British EBF Ruby Anniversary Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Chester

2:10

Date 2023-09-02

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,233

Runners 11

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (10)	Colorada Dancer b NON-RUNNER · Richard Fahey	NON-RUNNER · Richard Fahey	130	—	2	-	92	-	13d	—	—	-27	21.3	—
Non-runner
4 (7)	Infinity Blue b David Probert · Andrew Balding	David Probert · Andrew Balding	130	—	83	-	86	59	29d	—	—	-22	14.8	11/8 42%
Improved third at Newmarket and that form was boosted big time at York
1 (2)	Politico b Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	136	—	31055	80	84	69	40d	—	—	-1	16.1	7/2 22%
Course winner but not obviously progressive and penalised back in a novice
NR (11)	Valadero ch Hector Crouch · Darryll Holland	Hector Crouch · Darryll Holland	130	—	2243	80	90	78	27d	—	—	-9	25.5	11/2 15%
Has form claims but debatable what improvement there is to come and he's drawn wide
3 (6)	Foreign Exchange b Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	130	—	72	-	80	48	15d	—	—	-2	7.7	8 13%
No match for the comfortable winner at Thirsk and may need more
5 (1)	Its Not Risky ch Jason Hart · Hugo Palmer	Jason Hart · Hugo Palmer	130	—	8	-	71	49	22d	—	—	-8	3.3	6 17%
£60,000 yearling; only 9-1 at Haydock (7f, good) and not a lot went right
8 (3)	Terratino Fire b Paul Mulrennan · Hugo Palmer	Paul Mulrennan · Hugo Palmer	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	9/1 10%
Has been gelded; locally trained and would need to see some confidence behind him
6 (5)	Mister Gan b Sam James · Craig Lidster	Sam James · Craig Lidster	130	—	7	-	66	51	98d	—	—	-4	1.4	14 7%
Kicked off at York but was only seventh in a field of nine and that was back in May
10 (9)	Varden ch Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	130	p	06	-	76	69	42d	—	—	-3	1.2	16 6%
Unlikely that he's done himself justice to date; now goes in cheekpieces; not ruled out
11 (4)	Autumn Rose b David Egan · Tony Carroll	David Egan · Tony Carroll	125	—	05	-	71	42	31d	—	—	-2	0.8	33 3%
Ex-Irish; showed more at Leicester (6f, soft) but still looks one for another day
7 (8)	Nicholo b Laura Coughlan(5) · Lisa Williamson	Laura Coughlan(5) · Lisa Williamson	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	150 1%
Newcomer and stable has not had a 2yo winner in the last five seasons

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Colorada Dancer	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Infinity Blue	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4	11/8
Politico	4	4	4	7/2	7/2
Valadero	11/2	5	5	5	5
Foreign Exchange	8	8	8	8	8
Its Not Risky	6	6	6	6	6
Terratino Fire	15/2	9	9	9/1	9
Mister Gan	14	14	14	14	14
Varden	16	16	16	16	16
Autumn Rose	28	33	33	28	33
Nicholo	150	66	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Valadero

25.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 11

11/2

2nd

Colorada Dancer

21.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 16.3

—

3rd

Politico

16.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5

7/2

Infinity Blue

14.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.8

11/8

Foreign Exchange

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

Its Not Risky

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Terratino Fire

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Mister Gan

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Varden

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Autumn Rose

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Nicholo

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Politico Top Rated	80	84	69
Valadero	80	90	78
Colorada Dancer	—	92	—
Infinity Blue	—	86	59
Foreign Exchange	—	80	48
Its Not Risky	—	71	49
Terratino Fire	—	—	—
Mister Gan	—	66	51
Varden	—	76	69
Autumn Rose	—	71	42
Nicholo	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Colorada Dancer	13d ago	Quick return
Infinity Blue	29d ago	Fit
Politico	40d ago	Fit
Valadero	27d ago	Fit
Foreign Exchange	15d ago	Fit
Its Not Risky	22d ago	Fit
Terratino Fire	—	—
Mister Gan	98d ago	Long break
Varden	42d ago	Fit
Autumn Rose	31d ago	Fit
Nicholo	—	—

Going: Good To Soft

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