Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

2:10

Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap

Date 2023-09-08

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners 10

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (2)	Prince Achille b Jack Garritty · Jedd Okeeffe	Jack Garritty · Jedd Okeeffe	136	b	-31322	56	66	43	21d	—	—	+1	20.8	7/2 22%
Three placed efforts since his Carlisle win in May; up in weights but still considered
4 (7)	Crystal Guard b Ben Curtis · Iain Jardine	Ben Curtis · Iain Jardine	134	b	135805	54	69	58	22d	—	—	-12	7.3	7/2 22%
C&D winner off 2lb higher in January; eyecatcher at Ayr latest; leading contender
5 (8)	Trailblazer b Daniel Tudhope · Adam Nicol	Daniel Tudhope · Adam Nicol	132	p	365802	52	77	-	10d	—	—	-10	12.2	10/3 23%
Effective here and comes here on the back of a good run on turf; chance if on a going day
2 (6)	Lord Torranaga b Graham Lee · Philip Kirby	Graham Lee · Philip Kirby	135	—	324332	55	70	60	9d	—	—	-2	16.1	7/2 22%
String of good efforts over further this summer; should give it another good go
8 (1)	Toscan Genius b Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	126	h	940/56	46	68	40	11d	—	—	-8	3.3	13/2 13%
Unplaced all 8 starts but not beaten far in a stronger race at Southwell latest; chance
NR (9)	International Law gr TBC · Antony Brittain	· Antony Brittain	131	v	354574	51	69	60	36d	—	—	-6	2.7	11 9%
Infrequent winner these days but he was making good late headway over 1m2f here last time
NR (5)	Tiberio Force bl NON-RUNNER · Simon Whitaker	NON-RUNNER · Simon Whitaker	127	b	773467	47	66	-	21d	—	—	-12	6.1	14 7%
Turf winner last summer; quiet the last twice and others look stronger
3 (10)	Ideal Dream b Amie Waugh(5) · John Davies	Amie Waugh(5) · John Davies	134	—	-57156	54	67	58	87d	—	—	+3	7.2	20 5%
50-1 win over C&D in April was followed by two lesser runs; career best required today
10 (3)	Thomas Cranmer b Phil Dennis · Tina Jackson	Phil Dennis · Tina Jackson	126	—	59-675	46	65	-	11d	—	—	-2	0.9	28 4%
No win since 2018; not beaten far 11 days ago but others still much more appealing
9 (4)	Strong Team b Mark Winn(3) · Chris Grant	Mark Winn(3) · Chris Grant	126	p	30-365	46	66	55	—	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
Conditions won't bother him but out of sorts over hurdles this summer; others are stronger

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Prince Achille	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Crystal Guard	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	7/2
Trailblazer	11/4	10/3	3	3	3
Lord Torranaga	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Toscan Genius	13/2	13/2	7	13/2	13/2
International Law	11	11	11	11	11
Tiberio Force	14	SP	SP	SP	SP
Ideal Dream	20	18	18/1	18/1	18
Thomas Cranmer	28	28	28	28	28
Strong Team	100	100/1	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Prince Achille

20.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 13.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Lord Torranaga

16.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Trailblazer

12.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Crystal Guard

7.3

OR: 1 Form: 0.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ideal Dream

7.2

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Tiberio Force

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 5.2

Toscan Genius

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

International Law

2.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Thomas Cranmer

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Strong Team

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Prince Achille Top Rated	56	66	43
Lord Torranaga	55	70	60
Crystal Guard	54	69	58
Ideal Dream	54	67	58
Trailblazer	52	77	—
International Law	51	69	60
Tiberio Force	47	66	—
Toscan Genius	46	68	40
Thomas Cranmer	46	65	—
Strong Team	46	66	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Prince Achille	21d ago	Fit
Crystal Guard	22d ago	Fit
Trailblazer	10d ago	Quick return
Lord Torranaga	9d ago	Quick return
Toscan Genius	11d ago	Quick return
International Law	36d ago	Fit
Tiberio Force	21d ago	Fit
Ideal Dream	87d ago	Fresh
Thomas Cranmer	11d ago	Quick return
Strong Team	—	—

Going: Standard

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