Alan Bushell Racing Limited Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

1:40

Alan Bushell Racing Limited Handicap

Date 2023-08-24

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners 15

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (12)	On Edge b Gina Mangan(3) · Christopher Mason	Gina Mangan(3) · Christopher Mason	136	p	39-313	56	65	63	35d	—	—	-13	7.7	7/2 22%
Conditions to suit & he's run well here the last twice; closely matched with Louis Treize
2 (4)	Evasive Power b Billy Loughnane(3) · Robyn Brisland	Billy Loughnane(3) · Robyn Brisland	137	—	1-4774	57	68	63	35d	—	—	-3	13.8	9/2 18%
Not far behind a couple of these here last month and that was after a break
1 (10)	Under Curfew ch Mollie Phillips(3) · Tony Carroll	Mollie Phillips(3) · Tony Carroll	137	—	226834	57	66	56	5d	—	—	-4	8.5	13/2 13%
On losing run but he's a solid candidate if reproducing this year's best
8 (8)	Louis Treize ch Dougie Costello · Deborah Faulkner	Dougie Costello · Deborah Faulkner	132	h	147213	52	66	64	24d	—	—	+6	15.9	15/2 12%
Quirky but talented for the grade; two course wins this year; should be in the thick of it
5 (7)	Hagia Sophia b William Cox · Christopher Mason	William Cox · Christopher Mason	135	p	-7042R	55	66	53	29d	—	—	-4	6.1	15/2 12%
Conditions to suit but she blotted her copybook when refusing to race at Bath last time
10 (14)	Rhubarb b Connor Planas(3) · Richard Price	Connor Planas(3) · Richard Price	131	—	233538	51	70	64	10d	—	—	-2	6	11 9%
Conditions to suit and she's dropped to a lowly mark; has a big run in her
11 (11)	Salta Resta bl Callum Hutchinson(3) · Victor Dartnall	Callum Hutchinson(3) · Victor Dartnall	131	ht	47-346	51	67	53	20d	—	—	-5	2.2	12 8%
Hard puller; three creditable efforts this year and more appealing than many
9 (9)	Bluebell Time b William Carson · Malcolm Saunders	William Carson · Malcolm Saunders	132	p	456850	52	71	60	15d	—	—	-5	2.4	16 6%
Gone off the boil of late and the addition of cheekpieces needs to give her a lift
14 (2)	Tranquillity b Lewis Edmunds · Hughie Morrison	Lewis Edmunds · Hughie Morrison	123	t	0-6637	46	63	43	44d	—	—	-6	2.1	14 7%
Modest maiden; claims if reproducing her penultimate third now back down in trip
6 (15)	El Hibri b Cieren Fallon · Tony Carroll	Cieren Fallon · Tony Carroll	134	—	3-0650	54	59	37	15d	—	—	0	4.3	22 5%
Regressive maiden; return to sprinting may help but others have more pressing claims
7 (5)	Bear To Dream b Paddy Bradley(3) · Michael Attwater	Paddy Bradley(3) · Michael Attwater	133	—	973236	53	66	48	24d	—	—	+3	7.5	25 4%
Ignore last time & she's a contender off a reduced mark under conditions that should suit
4 (1)	Flip Mode b Hollie Doyle · John Oshea	Hollie Doyle · John Oshea	136	tp	19/878	56	62	24	35d	—	—	-2	2.9	22 5%
Yet to fire after a lengthy absence; down in weights but too much to prove
12 (3)	Our Man In Havana b Finley Marsh · Tony Carroll	Finley Marsh · Tony Carroll	126	b	690670	46	64	20	10d	—	—	-1	0.5	66 2%
Struggling in 2023 but his last three wins have come at this track; blinkered first time
13 (13)	Epeius b Georgia Dobie(3) · Joe Tickle	Georgia Dobie(3) · Joe Tickle	126	v	084490	46	64	43	5d	—	—	-1	0.4	66 2%
On losing run and well short of his best on Saturday; others look much safer
15 (6)	Kay Ceraar b Ray Dawson · Tony Carroll	Ray Dawson · Tony Carroll	123	—	400080	46	59	27	24d	—	—	-1	0.4	100 1%
One mildly promising run and eight poor ones; easy enough to swerve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
On Edge	7/2	7/2	4	10/3	10/3
Evasive Power	7/2	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Under Curfew	7	6	13/2	6	6
Louis Treize	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
Hagia Sophia	7	8	7/1	15/2	8
Rhubarb	11	11	9	10	10
Salta Resta	12	11	10	10	11
Bluebell Time	16	14	11	14	14
Tranquillity	14	14	14	12	12
El Hibri	16	22	16	22	22
Bear To Dream	25	20	16	20	20
Flip Mode	16	22	22	14	20
Our Man In Havana	66	66	66	40	66
Epeius	66	66	66	50	50
Kay Ceraar	66	80	100	66	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Louis Treize

15.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Evasive Power

13.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Under Curfew

8.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.6

13/2

On Edge

7.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Bear To Dream

7.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.2

Hagia Sophia

6.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 2 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Rhubarb

OR: 0.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.1

El Hibri

4.3

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Flip Mode

2.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Bluebell Time

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Salta Resta

2.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Tranquillity

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Our Man In Havana

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Epeius

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Kay Ceraar

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Evasive Power Top Rated	57	68	63
Under Curfew	57	66	56
On Edge	56	65	63
Flip Mode	56	62	24
Hagia Sophia	55	66	53
El Hibri	54	59	37
Bear To Dream	53	66	48
Louis Treize	52	66	64
Bluebell Time	52	71	60
Rhubarb	51	70	64
Salta Resta	51	67	53
Tranquillity	46	63	43
Our Man In Havana	46	64	20
Epeius	46	64	43
Kay Ceraar	46	59	27

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
On Edge	35d ago	Fit
Evasive Power	35d ago	Fit
Under Curfew	5d ago	Quick return
Louis Treize	24d ago	Fit
Hagia Sophia	29d ago	Fit
Rhubarb	10d ago	Quick return
Salta Resta	20d ago	Fit
Bluebell Time	15d ago	Fit
Tranquillity	44d ago	Fit
El Hibri	15d ago	Fit
Bear To Dream	24d ago	Fit
Flip Mode	35d ago	Fit
Our Man In Havana	10d ago	Quick return
Epeius	5d ago	Quick return
Kay Ceraar	24d ago	Fit

Going: Good To Firm

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