Olivia Acton 21st Birthday Handicap – Chester

Chester

4:30

Olivia Acton 21st Birthday Handicap

Date 2023-09-02

Distance 5f110y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,308

Runners 13

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (2)	Roman Dragon b David Probert · Hugo Palmer	David Probert · Hugo Palmer	130	—	-85412	84	102	85	50d	—	—	+8	25.7	7/2 22%
Four 6f wins here; good 2nd over C&D in July; well drawn; more appealing than many
1 (11)	Paws For Thought b William Buick · Donald Mccain	William Buick · Donald Mccain	140	—	371115	94	101	84	27d	—	—	+16	30	9/2 18%
Had a fine year but it won't be easy dominating this field from a double-figure stall
8 (6)	Call Me Ginger ch Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	129	—	765407	83	105	83	13d	—	—	-2	12.3	9/2 18%
Handicapped to win but debatable if this track will play to his strengths
4 (4)	Spoof b Ben Robinson · Kevin Frost	Ben Robinson · Kevin Frost	136	—	110921	90	102	90	28d	—	—	+18	28.4	13/2 13%
As good as ever this year and he's 2-2 at the track; well drawn and lots to like
3 (1)	Hyperfocus b/br David Allan · Tim Easterby	David Allan · Tim Easterby	137	p	135009	91	103	87	14d	—	—	+1	14.9	6/1 14%
Back to good mark and has the rail draw; wouldn't really want drying ground
5 (5)	Zarzyni b Jason Hart · David & Nicola Barron	Jason Hart · David & Nicola Barron	135	—	-57400	89	104	79	35d	—	—	+2	12.6	13/2 13%
Quiet last twice but his Dash 4th in June came off 5lb higher; this should be run to suit
9 (7)	Dare To Hope b Connor Murtagh · Richard Fahey	Connor Murtagh · Richard Fahey	126	—	243-60	82	101	80	13d	—	—	+2	10.2	14 7%
Only 10th latest but it was a run full of promise; still low mileage; interesting
11 (12)	Count Dorsay b Billy Garritty · Tim Easterby	Billy Garritty · Tim Easterby	122	p	170553	76	104	82	8d	—	—	+5	11.1	18 6%
Beat Roman Dragon over C&D in July; more miss than hit since and he has a tough draw today
10 (3)	Night On Earth b David Egan · Ian Williams	David Egan · Ian Williams	123	—	044060	77	98	80	35d	—	—	+3	8.1	20 5%
Patchy record this season but he's tumbled down the weights; capable but risky
13 (13)	King Of Tonga gr Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	Zak Wheatley(5) · Declan Carroll	121	b	485229	75	101	82	16d	—	—	+10	13.2	25 4%
Won this race last year from stall 1; stall 13 makes a repeat unlikely
12 (8)	Evocative Spark b Franny Norton · Darryll Holland	Franny Norton · Darryll Holland	121	—	-64905	75	101	65	10d	—	—	+4	7.1	33 3%
Struggling for form this year & dropping to this sharp test isn't sure to arrest the slide
NR (9)	Lihou ch Pierre-Louis Jamin · David Evans	Pierre-Louis Jamin · David Evans	132	—	202551	86	102	85	7d	—	—	+16	22.2	14 7%
Five wins this year, the latest off 4lb lower at Goodwood last week; this demands more
NR (10)	Democracy Dilemma b Daniel Tudhope · David Evans	Daniel Tudhope · David Evans	137	v	185316	93	104	81	30d	—	—	+14	21.4	12 8%
Conditions won't be an issue but he's high in the weights and drawn out wide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Roman Dragon	7/2	4	7/2	4	4
Paws For Thought	5	5	9/2	5	9/2
Call Me Ginger	5	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Spoof	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Hyperfocus	6	6	6	6	6/1
Zarzyni	7	7	13/2	7	7
Dare To Hope	14	14	11	14	12
Count Dorsay	18	14	12	14	14
Night On Earth	20	16	16	18	18
King Of Tonga	25	25	22/1	25	25
Evocative Spark	33	33	28	33	28
Lihou	14	14	14	14	SP
Democracy Dilemma	12	11	11	11	11

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Paws For Thought

OR: 11 Form: 15 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Spoof

28.4

OR: 10 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

3rd

Roman Dragon

25.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 12 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Lihou

22.2

OR: 9 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.7

Democracy Dilemma

21.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.1

Hyperfocus

14.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4

6/1

King Of Tonga

13.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1

Zarzyni

12.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Call Me Ginger

12.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Count Dorsay

11.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Dare To Hope

10.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Night On Earth

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Evocative Spark

7.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Paws For Thought Top Rated	94	101	84
Democracy Dilemma	93	104	81
Hyperfocus	91	103	87
Spoof	90	102	90
Zarzyni	89	104	79
Lihou	86	102	85
Roman Dragon	84	102	85
Call Me Ginger	83	105	83
Dare To Hope	82	101	80
Night On Earth	77	98	80
Count Dorsay	76	104	82
King Of Tonga	75	101	82
Evocative Spark	75	101	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Roman Dragon	50d ago	Fresh
Paws For Thought	27d ago	Fit
Call Me Ginger	13d ago	Quick return
Spoof	28d ago	Fit
Hyperfocus	14d ago	Fit
Zarzyni	35d ago	Fit
Dare To Hope	13d ago	Quick return
Count Dorsay	8d ago	Quick return
Night On Earth	35d ago	Fit
King Of Tonga	16d ago	Fit
Evocative Spark	10d ago	Quick return
Lihou	7d ago	Quick return
Democracy Dilemma	30d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Democracy Dilemma	Front Runner
Hyperfocus	Prominent
Night On Earth	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 13 runners classified.

Going: Good To Soft

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