Ministry Of Sound 2nd September Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

8:05

Ministry Of Sound 2nd September Handicap

Date 2023-08-24

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,131

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (1)	Geelong b David Probert · Paul & Oliver Cole	David Probert · Paul & Oliver Cole	136	—	263432	56	68	63	8d	—	—	-9	17.5	11/4 27%
Down the weights and bang there on his last three starts; should be again
7 (3)	Socialist Agenda ch Shane Kelly · L J Morgan	Shane Kelly · L J Morgan	133	—	7085	53	64	25	20d	—	—	-14	6.9	11/4 27%
Major flat patch before finishing close up on Flat handicap debut at Wolverhampton (1m6f)
6 (11)	Steel Helmet ch Benoit De La Sayette · Harriet Bethell	Benoit De La Sayette · Harriet Bethell	133	—	751512	53	65	60	26d	—	—	+9	18.3	17/2 11%
1m6f wins at Wolverhampton this May and June; close call at Newcastle on latest start
NR (10)	Big Jimbo ch TBC · Gary Moore	· Gary Moore	134	—	225610	54	66	31	1d	—	—	-2	13.4	13/2 13%
Pipped in a 2m AW race; 11.6f win at Bath three weeks ago; due to run there yesterday
3 (5)	Ask Peter b Archie Young(7) · Charlie Johnston	Archie Young(7) · Charlie Johnston	135	—	356471	55	67	-	10d	—	—	+6	13.2	10 10%
Hamilton (1m4f, soft) 10 days ago saw her off the mark at 14th attempt; comparable AW form
1 (7)	Estrela Star ch Robert Havlin · Ali Stronge	Robert Havlin · Ali Stronge	137	p	561-48	57	67	49	42d	—	—	-3	3.5	12 8%
May have needed his only start this summer (50-1, turf) and he's well handicapped
9 (4)	Team Endeavour b Daniel Muscutt · Ian Williams	Daniel Muscutt · Ian Williams	129	p	6-9816	49	67	-	21d	—	—	-5	1.9	12 8%
Upped from about 1m3f to 2m for narrow win at Wetherby in June; tailed off on heavy since
8 (12)	Trusty Scout ch Darragh Keenan · Derek Shaw	Darragh Keenan · Derek Shaw	131	h	676264	51	67	59	16d	—	—	-2	4.5	16 6%
Kempton 2nd in May and close 4th at Catterick latest; worth this first attempt beyond 1m4f
12 (2)	Tradesman b Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	Callum Shepherd · David Simcock	126	b	605738	46	64	28	19d	—	—	-1	3.3	22 5%
It's possible to argue his best form came over C&D and he's 9lb lower now; none too solid
10 (8)	Buford b Rowan Scott · Ewan Whillans	Rowan Scott · Ewan Whillans	127	b	426362	47	66	50	20d	—	—	+1	9.9	12 8%
Sole win (27 races) was August 2021 but he went close at Wolverhampton (1m6f, AW) latest
11 (9)	Foursome ch Jack Mitchell · Olly Williams	Jack Mitchell · Olly Williams	126	—	453464	46	66	31	35d	—	—	-6	3.6	12 8%
19-race maiden; this is her first go on Polytrack; most 2023 form gives her a place squeak
4 (13)	Desert Glory b Kieran O'Neill · Clare Hobson	Kieran O'Neill · Clare Hobson	134	—	45-7	54	59	-	27d	—	—	-1	1.7	50 2%
No solid claims but going handicapping is much more realistic
13 (6)	Ulysses b Jonathan Fisher(5) · Derek Shaw	Jonathan Fisher(5) · Derek Shaw	126	v	6770-6	46	63	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	40 3%
Both of his wins were over hurdles; no significant impact on the Flat in recent years

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Geelong	11/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Socialist Agenda	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Steel Helmet	8	17/2	8	8	8
Big Jimbo	13/2	5	5	5	5
Ask Peter	10	10	10	10	10
Estrela Star	12	12	11	12	12
Team Endeavour	10	11	10	12	11
Trusty Scout	16	11	11	11	11
Tradesman	16	22	22	22	22
Buford	12	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Foursome	12	10	9	10	10
Desert Glory	33	50	40	50	50
Ulysses	40	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Steel Helmet

18.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 15 Odds: 2.5

17/2

2nd

Geelong

17.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 8 Odds: 8

11/4

3rd

Big Jimbo

13.4

OR: 1 Form: 8 Odds: 4.4

13/2

Ask Peter

13.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

Buford

9.9

OR: 0 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.4

Socialist Agenda

6.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Trusty Scout

4.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

Foursome

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.7

Estrela Star

3.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Tradesman

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Team Endeavour

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Desert Glory

1.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ulysses

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Estrela Star Top Rated	57	67	49
Geelong	56	68	63
Ask Peter	55	67	—
Big Jimbo	54	66	31
Desert Glory	54	59	—
Socialist Agenda	53	64	25
Steel Helmet	53	65	60
Trusty Scout	51	67	59
Team Endeavour	49	67	—
Buford	47	66	50
Tradesman	46	64	28
Foursome	46	66	31
Ulysses	46	63	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Geelong	8d ago	Quick return
Socialist Agenda	20d ago	Fit
Steel Helmet	26d ago	Fit
Big Jimbo	1d ago	Quick return
Ask Peter	10d ago	Quick return
Estrela Star	42d ago	Fit
Team Endeavour	21d ago	Fit
Trusty Scout	16d ago	Fit
Tradesman	19d ago	Fit
Buford	20d ago	Fit
Foursome	35d ago	Fit
Desert Glory	27d ago	Fit
Ulysses	—	—

Going: Standard

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