William Hill Bet In-Running Racing League Race 39 Handicap (Racing League)

Southwell (AW)

7:15

Date 2023-09-13

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £16,751

Runners 14

Runners

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (8)	Nordic Passage b Daniel Muscutt · J F Levins	Daniel Muscutt · J F Levins	134	—	874221	76	94	62	13d	—	—	+13	26.5	11/2 15%
Bang-in-form Irish challenger who won at Newcastle a fortnight ago; solid contender
2 (2)	Gulliver b Ben Curtis · David Omeara	Ben Curtis · David Omeara	140	p	-04605	82	93	-	12d	—	—	-3	12.4	9/2 18%
Encouraging fifth at Thirsk recently when denied a clear run and he's one to consider
5 (5)	Dare To Hope b Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	136	—	43-607	80	91	-	11d	—	—	-1	10.8	13/2 13%
Hasn't really shone in light 3yo campaign this year but the step back up to 6f could help
13 (6)	Fierce b Kieran Shoemark · Gary Moore	Kieran Shoemark · Gary Moore	131	p	342214	75	87	75	25d	—	—	+11	19.8	9 11%
Sole win came when odds-on in a maiden but he's shown some good form in handicaps also
4 (13)	Tolstoy b Luke Catton(5) · Stuart Williams	Luke Catton(5) · Stuart Williams	137	—	532881	79	91	-	10d	—	—	+12	22.2	7 14%
Easy win at Brighton ten days ago and he's effective on Tapeta; respected under penalty
1 (10)	Hierarchy ch Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	140	tp	700084	82	87	-	18d	—	—	+1	10.7	10 10%
His slow starts are a worry but he's on a reduced mark and is capable of having a big say
8 (7)	Tyger Bay b Luke Morris · Conrad Allen	Luke Morris · Conrad Allen	134	tb	225545	76	91	60	13d	—	—	+3	9.2	14 7%
Fair fifth of 13 at Newcastle a fortnight ago but needs something extra to win this
12 (3)	Jordan Electrics b Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	132	—	000601	74	89	-	12d	—	—	+11	18.1	14 7%
Won at Carlisle recently and he's twice won back-to-back previously in his career
6 (12)	Antiphon b Sean Levey · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	Sean Levey · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	136	—	247329	78	89	64	13d	—	—	+8	13.6	16 6%
Often leads; won over 5f on soft but no strong mudloving/handicapping credentials at 6f
10 (14)	Amazonian Dream b Trevor Whelan · Rod Millman	Trevor Whelan · Rod Millman	133	—	265432	75	92	-	8d	—	—	+9	15	16 6%
Went very close at Goodwood last Tuesday and every chance he'll be bang there
11 (11)	Billyjoh gr Frederick Larson(3) · Michael Appleby	Frederick Larson(3) · Michael Appleby	133	—	135	77	88	-	29d	—	—	+10	15.5	18 6%
Has shown promise and still very early days, but has to leave h'cap debut run well behind
3 (4)	American Star b Josephine Gordon · Ruth Carr	Josephine Gordon · Ruth Carr	139	b	-55548	81	89	58	25d	—	—	+5	9	20 5%
Didn't run badly on last month's stable debut at Ripon but has to improve for that outing
14 (1)	King Of Tonga gr David Allan · Declan Carroll	David Allan · Declan Carroll	129	b	852290	71	90	-	11d	—	—	+6	10.6	16 6%
Had an excuse at Chester last time but was also soundly beaten at Beverley two starts ago
7 (9)	Mamillius b David Probert · George Baker	David Probert · George Baker	135	—	831552	77	89	54	10d	—	—	+14	15.8	50 2%
No match for Tolstoy when second at Brighton recently; this could prove too competitive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Nordic Passage	11/2	11/2	5	5	5
Gulliver	5	5	9/2	5	5
Dare To Hope	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Fierce	9	9	8	9	9
Tolstoy	7	7	7	7	7
Hierarchy	9	9	10	7	9
Tyger Bay	12	12	14	12	12
Jordan Electrics	12	12	14	11	11
Antiphon	14	14	16	12	12
Amazonian Dream	16	16	14	16	16
Billyjoh	18	18	18	16	16
American Star	20	20	18	20	20
King Of Tonga	16	16	14	16	16
Mamillius	50	50	40	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nordic Passage

26.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 16 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Tolstoy

22.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.9

3rd

Fierce

19.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 11 Odds: 2.5

Jordan Electrics

18.1

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

Mamillius

15.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.5

Billyjoh

15.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.6

Amazonian Dream

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.6

Antiphon

13.6

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

Gulliver

12.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Dare To Hope

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Hierarchy

10.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

King Of Tonga

10.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 4 Odds: 1.4

Tyger Bay

9.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.7

American Star

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gulliver Top Rated	82	93	—
Hierarchy	82	87	—
American Star	81	89	58
Dare To Hope	80	91	—
Tolstoy	79	91	—
Antiphon	78	89	64
Billyjoh	77	88	—
Mamillius	77	89	54
Nordic Passage	76	94	62
Tyger Bay	76	91	60
Fierce	75	87	75
Amazonian Dream	75	92	—
Jordan Electrics	74	89	—
King Of Tonga	71	90	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nordic Passage	13d ago	Quick return
Gulliver	12d ago	Quick return
Dare To Hope	11d ago	Quick return
Fierce	25d ago	Fit
Tolstoy	10d ago	Quick return
Hierarchy	18d ago	Fit
Tyger Bay	13d ago	Quick return
Jordan Electrics	12d ago	Quick return
Antiphon	13d ago	Quick return
Amazonian Dream	8d ago	Quick return
Billyjoh	29d ago	Fit
American Star	25d ago	Fit
King Of Tonga	11d ago	Quick return
Mamillius	10d ago	Quick return

Going: Standard

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