	—	—	-2	10.9	11/2 15%
AW winner at 1m in March; track/trip excuses since; acts on soft; return to 1m can suit
6 (7)	Serious Look gr Connor Planas(5) · George Boughey	Connor Planas(5) · George Boughey	130	tp	47-555	76	80	66	15d	—	—	-1	9.4	17/2 11%
Course winner at 7f (soft) as 2yo; weak finisher at 1m on AW; needs more
NR (5)	Cobalt Blue ch Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	131	—	2-0743	77	83	69	14d	—	—	-2	15.3	13/2 13%
Unproven on slower than good; solid 7f run here latest and return to 1m can suit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Almarin	10/3	3	3/1	5/2	5/2
Sly Madam	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	4/1
Bear On The Loose	7/2	4	4	4	4
Desfondado	9/2	4	9/2	7/2	7/2
Dumfries	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Serious Look	8	8	17/2	8	8
Cobalt Blue	13/2	4	5	5	5

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Desfondado

23.2

OR: 6 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.7

9/2

2nd

Almarin

21.8

OR: 7 Form: 7.5 Odds: 7.3

10/3

3rd

Bear On The Loose

21.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Sly Madam

15.9

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Cobalt Blue

15.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

13/2

Dumfries

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Serious Look

9.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sly Madam Top Rated	82	86	72
Bear On The Loose	81	84	30
Dumfries	79	82	63
Almarin	78	82	70
Cobalt Blue	77	83	69
Serious Look	76	80	66
Desfondado	74	82	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Almarin	20d ago	Fit
Sly Madam	20d ago	Fit
Bear On The Loose	43d ago	Fit
Desfondado	21d ago	Fit
Dumfries	8d ago	Quick return
Serious Look	15d ago	Fit
Cobalt Blue	14d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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