British EBF Fillies' Nursery Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

2:05

British EBF Fillies' Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-08-05

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £20,616

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (1)	Say Hello b Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	132	b	3061	85	96	81	8d	—	—	+4	26.3	7/2 22%
Easily a career best when winning a C&D nursery by nearly 5l last week; 13lb higher
5 (3)	Tierney b Jamie Spencer · Hugo Palmer	Jamie Spencer · Hugo Palmer	124	—	4661	77	95	82	28d	—	—	+2	22.7	11/2 15%
Strong through the line when making a winning nursery debut at Haydock; up 7lb
6 (2)	Defying Orders b Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	121	p	3551	74	95	74	24d	—	—	+8	20.2	7 14%
Won going away on nursery debut; cheekpieces added off this 6lb higher mark
3 (5)	Snafiya b Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	130	—	23211	83	89	77	8d	—	—	+21	33	11/2 15%
Two soft-ground wins in the north (novices); hiked up 10lb ahead of nursery debut
NR (6)	Lady Wulfrun b David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	118	—	743	71	91	77	38d	—	—	-14	18.3	9 11%
Form of latest third has been franked and looks on a fair mark for nursery debut
NR (9)	Woodhay Wonder b William Buick · Tom Ward	William Buick · Tom Ward	135	—	713	88	88	68	22d	—	—	+13	22.2	15/2 12%
Novice winner who was highly tried last time and could have done with a truer pace
9 (7)	Mirroring b Barry McHugh · Michael Bell	Barry McHugh · Michael Bell	117	—	303	70	93	78	14d	—	—	-12	19.4	10 10%
Both turf runs encouraging, the latest on soft ground when 2l away in a 5f maiden at Ripon
4 (10)	Flaccianello b Kevin Stott · Richard Fahey	Kevin Stott · Richard Fahey	126	—	106	79	92	70	28d	—	—	+8	14	16 6%
Two comprehensive defeats since a winning debut, latterly in a Haydock nursery
NR (4)	Jumeirah Breeze b Cieren Fallon · George Margarson	Cieren Fallon · George Margarson	121	—	826	74	92	76	23d	—	—	-5	15.5	14 7%
Runner-up in a maiden here before struggling in another at the July meeting; can do better
NR (8)	Soveraine b Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	117	—	254	70	93	57	32d	—	—	+5	8.6	20 5%
Good first run but below form on slower surfaces since then; nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Say Hello	7/2	7/2	11/4	11/4	11/4
Tierney	6	6	5	11/2	11/2
Defying Orders	7	6	6	6	6
Snafiya	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Lady Wulfrun	9	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
Woodhay Wonder	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Mirroring	10	17/2	10	8	10
Flaccianello	14	16	16	16	16
Jumeirah Breeze	9	12	14	14	14
Soveraine	20	18	20	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Snafiya

OR: 8.3 Form: 21.4 Odds: 3.3

11/2

2nd

Say Hello

26.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 6.7

7/2

3rd

Tierney

22.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 6

11/2

Woodhay Wonder

22.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Defying Orders

20.2

OR: 6 Form: 10.9 Odds: 3.3

Mirroring

19.4

OR: 5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 9.9

Lady Wulfrun

18.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 10

Jumeirah Breeze

15.5

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6

Flaccianello

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Soveraine

8.6

OR: 5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Woodhay Wonder Top Rated	88	88	68
Say Hello	85	96	81
Snafiya	83	89	77
Flaccianello	79	92	70
Tierney	77	95	82
Defying Orders	74	95	74
Jumeirah Breeze	74	92	76
Lady Wulfrun	71	91	77
Mirroring	70	93	78
Soveraine	70	93	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Say Hello	8d ago	Quick return
Tierney	28d ago	Fit
Defying Orders	24d ago	Fit
Snafiya	8d ago	Quick return
Lady Wulfrun	38d ago	Fit
Woodhay Wonder	22d ago	Fit
Mirroring	14d ago	Fit
Flaccianello	28d ago	Fit
Jumeirah Breeze	23d ago	Fit
Soveraine	32d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Jumeirah Breeze	Mid-Pack
Tierney	Hold Up
Defying Orders	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 10 runners classified.

Going: Soft

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