Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

5:20

Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap

Date 2023-08-07

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners 8

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (3)	Rory The Cat ch Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	132	tb	065121	59	67	59	20d	—	—	+2	29.2	9/4 31%
2-4 for new stable since June and could quite plausibly have more improvement to come
1 (5)	Ayr Poet b Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	144	p	-65221	63	67	50	7d	—	—	-2	28.6	9/4 31%
As good as ever when winning over 1m here a week ago and only 3lb higher under penalty
2 (7)	Golden Valour b Ben Curtis · R Mike Smith	Ben Curtis · R Mike Smith	139	v	767254	58	66	57	7d	—	—	-8	9.5	9/2 18%
Ran well here three times last month but remains without a win since 2020
3 (4)	Ice Shadow b Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	139	b	697331	58	64	51	17d	—	—	+11	17.5	12 8%
Dominated from the front to open account at Nottingham last month; respected
8 (1)	Two Rivers b Joe Fanning · Iain Jardine	Joe Fanning · Iain Jardine	124	t	-97076	51	60	46	7d	—	—	-5	2.4	11 9%
Unplaced all eight runs, most recently when midfield in 1m race won by Ayr Poet last week
6 (6)	Royal Countess b Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	128	—	-18585	47	65	43	29d	—	—	-2	3.4	20 5%
C&D winner off basement mark on seasonal debut but needs to better his recent efforts
7 (2)	Hollis Brown b Connor Beasley · Linda Perratt	Connor Beasley · Linda Perratt	126	—	-77660	45	63	50	7d	—	—	-4	1.4	20 5%
Always behind over 1m here a week ago and now 0-14; tries a new trip today
4 (8)	Sprezzatura b Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	135	p	445644	62	63	29	13d	—	—	+1	3.8	40 3%
Didn't run badly in a maiden last month and current handicap mark ought to be workable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rory The Cat	15/8	9/4	17/8	2	2
Ayr Poet	9/4	15/8	17/8	15/8	15/8
Golden Valour	9/2	9/2	4	4	4
Ice Shadow	12	11	12	10	11
Two Rivers	11	11	11	10	10
Royal Countess	20	18	18	14	18
Hollis Brown	20	18	20	20	20
Sprezzatura	33	33	40	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rory The Cat

29.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Ayr Poet

28.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 16 Odds: 9.4

9/4

3rd

Ice Shadow

17.5

OR: 2 Form: 13.6 Odds: 1.9

Golden Valour

9.5

OR: 2 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Sprezzatura

3.8

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Royal Countess

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

Two Rivers

2.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Hollis Brown

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ayr Poet Top Rated	63	67	50
Sprezzatura	62	63	29
Rory The Cat	59	67	59
Golden Valour	58	66	57
Ice Shadow	58	64	51
Two Rivers	51	60	46
Royal Countess	47	65	43
Hollis Brown	45	63	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rory The Cat	20d ago	Fit
Ayr Poet	7d ago	Quick return
Golden Valour	7d ago	Quick return
Ice Shadow	17d ago	Fit
Two Rivers	7d ago	Quick return
Royal Countess	29d ago	Fit
Hollis Brown	7d ago	Quick return
Sprezzatura	13d ago	Quick return

Going: Good To Soft

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