Happy Birthday Jessica Todd EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Thirsk

2:50

Date 2023-08-05

Distance 7f218y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,940

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (3)	Initio b NON-RUNNER · Edward Bethell	NON-RUNNER · Edward Bethell	130	—	3	-	75	-	11d	—	—	-44	23	—
Fair form when third on recent 7f debut; in good hands and entitled to improve
2 (2)	Lord Bertie b Daniel Tudhope · William Haggas	Daniel Tudhope · William Haggas	136	—	31-	-	85	56	368d	—	—	-16	26.1	6/4 40%
Promising at 2; it's taken a while to get him back but he could be very useful
3 (4)	Dark Desire b Sam James · K R Burke	Sam James · K R Burke	131	—	P-1	-	82	49	15d	—	—	-15	20.4	6/4 40%
Form of 7f Haydock win nothing special but should be more to come for in-form yard
7 (1)	Romilda b Adam Farragher(3) · William Haggas	Adam Farragher(3) · William Haggas	125	—	4	-	70	50	14d	—	—	-7	2.9	9 11%
Green when well-held fourth on debut; should improve but Lord Bertie looks yard main hope
1 (6)	Armoured b Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	Jonny Peate(3) · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	137	—	3	-	67	33	6d	—	—	-2	4.9	12 8%
May build on recent Pontefract debut third but the form is nothing special
6 (5)	Operation Gimcrack ch Harrison Shaw · Bryan Smart	Harrison Shaw · Bryan Smart	130	—	93	-	71	38	15d	—	—	-1	4.6	12 8%
Stepped up on debut when third to Dark Desire but no reason why he'll turn tables
8 (8)	True Nation br Ethan Tindall(7) · Richard Fahey	Ethan Tindall(7) · Richard Fahey	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-46	20	22 5%
From good yard but partnered by a 7lb claimer and likely best watched on debut
4 (7)	Be Rural b P J McDonald · Ewan Whillans	P J McDonald · Ewan Whillans	130	—	7	-	39	-	16d	—	—	-42	20	100 1%
Well bred but more one for the longer term judged on recent debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Initio	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Lord Bertie	6/4	6/5	6/5	SP	6/5
Dark Desire	11/8	6/4	5/4	SP	11/8
Romilda	9	7	13/2	SP	13/2
Armoured	12	12	11	SP	11
Operation Gimcrack	12	12	12	SP	12
True Nation	14	22	22	SP	22
Be Rural	100	80	80	SP	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lord Bertie

26.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 14

6/4

2nd

Initio

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Dark Desire

20.4

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 11.4

6/4

True Nation

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

Be Rural

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

100

Armoured

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Operation Gimcrack

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Romilda

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Initio	—	75	—
Lord Bertie	—	85	56
Dark Desire	—	82	49
Romilda	—	70	50
Armoured	—	67	33
Operation Gimcrack	—	71	38
True Nation	—	—	—
Be Rural	—	39	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Initio	11d ago	Quick return
Lord Bertie	368d ago	Long break
Dark Desire	15d ago	Fit
Romilda	14d ago	Fit
Armoured	6d ago	Quick return
Operation Gimcrack	15d ago	Fit
True Nation	—	—
Be Rural	16d ago	Fit

Going: Soft

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